Predictive Analytic Models (PAM)

Robert P. Balan runs a trading and trading advisory service at Predictive Analytic Models, (PAM) under the auspices of Seeking Alpha. PAM provides REAL-TIME trading advice and strategies and actual trades using guidance from US Treasury, Federal Reserve and term market ... more

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Equity Counter-Trend Rally In Place; Yields Bottoming Out; DXY Resumes The Uptrend
Here is the Market Report At The Chat, March 26, 2019. The report includes updates throughout the day.
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Latest Comments
What The Fed Did Do At Its Last Meeting On April 30 - May 1, 2019
2 months ago

Fantastic article, Alan. Thanks for sharing.

PAM Sells The DXY And Buy EUR, AUD; Sells Gasoline And Refiners - Opportunistic Trades
3 months ago

Maybe you start with the primers Adam.

In this article: UGA, UUP
Equity Counter-Trend Rally In Place; Yields Bottoming Out; DXY Resumes The Uptrend
3 months ago

Hey Alan,

Thanks for steering me to TalkMarkets. You were on holiday?s?

In this article: QQQ, GLD, SLV, TLT, UUP, SPX, CRAK, DRIP
1 to 4 of 4 comments

STOCKS I FOLLOW

AGQ ProShares Ultra Silver
AMCA iShares Russell 1000 Pure US Revenue ETF
BAR Direxion Daily Gold Bull 3X ETF
BCM iPath Pure Beta Broad Commodity ETN
BITCF First Bitcoin Capital Corp.
BXUB Barclays Bank PLC
BXUC Barclays Bank PLC
CEF Central Fund of Canada Limited
CFA Compass EMP US 500 Vol Wtd ETF
CHGX Change Finance Diversified Impact U.S. Large Cap Fossil Fuel Free ETF
CMDT iShares Commodity Optimized Trust
COMT iShares Commodities Select Strategy
CRF Cornerstone Total Return Fund
CSCR Credit Suisse X-Links Cmdty Rotation ETN
DBC PowerShares DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
DBP PowerShares DB Precious Metals Fund
DBS PowerShares DB Silver Fund
DDM ProShares Ultra Dow30
DDP PowerShares DB Commodity Short ETN
DEE PowerShares DB Commodity Double Shrt ETN
DEUS Deutsche X-trackers Russell 1000 CmpsFtr
DGL PowerShares DB Gold Fund
DGLD VelocityShares 3x Inverse Gold ETN
DGP PowerShares DB Gold Double Long ETN
DGZ DB Gold Short ETN
DIA SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average
DJCI UBS AG, Jersey Branch
DJP iPath Dow Jones-UBS Commodity Index Total Return ETN
DMRL DeltaShares S&P 500 Managed Risk ETF
DOG ProShares Short Dow30
DPU PowerShares DB Commodity Long ETN
DRR Market Vectors Double Short Euro ETN
DSLV VelocityShares 3x Inverse Silver ETN
DULL Direxion Daily Silver Miners Index Bear 2x Shares ETF
DUSA DUSA Pharmaceuticals Inc.
DWAC Elkhorn Commodity Rotation Strategy ETF
DXD ProShares UltraShort Dow30
DYY PowerShares DB Commodity Double Long ETN
DZZ PowerShares DB Gold Double Short ETN
EEH ELEMENTS Linked to the SPECTRUM Large CAP U.S. Sector Momentum Index
EPS WisdomTree Earnings 500 Fund
EQAL PowerShares Russell 1000 Equal Wght ETF
EQL ALPS Equal Sector Weight ETF
ESGL Oppenheimer ESG Revenue ETF
ESGS Columbia Sustainable US Equity Inc ETF
EUFX ProShares Short Euro
EUO ProShares UltraShort Euro
FAAR First Trust Alt Abs Ret Strat ETF
FEX First Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund
FMK First Trust Mega Cap AlphaDEX Fund
FTGC FRESH TRAFFIC GRP
FWDD Madrona Domestic
FXE Euro Currency Trust
GBTC Bitcoin Investment Trust
GCC WisdomTree Continuous Commodity ETF
GEUR AdvisorShares Trust
GHE REX Gold Hedged FTSE Emerging Markets ETF
GHS Rex Gold Hedged S&P 500 ETF
GLD SPDR Gold Trust ETF
GLDI Credit Suisse X-Links Gold Shares Covered Call ETN
GLL ProShares UltraShort Gold
GLTR ETFS Precious Metals Basket Trust
GOVT iSh Brc US TrBd Shs
GSC GS Connect S&P GSCI Enhanced Commodity Total Return Strategy Index ETN
GSEW Goldman Sachs Equal Weight U.S.
GSG iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust
GSLC Guaranty Financial Corp
GSP iPathSM S&P GSCI Total Return Index ETN
GTU Central GoldTrust
GYEN AdvisorShares Gartman Gold/Yen ETF
HUSV First Trust Hrzn MgdVolatil Domestic ETF
