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Ironman

Blogger at Political Calculations
Contributor's Links: Political Calculations
Ironman is the alias of the blogger at Political Calculations, a site that develops, applies and presents both established and cutting edge theory to the topics of investing, business and economics. We should acknowledge that Ironman is either formerly or currently, and quite possibly, ...more
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Private Debt In U.S. Rebounds In 2016
Tuesday, September 27, 2016 6:02 AM EDT
In the private sector, the decision to take on debt can be considered to be a bet on the future.
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The S&P 500 In Week 3 Of September 2016
Monday, September 26, 2016 6:02 AM EDT
The third full week of September 2016 saw the month's second Lévy flight event, which began in the aftermath of the Federal Reserve's FOMC meeting on Wednesday, 21 September 2016.
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The Shrinking U.S. Stock Market
Wednesday, September 21, 2016 7:37 AM EDT
Unofficially speaking, as measured by the number of domestic firms listed on U.S. stock exchanges, the U.S. stock market has shrunk to the lowest level on record in data that extends back to 1975.
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September 2016 Dividend Increases Not Sending A Clear Signal
Tuesday, September 20, 2016 7:15 AM EDT
For dividend increases, a falling number of firms announcing dividend hikes represents a negative situation, but for dividend cuts, a falling number of firms announcing that they will reduce their dividends is a positive development.
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The S&P 500 In Week 2 Of September 2016
Monday, September 19, 2016 5:42 AM EDT
The second full week of September 2016 was the most volatile one we've seen for the S&P 500 since the Brexit noise event of June 2016. At the same time, however, it was perhaps the least eventful.
In this article: SPX
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The S&P 500 In Week 1 Of September 2016
Monday, September 12, 2016 1:55 PM EDT
If investors should fully shift their attention to the current quarter of 2016-Q3, the S&P 500 could potentially fall by another 4-7% in the next week.
In this article: SPX
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Trade Data Suggests China Stabilizing As U.S. Sees Slipping Slow
Friday, September 9, 2016 3:40 AM EDT
Since bottoming in December 2015, trade data reported by the U.S. Census Bureau on the value of goods and services imported by China from the U.S. may have begun to stabilize in the last several months.
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Dividends: U.S. Economy Slipped Somewhat In August 2016
Wednesday, September 7, 2016 7:47 AM EDT
After posting their best two consecutive months since 2014, our monthly sampling of the number of U.S. firms acting to cut their dividends in August 2016 rose significantly.
In this article: DHT, SJT, TGH, JCS, CPSI, ASC, NAO
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The S&P 500 In Week 5 Of August 2016
Tuesday, September 6, 2016 8:05 AM EDT
August 2016 was a very long and very uneventful month for the S&P 500. Investors appear to have maintained a strong focus on the distant future quarter of 2017-Q2 in setting their current day expectations throughout most of the month.
In this article: SPX Also: SPY
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Fading Dividend Increases And Decreases In U.S. Stock Market
Friday, September 2, 2016 5:36 AM EDT
It may be the simplest economic indicator there is, but there is a lot that you can determine about the health of a nation's economy from the dividend policies of the domestic firms whose stocks are traded on its stock markets.
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Order, Such As It Is, Returns To The S&P 500
Wednesday, August 31, 2016 7:34 AM EDT
We've seen one outlier affecting the overall trend of the S&P 500, which corresponds to the reaction of global stock markets to the outcome of the Brexit referendum.
In this article: SPX
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Decelerating Median New Home Sale Prices
Tuesday, August 30, 2016 8:26 AM EDT
Four years ago, in July 2012, an influx of investors in the U.S. real estate market began buying up homes at an accelerated rate, which prompted a sharp rise in median new home sale prices, which lasted for a year.
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The S&P 500 In Week 4 Of August 2016
Monday, August 29, 2016 4:52 PM EDT
For a market that hasn't experienced much in the way of volatility lately, Friday, was a welcome departure for observers. Unfortunately, if you only tracked the closing price of the S&P 500 from day to day, you wouldn't have noticed.
In this article: SPX
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Summer 2016 Snapshot Of Expected Future S&P 500 Earnings
Wednesday, August 24, 2016 5:40 AM EDT
Today, for the first time in the last seven quarters, the trailing twelve month average of the S&P 500's earnings per share has risen, which suggests that the earnings recession which took hold in the fourth quarter of 2015 may finally have bottomed.
In this article: OIL
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The S&P 500 In Week 4 Of August 2016
Monday, August 22, 2016 7:32 AM EDT
August 2016 is going to be a long month. We're three weeks into it with two more to go and already, with no sign as yet the summer doldrums in the S&P 500 are anywhere near ready to give way to volatility.
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August 2016 Dividend Cuts Back In Recessionary Zone
Tuesday, August 16, 2016 3:12 PM EDT
Two weeks ago, our regular sampling of dividend cut announcements indicated that July 2016 was easily the best month for the U.S. economy in a long time, bordering on levels we associated with relatively healthy growth conditions.
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