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Blogger at Political Calculations
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Ironman is the alias of the blogger at Political Calculations, a site that develops, applies and presents both established and cutting edge theory to the topics of investing, business and economics. We should acknowledge that Ironman is either formerly or currently, and quite possibly, ...more

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Diverging Trends In U.S. Trade With China And The Rest Of The World
Trade between the U.S. and China ticked up in April 2024 over March 2024's level, but not by enough to reverse its falling trend.
U.S. Probability Of Recession In Next Twelve Months Hovers Near 70%
In recent weeks, the spread between 10-year and 3-month constant maturity U.S. Treasuries has been rising, which points to the likelihood the downward trend in the recession probability's trajectory may soon reverse.
S&P 500 Rises As Hot Jobs Report Pushes Back Expected Rate Cuts
The S&P 500 turned in a solid performance during the trading week ending Friday, 7 June 2024. The index closed up by 1.53 over its previous week's close and even recorded a new record high of 5,354.03 in the middle of the week.
New Homes Remain Out Of Reach For Most American Households
The average interest rate for a conventional fixed-rate 30-year mortgage in May 2024 is 7.06%, which is slightly higher than the 6.99% average for April 2024.
Dividends By The Numbers In May 2024
May 2024 was a solid month for the dividend paying firms of the U.S. stock market.
Median Household Income In April 2024
Motio Research's monthly estimates of median household income are based on income data collected by the U.S. Census Bureau as part of its monthly Current Population Survey.
S&P 500 Investor Focus Shifts Forward To 2024-Q4
The S&P 500 lost a half percent of its value from its previous week's close during the Memorial Day holiday-shortened week.
Median Income For Individuals By U.S. State
On 9 April 2024, the U.S. Census Bureau released its Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics data for incomes earned by individual Americans in May 2023.
Downward Momentum For New Home Sales Reasserts Itself
After the preceding month's better-than-expected numbers, the number of new home sales in the U.S. fell in April 2024. Worse, the estimated number of new home sales for January through March 2024 was revised downward.
How Long To Pay Off Your Credit Card?
As inflation continues biting consumers, news headlines involving their finances have become more dire. Here's an example: 1/5 of Americans have ‘maxed out’ their credit cards as inflation and high interest rates push delinquencies to 3-year high
The S&P 500 Coasts Into Fifth Up Week Ahead Of Holiday Weekend
The week's action puts the trajectory of the S&P 500 well within the forecast range for investors focusing their attention on 2024-Q3, which still coincides with Wall Street's expectations for when the Federal Reserve will execute a rate cut.
Teen Jobs Dip In April 2024
The employment situation for U.S. teenagers dipped slightly in April 2024. The seasonally adjusted number of 16-19 year olds counted as having jobs decreased from the previous month's total by 23,000 to 5,839,000.
Spring 2024 Snapshot Of The Future For S&P 500 Dividends
Why have stock prices rallied so much during the past several months?
Spring 2024 Snapshot Of Expected Future S&P 500 Earnings
The S&P 500's earnings per share had been expected to return to their March 2022 peak of $197.91 after June 2024, but now looks like it will hit that mark before the end of 2024-Q2.
S&P 500 Coasts To New Record High On Fed's Assurance Of No Rate Hikes
The S&P 500 set a new record high of 5,308.15 on Wednesday, 15 May 2024 before slipping back to close out the trading week that was at 5,303.27. The index rose a little over 1.5% about its previous week's close.
Regulations Ensure No Bank Rescue Goes Unpunished
On 31 January 2024, New York Community Bancorp dropped a bombshell earnings report. Instead of reporting anything close to the $0.29 profit per share investors expected, the bank reported a $0.27 per share loss.
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