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Blogger at Political Calculations
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Ironman is the alias of the blogger at Political Calculations, a site that develops, applies and presents both established and cutting edge theory to the topics of investing, business and economics. We should acknowledge that Ironman is either formerly or currently, and quite possibly, ... more


Latest Posts
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Specter Of Inflation And Rising Interest Rates Shock S&P 500
There was exactly one big story driving the action for the S&P 500 in the final week of February 2021. Incoming data suggested the specter of inflation is not as distant as had been assumed.
The Global Double Dip Coronavirus Recession Deepens
After new rounds of government-mandated lockdowns sent large portions of the global economy into a double dip recession in December 2020, the global economy continued cooling in January 2021.
Stalled Momentum For S&P 500
The S&P 500's upward momentum stalled out in the MLK holiday shorted trading week. The index closed the week at 3,906.71, down 0.7% from the previous week's record high closing value.
Winter 2021 Snapshot Of Expected Future S&P 500 Earnings
Every three months, we take a snapshot of the expectations for future earnings in the S&P 500 at approximately the midpoint of the current quarter, shortly after most U.S. firms have announced their previous quarter's earnings.
Dividend Cuts At The Midpoint Of 2021-Q1
Dividend paying stocks in the U.S. stock market are continuing to coast on the positive momentum they established in the second half of 2020.
The S&P 500 Inches Up To New High
The S&P 500 inched up to close at a new record high of 3,934.83 on Friday, 12 February 2021. This is nice, but we have a bigger problem ahead of us.
January 2021 Snapshot Of Who Owns The U.S. National Debt
As Joe Biden was sworn in as President of the United States on 20 January 2021, the U.S. national debt reached $27.6 trillion. To whom did the U.S. government owe all that money on that date?
U.S.- China Trade Surged In December 2020
Year over year, the value of goods traded between the U.S. and China surged in December 2020.
S&P 500 Volatility Eases As Investors Focus On 2021-Q2
With no new Lévy flight events, the first week of February 2021 saw volatility ease for the S&P 500.
Dividends By The Numbers In January 2021
If you looked just at dividend increases and decreases announced by publicly traded U.S. firms during January 2021, you would think it was a pretty run-of-the-mill month.
Median Household Income In December 2020
Median household income in the United States has been rebounding since July 2020, where revised data puts the bottom at $65,858.
Shifting Time Horizon Of Investors Driving S&P 500
From time to time, the S&P 500 experiences Lévy flight events. These are periods where stock prices move by a much larger-than-typical amount, which coincide with changes in the forward time horizon of investors.
Is GE Overvalued?
As of 27 January 2021, GE's market cap was just above where it was when it last declared dividends on 11 December 2020, which falls within the upper end of the expected range.
The Price Of Campbell's Tomato Soup In The Coronavirus Pandemic
The average discounted sale price of a Number 1 can of Campbell's Condensed Tomato Soup jumped 13 cents per can during 2020, rising from $0.86 to $0.99 from March through December as the coronavirus pandemic worked its way.
Disorder In The S&P 500 During The Coronavirus Recession
Today, we're taking on the economic story of the coronavirus recession in the United States, as seen through the lens of the relationship between the S&P 500 and its trailing year dividends per share.
S&P 500 Reaches New Highs On Netflix News
The S&P 500 popped to new highs in the third week of January 2021, before tailing off on Friday, 22 January 2021 to close 11.60 points below its new high mark of 3,853.07.
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