Predictive Analytic Models (PAM)

Robert P. Balan runs a trading and trading advisory service,Predictive Analytic Models, (PAM). PAM provides REAL-TIME trading advice and strategies and actual trades using guidance from US Treasury, Federal Reserve and term market money flows.

Robert has ... more


The SPX Lost 250 Points In 6 Trading Days: When, And At What Level, Will The Bloodbath End?
The S&P 500 Index lost circa 250 points in 6 trading days. There's a system which called the top, and may also call the bottom. The market's monetary systemic liquidity models called the interim top in mid-July, and also called the current sell-off.
Equity Counter-Trend Rally In Place; Yields Bottoming Out; DXY Resumes The Uptrend
Here is the Market Report At The Chat, March 26, 2019. The report includes updates throughout the day.


Latest Comments
What The Fed Did Do At Its Last Meeting On April 30 - May 1, 2019
4 months ago

Fantastic article, Alan. Thanks for sharing.

PAM Sells The DXY And Buy EUR, AUD; Sells Gasoline And Refiners - Opportunistic Trades
5 months ago

Maybe you start with the primers Adam.

In this article: UGA, UUP
Equity Counter-Trend Rally In Place; Yields Bottoming Out; DXY Resumes The Uptrend
5 months ago

Hey Alan,

Thanks for steering me to TalkMarkets. You were on holiday?s?

