Paban Pandey

Analyst
Contributor's Links: Hedgopia
Paban Raj Pandey left a senior analyst position at a small hedge fund in January 2014, and started blogging in April of that year. With 20 years’ industry experience, he primarily focuses on US equities, macro, technical analysis, and derivatives (particularly options). Paban shares his ...more
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ALL CONTRIBUTIONS

Russell 2000 Wins Back 1800
Monday, June 5, 2023 7:15 AM EDT
After many attempts, the Russell 2000 won back 1800 last week. But it is too soon to declare a trend change.
In this article: IWM
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Forecasting The Future Via Most Recent CoT Report
Sunday, June 4, 2023 2:10 AM EDT
Non-commercials are hanging on to a losing trade in 10-year T-notes, while equity bulls hope the latest week is a sign of things to come.It is too soon to pooh-pooh non-commercials. They may very well have the last laugh. Time will tell.
In this article: FXE, GLD, IEF, IWM, TLT, USO, UUP, NDX, SPX, VIX
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Tech Leads, Small-Caps Lag; Nasdaq 100-Russell 2000 Ratio Nearing March 2000 Record High
Tuesday, May 30, 2023 4:20 AM EDT
Tech is radiating this year and small-caps are in slumber. A ratio between the Nasdaq 100 and the Russell 2000 is nearing a March 2000 record high.
In this article: IWM, NDX
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Peering Into The Future Via CoT Report Of The Week
Sunday, May 28, 2023 2:23 AM EDT
It took them a while, but futures traders have at long last stopped wasting money expecting an improbable outcome. This week, both the volatility index and the S&P 500 rallied; they normally go the opposite ways.
In this article: FXE, NVDA, GLD, IEF, IWM, SMH, TLT, USO, UUP, NDX, SPX, VIX
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S&P 500 Up 21% From Last Oct’s Low
Monday, May 22, 2023 7:27 AM EDT
The S&P 500 is up nearly 21 percent from last October’s low. Yet, US-based equity funds continue to bleed, and margin debt is lower from October through April.
In this article: IVV, SPY, VOO
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CoT - Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned
Sunday, May 21, 2023 2:45 AM EDT
FOMC minutes for the May 2-3 meeting are due out next Wednesday. The fed funds rate was raised by 25 basis points in that meeting to a range of 500 basis points to 525 basis points.
In this article: QQQ, DIA, SPX, GLD, FXE, UUP, VIX
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STOCKS I FOLLOW

GLD SPDR Gold Trust ETF
NDX Nasdaq 100 Index
OIL iPath B S&P GSCI Crude Oil TR ETN
SPX S&P 500 Index
TYX Treasury Yield 30 Years
USD ProShares Ultra Semiconductors
USO United States Oil Fund, LP
VIX Volatility Index CBOE
WTI W&T Offshore Inc.

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PERSONAL BLOG

Latest Posts
Fed Succeeds In Driving Investors To Take On Risk And Go Up Risk Curve, But End Game Is Bound To Be Painful Regardless A
Last March, the Fed essentially urged investors to take on risk and go up the risk curve. Leverage is high in the system. When a reversal occurs, it is bound to be painful. It is a good time to buy some protection, which is cheap.
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Hedgopia
Paban Pandey
Hedgopia

My goal is to share what I observe and what I know – or pretend to know – and, more importantly, if you actively take part, learn from discussions that follow.

Blogs will primarily revolve around stocks, U.S. in particular, macro, technical analysis, and derivatives, particularly options.  And once in a while, I will try to throw a little humor here and there into the mix.

I plan to actively use charts.  Lots of times, they speak louder than words.  Hope you like the format.

And finally, some disclaimer.

This blog is not intended to be, nor shall it be construed as, investment advice.  Neither the information nor any opinion expressed here constitutes an offer to buy or sell any security or instrument or participate in any particular trading strategy.

Cheers!