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Economic Indicators And The Risk Of “Lowflation”
Article By: Scott Sumner
Friday, January 18, 2019 2:00 AM EST
As we enter 2019, there are some economic indicators worth thinking about. Some are obvious, like the strong jobs growth. Some are more subtle.
In this article: TIP Also: OILB, UCO
Vehicle Miles Traveled: Looking Again At Our Evolving Behavior
Article By: Jill Mislinski
Friday, January 18, 2019 12:25 AM EST
The US Department of Transportation's Federal Highway Commission has released the latest report on Traffic Volume Trends, data through November.
Bear Market Rally Will Stall Or Accelerate Based On This Week's Closes
Article By: Richard Suttmeier
Thursday, January 17, 2019 11:59 PM EST
For the bear market rally to continue all five averages need to close this week above their five-week modified moving averages.
In this article: SPX, COMP, DTX, DJI
Revisiting Hong Kong (For Reasons We Wish We Wouldn’t Have To)
Article By: Jeffrey P. Snider
Thursday, January 17, 2019 10:51 PM EST
"A string of Hong Kong-listed stocks plunged without warning in afternoon trading." The share prices of these companies and others fell quickly enough but didn’t recover. It seems as if HK is a little lacking on the liquidity side.
In this article: EWH, CNY, UUP
US Home Prices Rise At Slowest Pace Since 2012 As Sales Plunge
Article By: Tyler Durden
Thursday, January 17, 2019 8:40 PM EST
The median US home price rose 1.2% to $289,800 in December, the slowest monthly pace since March 2012, when the housing market was just beginning to climb out of the hole left by the collapse.
Was Santa Claus Climax The Bottom?
Article By: Kurt Kallaus
Thursday, January 17, 2019 7:37 PM EST
The deeper the economic weakness in 2019, the greater the upside potential in 2020 for the economy, earnings, and stock prices.
In this article: VIX, SPX, SPY
Trade Debate: US Mulls Lifting Sanctions On China To Hasten Deal, Calm Markets
Article By: Mish Shedlock
Thursday, January 17, 2019 6:00 PM EST
A new tactic being debated within the Trump administration aims at giving Beijing incentives to make long-term concessions.
Market Talk - Thursday, Jan. 17
Article By: Martin Armstrong
Thursday, January 17, 2019 4:43 PM EST
Main talking topic in Asia today was in the Chinese market after Premier Keqiang’s warning of a difficult year ahead.
In this article: AAXJ, FXY, FXB, SPX, NDX, DJI
Eleven Economic Reports Delayed Due To Government Shutdown: Do We Even Need Them?
Article By: Mish Shedlock
Thursday, January 17, 2019 4:05 PM EST
Government workers failed to produce at least three economic reports this week alone due to the shutdown. Other reports went missing in action last week.
January 2019 Philly Fed Manufacturing Survey Improved
Article By: Steven Hansen
Thursday, January 17, 2019 2:35 PM EST
The Philly Fed Business Outlook Survey improved and remains in expansion. Key elements were mixed.
Negative Beige Book Signals Fed Will Be Dovish
Article By: TheoTrade
Thursday, January 17, 2019 1:24 PM EST
Fed finally recognizing the slowdown helped boost stocks because it means the Fed will be more dovish. The Fed is moving in the right direction as the number of rate hikes it expects is shrinking.
How Does China's Higher GDP Translate Into National Power?
Article By: Timothy Taylor
Thursday, January 17, 2019 11:19 AM EST
Depending on what exchange rate you use for comparing GDP, China either already has a larger GDP than the US (using a purchasing power parity exchange rate) or will soon have a larger GDP than the US (using a market exchange rate).
Claims Continue To Decline
Article By: Bespoke Investment Group
Thursday, January 17, 2019 10:58 AM EST
The labor market keeps humming along just fine as seen through this week’s Initial Jobless Claims report.
Government Shutdown Will Barely Lower The Economic Forecast For 2019
Article By: Bill Conerly
Thursday, January 17, 2019 10:34 AM EST
Even if the shutdown drags on a long time, it is unlikely to bring economic growth down much. But it might lead to a realization that we have too many government permits needed for everyday business.
Philly Fed Rebounds
Article By: Bespoke Investment Group
Thursday, January 17, 2019 10:09 AM EST
After two straight months of weaker than expected readings and three straight months of declines, the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey for January came in stronger than expected and increased on a month/month basis.
Zimbabwe's Monetary Death Spiral
Article By: Steve Hanke
Thursday, January 17, 2019 9:56 AM EST
President Mnangagwa’s pledge that Zimbabwe is “open for business” rings hollow. Indeed, many businesses in Zimbabwe are shuttered.
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