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Weekly Market Pulse: Inevitable?
Article By: Joseph Calhoun
Sunday, May 22, 2022 5:00 PM EDT
Inevitable. I heard that word a lot last week. There is now a fully formed consensus that the US, and indeed the world, must now prepare for an inevitable recession. It can’t be avoided.
In this article: QQQ, IVW, TLT, UUP, SPX
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Is Money Getting Tighter?
Article By: Scott Sumner
Sunday, May 22, 2022 1:45 PM EDT
I’ve expressed skepticism about the claim that the Fed has been tightening monetary policy since last fall. In my view, most of the increase in interest rates over the past year is due to the Fisher effect, not the liquidity effect of tight money.
In this article: TIP, TLT, UUP
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Junk Bonds Point To A Possible Bounce In US Equities
Article By: Taki Tsaklanos
Sunday, May 22, 2022 10:09 AM EDT
Intermarket analysis is all about correlations and understanding how one asset class’s performance can impact other markets or asset classes.
In this article: JNK, VIX
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Top Idea Of The Month: What Needs To Happen Before Stocks Bottom?
Article By: Mish Shedlock
Friday, May 20, 2022 9:31 AM EDT
History suggests markets bottom after the yield on the 10-year treasury note drops significantly. The implications are ominous.
In this article: IEF, NDX Also: SPX
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T-bills Targeted Target
Article By: Jeffrey P. Snider
Friday, May 20, 2022 8:28 AM EDT
T-bill rates have been so low, the 4-week so far down under RRP and IOER, and then going lower, the problem of tight collateral supply and redistribution has itself become the baseline case.
In this article: TGT, WMT
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Conditions Are In Place For A Relief Rally
Article By: Greg Feirman
Friday, May 20, 2022 5:50 AM EDT
Tightening financial conditions have been putting stocks under pressure in recent weeks.
In this article: AMAT, IEF, UUP
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Rate-Based Meltdown
Article By: Tim Knight
Thursday, May 19, 2022 3:29 PM EDT
Trillions (literally) of dollars of value have been destroyed by the tiny increase in interest rates we’ve seen so far.
In this article: HYG, LQD, MUB
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Unique Commodities Indicator Pointing To Treasury Bonds Rally
Article By: Chris Kimble
Thursday, May 19, 2022 1:34 PM EDT
A look at the Copper/Gold price ratio graphed against the 10-year Treasury bond yield.
In this article: GLD, IEF, JJC
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TIPS Valuation Commentary
Article By: Brian Romanchuk
Thursday, May 19, 2022 9:15 AM EDT
A quick glance at U.S. TIPS shows that if we abstract past the thorny question of where inflation will be in the next few years, the market has largely reversed the relatively low inflation expectations that developed in the mid-2010s.
In this article: TIPS
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Precious Metals Will Benefit From Further Equity Market Weakness
Video By: Jordan Roy-Byrne
Thursday, May 19, 2022 5:47 AM EDT
A review of the potential path for Fed policy, bonds, interest rates, and the eventual point where the central bank will be forced to pivot back to more accommodative policies.
In this video: , GDX, GDXJ, GLD, SLV, IEF, IEI
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Credit Market Complacency Gives The Fed Room To Crush The Stock Market
Article By: Mish Shedlock
Wednesday, May 18, 2022 4:23 PM EDT
Despite stock market carnage, corporate bond yields still scream complacency.
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Solid, 20Y Auction Stops Through As Yields Tumble
Article By: Tyler Durden
Wednesday, May 18, 2022 1:59 PM EDT
With the 20Y-30Y curve still solidly inverted, the U.S. Treasury sold $17 billion in paper at a yield of 3.290%.
In this article: TLT
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Pairing Strength Against Weakness
Article By: Giles Coghlan
Wednesday, May 18, 2022 9:46 AM EDT
One of the core principles in trading is to pair strength against weakness, a weak currency with a strong currency. It is a way of increasing the odds of a clear direction.
In this article: FXA, FXC
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Can The Fed Break Inflation’s Momentum In The Near Term?
Article By: James Picerno
Wednesday, May 18, 2022 9:15 AM EDT
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell aims to try and on Tuesday expressed confidence that the central bank will aggressively persist in its quest to resolve its biggest inflation challenge in four decades.
In this article: IEF
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EUR/USD Latest – Support At 1.05 Back In Focus, ECB Rate Hike Talk
Article By: Nick Cawley
Wednesday, May 18, 2022 7:53 AM EDT
The daily EUR/USD chart shows the ongoing battle around the 1.0500 area with the recent break lower bought back quickly.
In this article: FXE, UUP
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Stocks, Bonds, & Bitcoin Puke As Powell Speaks
Article By: Tyler Durden
Tuesday, May 17, 2022 2:48 PM EDT
Powell says nothing new and algos still dump. That's the new regime.
In this article: IWM, NDX, SPX, DJI, BITCOMP, IEF
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