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Ironman

Blogger at Political Calculations
Contributor's Links: Political Calculations
Ironman is the alias of the blogger at Political Calculations, a site that develops, applies and presents both established and cutting edge theory to the topics of investing, business and economics. We should acknowledge that Ironman is either formerly or currently, and quite possibly, ...more
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2016's Explosion In U.S. Soybean Exports To China
Friday, December 9, 2016 12:55 PM EDT
The volume of U.S. soybean exports to China in 2016 is well ahead of what was recorded in recent years, and most importantly where the calculation of real, inflation-adjusted GDP growth is concerned, well ahead of what was recorded in 2015.
In this article: SOYB
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China Buys 78% Of U.S. Soybean Exports To World In October 2016
Thursday, December 8, 2016 10:16 AM EDT
In October 2016, the United States saw the value of the goods and exports that it exports to China explode upward to the highest value on record since October-December 2013.
In this article: SOYB
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The S&P 500 In Week 5 Of November 2016
Monday, December 5, 2016 4:41 AM EDT
In the absence of more fundamental events to change expectations or new noise events, we think that the S&P 500 will continue running to the high side of our forecast range for 2017-Q2, which shows the effects of a small echo from late 2015.
In this article: SPX
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Dividends: Bad News And Good News For U.S. Economy
Friday, December 2, 2016 8:00 AM EDT
The month marks the 37th consecutive month in which the number of dividend cuts has exceeded a threshold that is consistent with recessionary conditions being present in the U.S. economy.
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The Evolution Of U.S. Median New Home Sale Prices
Wednesday, November 30, 2016 4:30 AM EDT
The primary factor fueling the decoupling of median new home sale prices and median household income in the United States away from its long term relationship is a shortage of available homes.
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What Derailed The U.S.' Recovery From The Great Recession?
Tuesday, November 29, 2016 3:59 AM EDT
Share buybacks by S&P 500 firms since 2009 have reduced the number of outstanding shares over time.
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The S&P 500 In Weeks 3 And 4 Of November 2016
Monday, November 28, 2016 3:53 AM EDT
The outcome of the elections contributed quite a lot of noise, where the actual trajectory of the S&P 500 swung from the low end of our forecast range to the high end.
In this article: SPY
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The Growing Farm-Raised U.S. Turkey
Monday, November 21, 2016 1:17 PM EDT
Without the increase in productivity, nearly all food prices would be considerably higher in real terms today, so if you're looking for something to be thankful for this week, there's something to cheer.
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Fall 2016 Snapshot Of Expected Future S&P 500 Earnings
Thursday, November 17, 2016 7:21 AM EDT
Trailing year earnings for the S&P 500 has indeed rebounded off its bottom, which was set in March 2016.
In this article: SPX
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Trade Data: China Grows And U.S. Shrinks
Wednesday, November 16, 2016 7:47 AM EDT
According to international trade data reported by the U.S. Census Bureau, the U.S. economy appears to have unexpectedly slowed after having shown signs of slow but steady improvement in recent months.
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Dividend Cuts Ramp Up In U.S. Economy
Tuesday, November 15, 2016 7:52 AM EDT
The rate at which distressed U.S. firms are announcing dividend cuts has increased significantly over the last two weeks, as economic momentum slows.
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The S&P 500 In Week 2 Of November 2016
Monday, November 14, 2016 5:41 AM EDT
The second week of November 2016 was everything a bored market watcher could hope for, and more!
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After The Markets Rumbled
Thursday, November 10, 2016 7:16 AM EDT
Markets are different today than they were in 1929. They don't wait anywhere near as long to prove the pronouncements of otherwise brilliant economists to be wrong. It's a big part of what makes them so fascinating to observe.
In this article: SPX
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Noise And Order In The S&P 500 Before Election Day
Tuesday, November 8, 2016 7:40 AM EDT
For the U.S. stock market, a close call to a break down in the relative period of order that has existed since the end of the first quarter of 2016.
In this article: SPX
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The S&P 500 In Week 1 Of November
Monday, November 7, 2016 5:14 AM EDT
The first week of November 2016 ended with a whimper, even though the S&P 500 fell for the ninth consecutive day - something it hasn't done since 1980!
In this article: SPX
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Will The S&P 500 Make It 9 Losing Days In A Row?
Friday, November 4, 2016 8:29 AM EDT
Over the past eight trading days, the S&P 500 is doing something highly unusual in having declined in value from the previous day's closing value in each of those days.
In this article: SPX
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