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Ironman is the alias of the blogger at Political Calculations, a site that develops, applies and presents both established and cutting edge theory to the topics of investing, business and economics. We should acknowledge that Ironman is either formerly or currently, and quite possibly, ... more


Latest Posts
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Cumulative Dividend Cuts At The Midpoint Of 2019-Q2
We count 41 individual dividend cuts through the middle of 2019-Q2, with 22 announced by firms in the oil and gas sector, 13 in the financial sector, and 4 from mining industry firms.
Spring 2019 Snapshot Of Expected Future S&P 500 Earnings
The last three months have seen the biggest downdraft in the projected growth of the S&P 500's earnings per share since the earnings recession of 2015-Q3 through 2017-Q2.
S&P 500 Goes On Volatile Ride With Fed Rate Cut Timing At Stake
The S&P 500 (Index: SPX​) experienced an interesting level of volatility during the third week of May 2019, as investors shifted how far forward in time they're looking into the future twice during the week.
S&P 500 Knocked About By Noisy U.S.-China Trade Negotiations
The S&P 500 (Index: SPX​) set no new records during the week of trading ending on Friday, 10 May 2019, where stock prices mostly appeared to react to the noise generated by trade negotiations between the United States and China.
A Year Of Trade Losses In U.S.-China Tariff War
In March 2018, a trade war between the U.S. and China began when President Trump initiated tariffs on $50 billion of Chinese-produced goods such as steel and aluminum.
Regional Real Estate Trends In The US
The recent rapid decline of mortgage rates combined with stagnant house sale prices has resulted in a recovery in the months since mortgage rates peaked in November 2018, where they have rebounded by 5% through February 2019.
Signs Of A Rebound In Western U.S. Existing Home Sales
Through February 2019, 30-year mortgage rates in the U.S. have dropped six-tenths of a percent. Going into March 2019, mortgage rates have continued to drop, reaching a low of 4.06% near the end of that month.
S&P 500 Touches New High As Fed Sets Course Of Inaction
The S&P 500 (Index: SPX) bounced up to reach a new high closing value of 2,945.83 on Tuesday, 30 April 2019, before dipping back on the next two trading days and finally closing a fraction of a point below that level on Friday, May 2019.
1 In 13 Chance Of U.S. Recession Starting Before May 2020
The Federal Reserve chose to leave short term interest rates in the United States unchanged at the conclusion of its third two-day meeting of 2019 on 1 May 2019, holding its target range for the Federal Funds Rate between 2.25% and 2.50%.
Dividends By The Numbers For April 2019
April 2019 was not a good month for investors looking for sources of dividend income, where the U.S. stock market saw both fewer increases and more decreases than what was recorded for the same month a year earlier.
Market Cap Of U.S. New Homes Nears Correction
If you saw the news headlines earlier this week, you already know that new home sales in the U.S. showed signs of a rebound in March 2019.
Still Out Of Whack
Although not as bad as in 2009, the U.S. government's spending is still pretty far out of whack, holding well above the level the Zero Deficit Line indicates would be affordable for typical American households.
Direct U.S.-China Trade Contracts 9% In First Year Of Tariff War
The year-over-year growth rate of U.S. imports from China has dropped into negative territory in recent months, which in the absence of the trade war, would indicate a deterioration in the relative health of the U.S. economy.
S&P 500 Mostly Flat In Holiday-Shortened Week 3 Of April 2019
If investors are in any rush to push the S&P 500 (Index: SPX) above the record high closing value of 2,930.75 is set back on 20 September 2019, they didn't betray any sign of it during the Good Friday holiday-shortened third week of April 2019.
Improved Outlook For Global Economy Boosts S&P 500
The S&P 500 continued its upward trajectory in the second week of April 2019, where it is now within 24 points or 0.1%, of its previous peak of 2,930.75 set back on 20 September 2019.
Existing Home Sales Trends By U.S. Census Regions
"Location, location, location." That's the mantra of real estate agents for explaining why sales in some areas are hot while sales in other areas are not.
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