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‘Threading The Needle’ Without Vision…Or A Needle
Article By: Michael Ashton
Tuesday, June 25, 2024 5:12 PM EDT
The Fed’s first 475bps of rate hikes corresponded with a rise in median inflation from 4.56% to 6.94%, over a period of more than a year, along with accelerating economic growth.
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Opinion: “An (Almost) Inverted Yield Curve Is Worrying China”
Article By: Menzie Chinn
Tuesday, June 25, 2024 2:41 PM EDT
There’s no inversion at maturities 1 year to 30. However, the 10yr-3mo spread is inverted.
In this article: GXC
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ZIRP-Addicted Japan Is Crumbling Under Higher Rates
Article By: SchiffGold
Tuesday, June 25, 2024 1:59 PM EDT
The message is loud and clear: The Japanese economy has no tolerance for higher interest rates after the Bank of Japan has kept them artificially near zero for decades.
In this article: EWJ, FXY
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EU-China Trade Talks To Shape Tariff Impact
Article By: ING Economics
Tuesday, June 25, 2024 1:43 PM EDT
China and the EU will start trade talks amid tensions over possible punitive tariffs.
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Deficits Put Dollar At Risk
Video By: Alhambra Investments
Tuesday, June 25, 2024 11:53 AM EDT
A discussion about whether deficits put the role of the US dollar reserve currency at risk.
In this video: UUP
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Nervous Calm Hangs Over The Markets
Article By: Marc Chandler
Tuesday, June 25, 2024 7:38 AM EDT
San Francisco Federal Reserve President Daly spoke aloud what many are thinking. The US labor market may be at an inflection point.
In this article: FXE, NVDA, FXA, FXB, FXC, FXY, GLD, IEF, OIL
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Oil Is Trading At A 2-Month High
Article By: JustMarkets
Tuesday, June 25, 2024 7:00 AM EDT
WTI crude oil prices held just below $82 a barrel on Tuesday, at their highest levels in nearly two months, as geopolitical risks in Eastern Europe and the Middle East continue to support oil prices.
In this article: OIL, NDX, SPX, DJI, DAX
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CNB Preview: Past And Future Inflation Perceptions Set The Pace Of Easing
Article By: ING Economics
Tuesday, June 25, 2024 5:30 AM EDT
The residual inflationary hotspots have been broadly extinguished, but future price pressures seem to be building, warranting a more cautious approach with a 25bp cut to 5%.
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Japan Is Buying Massive Amounts Of Junk Credit
Video By: Jeffrey P. Snider
Tuesday, June 25, 2024 5:15 AM EDT
Japanese banks have been bulking up on US junk corporate credit for the last year, driven entirely by an increasingly difficult reach for yield.
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FX Daily: Investors Struggle To Stay Bearish
Article By: ING Economics
Tuesday, June 25, 2024 3:43 AM EDT
FX markets are seeing a modest reversal of the losses witnessed over the last couple of weeks.
In this article: FXE, FXB, FXC, UUP
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WTI Consolidates Gains Near $82.00 Amid Hope For Strong Summer Driving Demand
Article By: Lallalit Srijandorn
Monday, June 24, 2024 11:49 PM EDT
WTI, the US crude oil benchmark, is trading around $82.00 on Tuesday. The rise of the WTI price is bolstered by the hope for a strong summer driving demand and oil supply concerns amid the ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. 
In this article: OIL, UCO, USO
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U.S. Budget Disaster Ahead Will Impoverish Americans
Article By: Daniel Lacalle
Monday, June 24, 2024 2:17 PM EDT
The latest Congressional Budget Office (CBO) budget and economic outlook estimates show the extent of the challenges of the United States fiscal nightmare.
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Is Globalization Dead? Two Views, Brad Setser’s And Mine
Article By: Mish Shedlock
Monday, June 24, 2024 9:26 AM EDT
Brad Setser challenges the notion that globalization has turned to “slowbalization”. To me, globalization may not be “dead” but it’s increasingly perverted rather than alive and well.
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The Fed Is Behind The Curve…
Article By: Macro-Ops
Monday, June 24, 2024 9:05 AM EDT
In this week’s Dirty Dozen we look at FOMC dots, slowing growth, rate bets, a market sell signal, and some long USD plays, plus more…
In this article: QQQ, FXY, UDN
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US Dollar Offered, But Intra-Day Momentum Indicators Are Stretched
Article By: Marc Chandler
Monday, June 24, 2024 8:19 AM EDT
The Dollar Index reached its best level since May 1 before the weekend but has come back softer against all the G10 currencies and most emerging market currencies.
In this article: FXE, CYB, FXA, FXB, FXC, FXY, UUP
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The Internal Contradictions Of Nationalism
Article By: Scott Sumner
Monday, June 24, 2024 6:23 AM EDT
I am certainly no expert on artificial intelligence. But people much smarter than me insist that military supremacy in the 21st century will be determined by which country achieves AGI first.
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