HYG iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond Fund
IAU iShares COMEX Gold Trust
IEF iShares Lehman 7-10 Year Treasury Bond Fund
IVV iShares S&P 500 Index Fund
IWB iShares Russell 1000 Index Fund
IWL iShares Trust
JHML JHancock Multifactor Large Cap ETF
JKD iShares Morningstar Large Core Index Fund
JUNE Dhandho Junoon ETF
LGLV SPDR Russell 1000 Low Volatility ETF
MGC Vanguard Mega Cap 300 Index ETF
NASDX The California Funds Nasdaq 100 Index Fund
OEF iShares S&P 100 Index ETF
OEW Guggenheim S&P 100 Equal Weight ETF
ONEO SPDR Russell 1000 Momentum ETF
ONEV SPDR Russell 1000 Low Volatil ETF
ONEY SPDR Russell 1000 Yield ETF
OPD Guggenheim Large Cp Optimizd Divers ETF
OTPIX Nasdaq-100 Profund Investor Class
OUNZ Van Eck Merk Gold ETF
OVLC Guggenheim US Lg Cp Optimized Vol ETF
PALL ETFS PHYSICAL PALLAD
PDBC PowerShares DB Optm Yd Dvrs Cdty Srt ETF
PHYS Sprott Physical Gold Trust
PLTM First Trust ISE Global Platinum Index Fund
PMOM Principal Sustainable Momentum ETF
PPLC PortfolioPlus S&P 500 ETF
PPLT ETFS Platinum Trust
PRF Powershares FTSE RAFI US 1000 Portfolio
PSLV Sprott Physical Silver Trust ET
PSQ ProShares Short QQQ
PTM E-TRACS UBS Long Platinum ETN
QID ProShares UltraShort QQQ
QLD ProShares Ultra QQQ
QQEW First Trust NASDAQ
QQQ PowerShares QQQ Trust Series 1
QQQE Direxion Trust
QQXT First Trust NASDAQ - 100 Ex
QUS SPDR MSCI USA Quality Mix ETF
RCOM Elkhorn Fundamental Commodity Strat ETF
RJI ELEMENTS Rogers Commodity ETN
RSP Rydex S&P Equal Weight ETF
RVRS Reverse Cap Weighted US Large Cap ETF
RYARX Rydex Series Fds Inverse S&P 500 Strategy Fund
SBUS ETFS Diversified-Factor US Large Cap
SCHX SCHWAB US LARGE CAP ETF
SDOW ProShares Indices
SDS ProShares UltraShort S&P500
SGOL ETFS Physical Swiss Gold
SH ProShares Short S&P500
SHNY Direxion Daily Silver Miners Index Bull 2x Shares ETF
SIVR ETFS Silver Trust
SLV iShares Silver Trust
SLVO Credit Suisse X-Links Silver CovCall ETN
SPDN Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1X ETF
SPHB PowerShares S&P 500 High Beta Portfolio ETF
SPHQ PowerShares Exchange-Traded Funds Trust
SPLG SPDR Portfolio Large Cap ETF
SPLV PowerShares S&P 500 Low Volatility Portfolio ETF
SPLX UBS ETRACS M Reset 2xLvg S&P 500 TR ETN
SPMO PowerShares S&P 500 Momentum
SPPP Sprott Physical Platinum and Palladium Trust
SPUU Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 2X ETF
SPXE ProShares S&P 500 ex-Energy
SPXL Direxion Daily S&P500 Bull 3X ETF
SPXN ProShares S&P 500 ex-Financials
SPXS Direxion Daily S&P500 Bear 3X ETF
SPXT ProShares S&P 500 ex-Technology
SPXU ProShares Trust
SPXV ProShares S&P 500 ex-Health Care
SPY SPDR S&P 500
SQQQ ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
SSO ProShares Ultra S&P500
SYE SPDR MFS Systematic Core Equity ETF
TLH iShares Barclays 10-20 Year Treasury Bond Fund
TOMDF Toldos Medical
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ
UBG E-TRACS UBS Bloomberg CMCI Gold ETN
UCI E-TRACS UBS Bloomberg CMCI ETN
UDN PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bearish Fund
UDOW ProShares Indices
UDPIX Ultra Dow 30 Profund Investor Class
UGL ProShares Ultra Gold
UGLD VelocityShares 3x Long Gold ETN
ULE ProShares Ultra Euro
UPRO ProShares UltraPro S&P 500 ETF
URR Market Vectors Double Long Euro ETN
USA Liberty All-Star Equity Fund
USCI United States Commodity Index
USDU WisdomTree Bloomberg USD Bullish ETF Fund
USLV VelocityShares 3x Long Silver ETN
USMC Principal U.S. Mega-Cap Multi-Factor Index ETF
USO United States Oil Fund, LP
USSD WisdomTree Strong Dollar US Equity ETF
USV E-TRACS UBS Bloomberg CMCI Silver ETN
UUP PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
VFINX Vanguard Index Trust 500 Index Fund
VONE V-One Corporation
VOO VANGUARD FIVE HUNDRED INDEX
VV Vanguard Large-Cap ETF
XLG Rydex Russell Top 50 ETF
XRLV PowerShares S&P 500ex-Rate SnsvLwVtl ETF
ZF The Zweig Fund Inc.
ZSL ProShares UltraShort Silver
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PERSONAL BLOG