In this article: QQQ, GLD, SLV, TLT, UUP, SPX, CRAK, DRIP
1 to 4 of 4 comments


AGQ ProShares Ultra Silver
AMCA iShares Russell 1000 Pure US Revenue ETF
BAR Direxion Daily Gold Bull 3X ETF
BCM iPath Pure Beta Broad Commodity ETN
BITCF First Bitcoin Capital Corp.
BXUB Barclays Bank PLC
BXUC Barclays Bank PLC
CEF Central Fund of Canada Limited
CFA Compass EMP US 500 Vol Wtd ETF
CHGX Change Finance Diversified Impact U.S. Large Cap Fossil Fuel Free ETF
CMDT iShares Commodity Optimized Trust
COMT iShares Commodities Select Strategy
CRF Cornerstone Total Return Fund
CSCR Credit Suisse X-Links Cmdty Rotation ETN
DBC PowerShares DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
DBP PowerShares DB Precious Metals Fund
DBS PowerShares DB Silver Fund
DDM ProShares Ultra Dow30
DDP PowerShares DB Commodity Short ETN
DEE PowerShares DB Commodity Double Shrt ETN
DEUS Deutsche X-trackers Russell 1000 CmpsFtr
DGL PowerShares DB Gold Fund
DGLD VelocityShares 3x Inverse Gold ETN
DGP PowerShares DB Gold Double Long ETN
DGZ DB Gold Short ETN
DIA SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average
DJCI UBS AG, Jersey Branch
DJP iPath Dow Jones-UBS Commodity Index Total Return ETN
DMRL DeltaShares S&P 500 Managed Risk ETF
DOG ProShares Short Dow30
DPU PowerShares DB Commodity Long ETN
DRR Market Vectors Double Short Euro ETN
DSLV VelocityShares 3x Inverse Silver ETN
DULL Direxion Daily Silver Miners Index Bear 2x Shares ETF
DUSA DUSA Pharmaceuticals Inc.
DWAC Elkhorn Commodity Rotation Strategy ETF
DXD ProShares UltraShort Dow30
DYY PowerShares DB Commodity Double Long ETN
DZZ PowerShares DB Gold Double Short ETN
EEH ELEMENTS Linked to the SPECTRUM Large CAP U.S. Sector Momentum Index
EPS WisdomTree Earnings 500 Fund
EQAL PowerShares Russell 1000 Equal Wght ETF
EQL ALPS Equal Sector Weight ETF
ESGL Oppenheimer ESG Revenue ETF
ESGS Columbia Sustainable US Equity Inc ETF
EUFX ProShares Short Euro
EUO ProShares UltraShort Euro
FAAR First Trust Alt Abs Ret Strat ETF
FEX First Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund
FMK First Trust Mega Cap AlphaDEX Fund
FWDD Madrona Domestic
FXE Euro Currency Trust
GBTC Bitcoin Investment Trust
GCC WisdomTree Continuous Commodity ETF
GEUR AdvisorShares Trust
GHE REX Gold Hedged FTSE Emerging Markets ETF
GHS Rex Gold Hedged S&P 500 ETF
GLDI Credit Suisse X-Links Gold Shares Covered Call ETN
GLL ProShares UltraShort Gold
GLTR ETFS Precious Metals Basket Trust
GOVT iShares Core U.S. Treasury Bond ETF
GSC GS Connect S&P GSCI Enhanced Commodity Total Return Strategy Index ETN
GSEW Goldman Sachs Equal Weight U.S.
GSG iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust
GSLC Guaranty Financial Corp
GSP iPathSM S&P GSCI Total Return Index ETN
GTU Central GoldTrust
GYEN AdvisorShares Gartman Gold/Yen ETF
HUSV First Trust Hrzn MgdVolatil Domestic ETF
HYG iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond Fund
IAU iShares COMEX Gold Trust
IEF iShares Lehman 7-10 Year Treasury Bond Fund
IVV iShares S&P 500 Index Fund
IWB iShares Russell 1000 Index Fund
IWL iShares Trust
JHML JHancock Multifactor Large Cap ETF
JKD iShares Morningstar Large Core Index Fund
JUNE Dhandho Junoon ETF
LGLV SPDR Russell 1000 Low Volatility ETF
MGC Vanguard Mega Cap 300 Index ETF
NASDX The California Funds Nasdaq 100 Index Fund
OEF iShares S&P 100 Index ETF
OEW Guggenheim S&P 100 Equal Weight ETF
ONEO SPDR Russell 1000 Momentum ETF
ONEV SPDR Russell 1000 Low Volatil ETF
ONEY SPDR Russell 1000 Yield ETF
OPD Guggenheim Large Cp Optimizd Divers ETF
OTPIX Nasdaq-100 Profund Investor Class
OUNZ Van Eck Merk Gold ETF
OVLC Guggenheim US Lg Cp Optimized Vol ETF
PDBC PowerShares DB Optm Yd Dvrs Cdty Srt ETF
PHYS Sprott Physical Gold Trust
PLTM First Trust ISE Global Platinum Index Fund
PMOM Principal Sustainable Momentum ETF
PPLC PortfolioPlus S&P 500 ETF
PPLT ETFS Platinum Trust
PRF Powershares FTSE RAFI US 1000 Portfolio
PSLV Sprott Physical Silver Trust ET
PSQ ProShares Short QQQ
QID ProShares UltraShort QQQ
QLD ProShares Ultra QQQ
QQQ PowerShares QQQ Trust Series 1
QQQE Direxion Trust
QQXT First Trust NASDAQ - 100 Ex
RCOM Elkhorn Fundamental Commodity Strat ETF
RJI ELEMENTS Rogers Commodity ETN
RSP Rydex S&P Equal Weight ETF
RVRS Reverse Cap Weighted US Large Cap ETF
RYARX Rydex Series Fds Inverse S&P 500 Strategy Fund
SBUS ETFS Diversified-Factor US Large Cap
SDOW ProShares Indices
SDS ProShares UltraShort S&P500
SGOL ETFS Physical Swiss Gold
SH ProShares Short S&P500
SHNY Direxion Daily Silver Miners Index Bull 2x Shares ETF
SIVR ETFS Silver Trust
SLV iShares Silver Trust
SLVO Credit Suisse X-Links Silver CovCall ETN
SPDN Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1X ETF
