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Ironman is the alias of the blogger at Political Calculations, a site that develops, applies and presents both established and cutting edge theory to the topics of investing, business and economics. We should acknowledge that Ironman is either formerly or currently, and quite possibly, ... more

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Median Household Income In December 2022
Adjusted for inflation, December 2022's estimated median household income represents a new record peak for this demographic characteristic, exceeding the revised December 2021's previous peak by $1,499.
Recession Probability Nearing 50%
An analytical model developed by an analyst at the U.S. Federal Reserve said the odds the NBER will say a recession began sometime between mid-December 2022 and mid-December 2023 was just one in six.
The S&P 500 Rises As Index' Dividend Outlook Improves
The dividend outlook for the S&P 500 in 2023 continued to improve. Combined with recent upward momentum, the index closed at 4,070.56, some 13.5% above its Oct. 12, 2022 bottom, but still 15.1% below its Jan. 3, 2022 record high peak.
New Home Market Capitalization Crash Continues
New home prices are now falling.
The Trillion Dollar Years Of The S&P 500
In 1982, the total market capitalization of the S&P 500 exceeded $1 trillion for the first time. In 2022, the index closed the year with a total market cap of $32.12 trillion.
Are Americans Getting Real Value From Biden's Debt-Fueled Spending?
Friday, January 20, 2023 marked the second anniversary of President Biden's tenure in the White House. On that day, the U.S. government's total public debt outstanding reached $31,454,980,005,742.40.
The S&P 500 In A Week When Not Much Happened To Change Anything
The S&P 500 ended the week down 26.48 points from the previous Friday, closing at 3,972.61. In between the two Fridays, the index dipped and recovered, but otherwise experienced an uneventful week.
The Price History Of Campbell's Tomato Soup
Political Calculations has tracked the price history of Campbell's Condensed Tomato Soup over the past 126 years because of its remarkable consistency as an identifiable product over time.
Global Economy Stagnates To End 2022
Earth's economic growth, as measured by the pace at which carbon dioxide accumulates in the atmosphere, slipped a bit during December 2022. That mildly negative change indicates the global economy stagnated as 2022 ended.
Brightening Outlook For 2023 Dividends Boosts S&P 500
We're seeing a remarkable change in investors' expectations for 2023's dividends for the S&P 500.
U.S. Imports From China Collapse In November 2022
U.S. imports of goods produced in China collapsed further in November 2022, continuing the plunge that began in September.
U.S. New Homes Stay Out Of Affordable Reach
If it wasn't for October 2022's all-time record low for affordability, the cost of owning a new home in November 2022 would itself have set a new record.
U.S. New Home Market Enters 2023 In Distress
Political Calculations' initial estimate of the market capitalization of new homes for November 2022, the data for which was released just before the holidays, is $25.35 billion.
2022's Volatility Continues Into 2023 For The S&P 500
The first week of trading in 2023 saw the S&P 500 rise 1.4% over where it ended 2022, closing the week at 3,895.08.
Dividends By The Numbers In December 2022 And 2022-Q4
Dividend-paying stocks in the U.S. stock market closed in December 2022 with a mixed showing.
Median Household Income In November 2022
The initial estimate of median household income in November 2022 is $79,212, an increase of $399 (or 0.5%) from the initial estimate of $78,813 in October 2022.
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