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Is Money Getting Tighter?

Article By:
Scott Sumner
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Sunday, May 22, 2022 1:45 PM EDT
I’ve expressed skepticism about the claim that the Fed has been tightening monetary policy since last fall. In my view, most of the increase in interest rates over the past year is due to the Fisher effect, not the liquidity effect of tight money.
Junk Bonds Point To A Possible Bounce In US Equities

Article By:
Taki Tsaklanos
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Sunday, May 22, 2022 10:09 AM EDT
Intermarket analysis is all about correlations and understanding how one asset class’s performance can impact other markets or asset classes.
Top Idea Of The Month: What Needs To Happen Before Stocks Bottom?

Article By:
Mish Shedlock
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Friday, May 20, 2022 9:31 AM EDT
History suggests markets bottom after the yield on the 10-year treasury note drops significantly. The implications are ominous.
T-bills Targeted Target

Article By:
Jeffrey P. Snider
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Friday, May 20, 2022 8:28 AM EDT
T-bill rates have been so low, the 4-week so far down under RRP and IOER, and then going lower, the problem of tight collateral supply and redistribution has itself become the baseline case.
Conditions Are In Place For A Relief Rally

Article By:
Greg Feirman
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Friday, May 20, 2022 5:50 AM EDT
Tightening financial conditions have been putting stocks under pressure in recent weeks.
Rate-Based Meltdown

Article By:
Tim Knight
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Thursday, May 19, 2022 3:29 PM EDT
Trillions (literally) of dollars of value have been destroyed by the tiny increase in interest rates we’ve seen so far.
Unique Commodities Indicator Pointing To Treasury Bonds Rally

Article By:
Chris Kimble
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Thursday, May 19, 2022 1:34 PM EDT
A look at the Copper/Gold price ratio graphed against the 10-year Treasury bond yield.
TIPS Valuation Commentary

Article By:
Brian Romanchuk
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Thursday, May 19, 2022 9:15 AM EDT
A quick glance at U.S. TIPS shows that if we abstract past the thorny question of where inflation will be in the next few years, the market has largely reversed the relatively low inflation expectations that developed in the mid-2010s.
In this article: TIPS
Credit Market Complacency Gives The Fed Room To Crush The Stock Market

Article By:
Mish Shedlock
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Wednesday, May 18, 2022 4:23 PM EDT
Despite stock market carnage, corporate bond yields still scream complacency.
Solid, 20Y Auction Stops Through As Yields Tumble

Article By:
Tyler Durden
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Wednesday, May 18, 2022 1:59 PM EDT
With the 20Y-30Y curve still solidly inverted, the U.S. Treasury sold $17 billion in paper at a yield of 3.290%.
In this article: TLT
Pairing Strength Against Weakness

Article By:
Giles Coghlan
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Wednesday, May 18, 2022 9:46 AM EDT
One of the core principles in trading is to pair strength against weakness, a weak currency with a strong currency. It is a way of increasing the odds of a clear direction.
Can The Fed Break Inflation’s Momentum In The Near Term?

Article By:
James Picerno
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Wednesday, May 18, 2022 9:15 AM EDT
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell aims to try and on Tuesday expressed confidence that the central bank will aggressively persist in its quest to resolve its biggest inflation challenge in four decades.
In this article: IEF
EUR/USD Latest – Support At 1.05 Back In Focus, ECB Rate Hike Talk

Article By:
Nick Cawley
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Wednesday, May 18, 2022 7:53 AM EDT
The daily EUR/USD chart shows the ongoing battle around the 1.0500 area with the recent break lower bought back quickly.