SPHB PowerShares S&P 500 High Beta Portfolio ETF
SPHQ PowerShares Exchange-Traded Funds Trust
SPLG SPDR Portfolio Large Cap ETF
SPLV PowerShares S&P 500 Low Volatility Portfolio ETF
SPMO PowerShares S&P 500 Momentum
SPPP Sprott Physical Platinum and Palladium Trust
SPUU Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 2X ETF
SPXE ProShares S&P 500 ex-Energy
SPXL Direxion Daily S&P500 Bull 3X ETF
SPXN ProShares S&P 500 ex-Financials
SPXS Direxion Daily S&P500 Bear 3X ETF
SPXT ProShares S&P 500 ex-Technology
SPXU ProShares Trust
SPXV ProShares S&P 500 ex-Health Care
SQQQ ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
SSO ProShares Ultra S&P500
SYE SPDR MFS Systematic Core Equity ETF
TLH iShares Barclays 10-20 Year Treasury Bond Fund
TOMDF Toldos Medical
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ
UDN PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bearish Fund
UDOW ProShares Indices
UDPIX Ultra Dow 30 Profund Investor Class
UGL ProShares Ultra Gold
UGLD VelocityShares 3x Long Gold ETN
ULE ProShares Ultra Euro
UPRO ProShares UltraPro S&P 500 ETF
URR Market Vectors Double Long Euro ETN
USA Liberty All-Star Equity Fund
USCI United States Commodity Index
USDU WisdomTree Bloomberg USD Bullish ETF Fund
USLV VelocityShares 3x Long Silver ETN
USMC Principal U.S. Mega-Cap Multi-Factor Index ETF
USO United States Oil Fund, LP
USSD WisdomTree Strong Dollar US Equity ETF
UUP PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
VFINX Vanguard Index Trust 500 Index Fund
VONE V-One Corporation
VV Vanguard Large-Cap ETF
XLG Rydex Russell Top 50 ETF
XRLV PowerShares S&P 500ex-Rate SnsvLwVtl ETF
ZF The Zweig Fund Inc.
ZSL ProShares UltraShort Silver
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Latest Posts
PAM Market Report (Sept 5, 2019): After Minor Low In Sept 10-11, Equities Rally To A Sept 16-17 Top, Then Falls Until Sept. 23-24
After equity's intermediate trough in Sept 10-11, we should see a strong rally to a top on Sept 16-17. That may be followed by a sharper decline, until Sept 23-24.
PAM Market Report (Aug 23, 2019): Equities Overdue For Declines Short-Term; PAM Sells Today, Go Long Gold, Bonds Again
We're really due, even overdue, for equity declines in the short-term. That a sell-off is overdue is also confirmed by the 2019 SOMA (Fed) Model. PAM sells equities TODAY.
PAM Market Report (Aug 7, 2019): Stable Regime Should Last Until Aug 20; SPX, Yields, DXY, Oil Will Rise, Gold, PMs Correct Lower
High Frequency SPX model confirms that, indeed, the bottom of the recent sell-off was August 5. That's also confirmed in the chart of the 5yr averages in TCB, SOMA, SPX.
PAM Market Report (Aug 1, 2019): Equities Short-Term Trough Next Week; Yields' Trough May Be Seen In Two Weeks; DXY Will Fall
We are approaching a short-term stock market support, which looks to occur after a week. The current consolidation resolves into further declines until August 5 or 6, if the models' inflection points are correct. Then barriers appear sometime in August 22, plus/minus 2 days.
PAM Market Report (July 24, 2019): Equities, Yields Should Finally Keel Over And Fall; DXY Weakens, Gold And Miners Gain
We have seen the upticks in SPX and yields signaled by the liquidity models; if these indicators are correct, we should see equities and yields finally keel over and fall. If the implications of a yield decline is correct, then necessarily DXY has to weaken.
PAM Market Report (July 22, 2019): Anticipating Final Upticks In SPX, Yields, DXY, And A Final Dip In Gold And In Miners
The SPX model is looking forfinal upticks in equity futures starting today. The Liquidity Model for 10yr yield is also looking for similar uptick to a top. Finally, cryptos are in various stages of "testing the lows" over the next day or so. Once done, expect cryptos to move significantly higher.
PAM Market Report (July 18, 2019): PAM Buys PMs, Miners Oil, Refiners And Cryptos; Sells Equities On A Corrective Rebound
We expect equities, yields to resume the down trend which the models indicate are upon us now. PAM expects this sell-off to bottom during the first week of August; followed by two weeks of upside correction, and then finally, further sell-off until the first week of September.
PAM Market Report (June 26, 2019): Gold Finally Tops Out; Yields Rise, DXY Rises Along; Bitcoin Assets Top Out Today Or Tomorrow
The intraday internal price correction for SPX requires a longer time frame than seen so far. The Bitcoin market is probably on its final rally, which means that we could see the top of ETH/USD tomorrow. If ETH/USD is a good proxy for this domain, then the BTC universe could be topping out tomorrow.

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