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10-Year US Treasury Yield ‘Fair Value’ Estimate - Thursday, May 16
Article By:
James Picerno
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Thursday, May 16, 2024 8:52 AM EDT
A ‘fair-value’ estimate of the US 10-year Treasury yield was steady in April while the market level for the benchmark rate continued to rise well above the theoretical level.
In this article: IEF
Don’t Blame Trump For The Coming Slump
Article By:
Martin Hutchinson
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Wednesday, May 15, 2024 5:36 AM EDT
Observers have been puzzled by the continued strength of the U.S. stock market, asset prices generally and the U.S. economy in the face of sharp rises in interest rates since early 2022.
Rates Spark: All Eyes On US CPI
Article By:
ING Economics
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Wednesday, May 15, 2024 4:31 AM EDT
Markets remain highly sensitive to anything inflation related, as highlighted by the strong reaction to Tuesday’s US PPI. A key test for the bullish undertone is CPI, where we think an in-line reading might not be enough to spur on bond bulls.
Rates: Back To The Noughties!
Article By:
ING Economics
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Monday, May 13, 2024 4:58 AM EDT
Our premise here is simple – choose a decade that saw the type of inflation that would be broadly acceptable for the Federal Reserve today, and then extrapolate. The answer? The noughties. Back then, the funds rate averaged 3%.
Weekly Market Pulse: Question Time
Article By:
Joseph Calhoun
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Monday, May 13, 2024 4:12 AM EDT
It’s question time again. I ask myself questions all the time about the economy and markets. I don’t have all the answers but I think it’s important to know what you don’t know and be alert when the markets or the economy offer answers.
Asia Open: Inflation And Tariffs Take Center Stage In Discussions
Article By:
Stephen Innes
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Sunday, May 12, 2024 10:01 PM EDT
A t the end of the day, you can lead the horse to the water but you can’t make him drink.
The Debate Continues - Will They, Or Won’t They?
Article By:
Donn Goodman
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Sunday, May 12, 2024 3:00 PM EDT
I could write about many topics this week, as there were more than a handful of newsworthy items. But given the amount of time, space, and energy that the media has been giving to whether or not the Fed will lower rates, I thought I would weigh in.
