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Blogger at Political Calculations
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Ironman is the alias of the blogger at Political Calculations, a site that develops, applies and presents both established and cutting edge theory to the topics of investing, business and economics. We should acknowledge that Ironman is either formerly or currently, and quite possibly, ... more


Latest Posts
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Dividends By The Numbers In June 2020 And 2020-Q2
The Coronavirus Recession is having a devastating impact on many dividend-paying firms in the U.S. stock market, producing what may be the worst quarter for dividend-focused investors in the modern era of stock market history.
Median Household Income In May 2020
Median household income in the U.S. has declined by 1.4% from the revised $66,627 recorded in February 2020.
S&P 500 Investors Rein In Expectations For Monetary Policy, Shift Time Horizon
As expected, answers to the questions we asked last week were forthcoming, allowing us to eliminate one of the two primary hypotheses we raised for what caused the S&P 500 to suddenly drop 5.9% on June 11, 2020.
U.S. New Home Market Showing Surprising Resiliency
The new home market in the U.S. is showing surprising resiliency during 2020's coronavirus pandemic.
Forthcoming Answers To What Caused The S&P 500's Market Shift
With the stock market's behavior so interesting, this is definitely a fun time for us.
Is The Worst Behind Us For Coronavirus Recession Dividend Cuts?
The number of dividend cuts being announced each day in the U.S. stock market began to explode in response to the developing coronavirus recession on 16 March 2020.
A Lévy Flight Or A Changing Amplification Factor For The S&P 500
We miss the old days when the amplification factor for the S&P 500 was virtually a constant.
U.S. New Home Market Cap Started Shrinking In April 2020
The trailing twelve month average market capitalization of the U.S. new home sales market peaked in March 2020 before beginning to shrink in April 2020.
U.S. Exports To China Jump After China Reopens Economy
U.S. exports to China jumped in April 2020, following the Chinese government's reopening of China's economy after having closed it for weeks to arrest the outbreak of what has become the global SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus pandemic.
Surprisingly Positive Jobs Report Alters Outlook For S&P 500
For the S&P 500, the biggest news of the week ending 5 June 2020 was the surprisingly positive jobs report that came out on Friday morning, which prompted the index to soar 2.6% to close the week at 3,193.93.
Median Household Income In April 2020
The initial estimate of median household income in May 2020 is $66,027, down 0.6% from March 2020's initial estimate of $66,458.
Dividends By The Numbers In May 2020
It came close, but the combined number of dividend cuts and suspensions announced by U.S. publicly-traded companies fell slightly short of the record levels recorded in April 2020.
Spring 2020 Snapshot Of Expected Future S&P 500 Earnings
The Coronavirus Recession has monkey hammered S&P 500's projected earnings through 2020.
S&P 500 Breaks Back Above 3,000 In Upside Down Market
The upside down stock market has continued powering upward, with the S&P 500 breaking back above the 3,000 level to close the month of May at 3,044.31.
How Deadly Is The COVID-19 Coronavirus?
After being exposed to a sufficient amount of the SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus to become infected, early studies have indicated COVID-19 symptoms can take anywhere from 4.5 to 5.8 days to develop, with a median incubation period of 5.1 days.
The Prospects For Negative Rates And The Trajectory Of The S&P 500
The S&P 500 is tracking along the lower end of the redzone forecast range of the alternative futures chart, which assumes investors are looking forward toward 2020-Q4 in setting today's stock prices.
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