Latest Posts
PAM Market Report (June 26, 2019): Gold Finally Tops Out; Yields Rise, DXY Rises Along; Bitcoin Assets Top Out Today Or Tomorrow
The intraday internal price correction for SPX requires a longer time frame than seen so far. The Bitcoin market is probably on its final rally, which means that we could see the top of ETH/USD tomorrow. If ETH/USD is a good proxy for this domain, then the BTC universe could be topping out tomorrow.
Lessons From 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis: Bonds Give Back Most Of Their Gains; SPX Climbs Till Year-End; Cryptos Sensitive To Systemic Liquidity
The debt ceiling crisis fuels extraordinary declines in yields (rise in prices), but shortly after the government can borrow again, bonds give back their gains, and yields rise correspondingly. Bitcoin assets should make new highs in a few days. But time is running out for the bitcoin universe.
PAM Market Report (June 20, 2019): Rising Oil Prices Decouple From Falling Yields; SPX Makes New Higher High And A Top
The debt ceiling crisis fuels extraordinary moves in bonds, but not long after the government can borrow again, bonds give back their gains. Gold outperformance more of a function of weaker DXY than the fall in yields.Bitcoin assets makes new highs. But time is running out of the BTC universe.
PAM Market Report: (June 11, 2019): Rising Yields A Tailwind For Equities; Bitcoins Completed A Consolidation, Set For New Highs
The bond market finally acknowledges the gains made by stocks in the past week. Rising yields should provide a tailwind for the SPX minis and TQQQs. Bitcoin and Ethereum assets may have completed a large consolidation process and should rally towards a new high from here..
PAM Market Report (May 13, 2019): Exiting Short Equity Positions; Tracking The Bottom Of Oil To Exit Short Positions And Go Long Oil
PAM exiting legacy short equity positions; tracking the bottom of oil to exit short positions and go long oil. Tracking the bottom of the equity market sell-off to initiate equity longs, and bond short trades. PAM also looking to exit short US dollar trades and go long DXY.
PAM Market Report (May 8, 2019): Looking For Levels To Buy Equities And To Get Short Bonds, For Two To Three Week Trades
China-US trade talks enter a two-week hiatus where extensive negotiations will take place. That allows markets to calm down, and may see a claw-back of recent equity markets losses, as well as rising bond yields. PAM starts looking to buy equities and get short bonds, for two to three week trades.
May 1, 2019 : FOMC Day - Testing The Liquidity Models' Parameters On Forecasts Of Falling Equities And Yields; Oil On Verge Of Collapse
FOMC Day -- testing parameters provided by the liquidity models on tops; troughs. This is a chance to see how the models perform even as monetary policy is promulgated.
DXY Will Peak Either Today Or Tomorrow (Apr 25-Apr 26); Crude Oil At The Cusp Of A Major Top As Well
The Predictive Analytic Model community has been looking for levels to sell DXY and Oil ETFs. Finally on April 25, 2019, we saw the signals from the Liquidity Models that we are running. This is the PAM Market Report for that day, April 25, 2019.

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