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Paban Raj Pandey left a senior analyst position at a small hedge fund in January 2014, and started blogging in April of that year. With 20 years’ industry experience, he primarily focuses on US equities, macro, technical analysis, and derivatives (particularly options). Paban shares his ... more

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Managements Have Opportunity To Use 2Q Earnings Season As Kitchen-Sink Quarter
Next week, the 2Q earnings season begins in earnest. Equities took a big hit in the first half. The sell-side is yet to bring out scissors as relates to 2022/2023 earnings estimates.
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Futures Positions Of Noncommercials, Large Specs' Net Short - CoT Report
In perhaps a telling sign for the sessions to come, both VIX and the S&P 500 were down this week. In all probability, VIX wants to go lower.
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Equity Bulls Put Foot Down At Or Near Support
After a slight breach of support in the week before, both small- and large-cap bulls put their foot down last week. This came after weeks of selling pressure. There is more room to run. Non-commercials are aggressively short and can unwillingly help.
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Looking At The Future Thru Futures, Hedge Fund Positions
Non-commercials are now the most net short in two years. In the right circumstances, this could end up helping the longs through short squeeze.
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In Q1, S&P 500 Companies Spent Record Amounts In Buybacks When Prices Were Falling
A new high was established in S&P 500 buybacks in Q1. Unlike most of the time in the past, shares were bought at lower prices as the S&P 500 sold off during the quarter.
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S&P 500, Russell 2000 Suffer Slight Breach Of Support, VIX Flashes Signs Of Fatigue
With a couple of tough weeks, both large- and small-caps last week suffered a slight breach of support, but not decisively just yet. Concurrently, VIX is flashing signs of fatigue.
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STOCKS I FOLLOW

GLD SPDR Gold Trust ETF
NDX Nasdaq 100 Index
OIL iPath B S&P GSCI Crude Oil TR ETN
SPX S&P 500 Index
TYX Treasury Yield 30 Years
USD ProShares Ultra Semiconductors
USO United States Oil Fund, LP
VIX Volatility Index CBOE
WTI W&T Offshore Inc.

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Fed Succeeds In Driving Investors To Take On Risk And Go Up Risk Curve, But End Game Is Bound To Be Painful Regardless A
Last March, the Fed essentially urged investors to take on risk and go up the risk curve. Leverage is high in the system. When a reversal occurs, it is bound to be painful. It is a good time to buy some protection, which is cheap.

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Hedgopia
Paban Pandey
Hedgopia

My goal is to share what I observe and what I know – or pretend to know – and, more importantly, if you actively take part, learn from discussions that follow.

Blogs will primarily revolve around stocks, U.S. in particular, macro, technical analysis, and derivatives, particularly options.  And once in a while, I will try to throw a little humor here and there into the mix.

I plan to actively use charts.  Lots of times, they speak louder than words.  Hope you like the format.

And finally, some disclaimer.

This blog is not intended to be, nor shall it be construed as, investment advice.  Neither the information nor any opinion expressed here constitutes an offer to buy or sell any security or instrument or participate in any particular trading strategy.

Cheers!