Todd Sullivan | TalkMarkets | Page 10
Hedge Fund Manager, Owner of ValuePlays and Angel Investor
Contributor's Links: ValuePlays Rand Strategic Partners
Todd Sullivan is a Massachusetts-based value investor and a General Partner in Rand Strategic Partners. He looks for investments he believes are selling for a discount to their intrinsic value given their current situation and future prospects. ...more

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“The Market Says…”
Taking investment cues from market price-trends is pure Momentum Investing. Price-trend investors announce their position with certainty with charts to back their assertions.
Does MPT Simply Just Produce Herd Behavior?
If one takes into account economic fundamentals and the impact of unequal protections for property rights, one will sidestep any advice from MPT and Financial Planners.
Oil/Energy Companies As Inflation Hedge
Six charts lay out the argument for using oil/energy-related issues as an inflation hedge.
The Push And Pull Of Momentum
Markets are always a composite of investor perceptions. The short-term shifts come from Momentum investors/short-term traders using price trends as a guide to forecasting the direction of the next expected direction.
As Inflation Soars, So Does The S&P 500 Intrinsic Value
Inflation is a puzzle with many believing it derives from economic demand.
Bitcoin: An Algorithmic Token
Cryptocurrencies are not currencies that reflect value of their societies, but tokens of transfer that can be reused trillions of times to assure the security of transfer agents.
Oil Update - Wednesday, July 7
US Crude Inventory continues to be drawn lower and is now 3mil BBL away from falling below the 3.5% Growth Trend Line representing low inventories since 2003.
Chemical And Rail Activity Continue To Rise
The Chemical Activity Barometer reflects a wide range of economic demand in manufacturing for industry and retail sectors and Intermodal represents the demand for transport of goods.
Air Traffic Continues To Rise, Expect Oil Price Spike
When looking at TSA daily data monthly peaks are deceptive.
Exxon, EOG And Oil
There are multiple forecasts for $100/BBL oil prices. Should this occur in the current cycle, EOG and XOM are likely to be priced accordingly.
Market V Economic Speculation
The basics of predicting markets and individual prices are best understood by a recognition that prices are driven by market psychology after events or reports are known.
It’s Getting Expensive Out There
Still not a “bubble” but getting very pricy. Be careful.
Market Top?
Connect the long-term dots and ignore what is in between as noise. The fundamentals remain in uptrends and the rate spread continues to indicate tops are a ways off into the future as do fundamentals.
Value Vs Growth - Tuesday, May 18
It is an oxymoron to say Value beats Growth if one listens to the media and the countless advisors claiming it is the other way around.
“Value” At Lows And “Momentum” At Highs?
This isn’t to say value investors switch to momentum in a bull market, it is to say that as valuations get extended we don’t need to automatically sell due to that sole reason.
Recession Plan?
Market history of past recessions since 1953 provides a decent answer of what to do.
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