Oh, and I'm not in favor of such terminating the old. Yes we have old people who aren't economically productive. But I think that is one of the beautiful things about the wealth of our society - we can care about things beyond survival and economic strength. Of course, we need economic strength and survival to do that - but we can invest in something greater.
I am in favor of a short lockdown to get better prepared. That said, the South Koreans are clearly learning how to treat cases. 1.1 to 2.2 million Americans? I think doing nothing would cost about 30 million life years (I'm adjusting death vs. life expectancy). Longer term mass isolation would cost north of 65 million life years. Selective isolation might cost only 15 million life years. No good choices, but there are worse ones.
Source? It might be that they will triage based on normal triage criteria - if you are unlikely to survive due to other issues then in emergencies you won't receive care.
That would be Italy, not China. Chinese medical care is poor for everybody. Italy has over 22,000 deaths a year from the flu.
If the US had the same fatality rate 135,000 Americans a year would die from the flu. About 40,000 do. Italy is uniquely unable to deal with these illnesses.
I basically agree, we should open up society - maybe in a few weeks - and we should spend heavily to combat the disease. We are a long way from universal testing. I believe, once we have it, we'll discover the disease isn't quite as dangerous as we've been calculating. We just aren't seeing many of the mild cases.
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Coronavirus: The Insanity Is Ending
www.worldometers.info/.../#duration
Coronavirus: The Insanity Is Ending
Doesn't look like it. www.worldometers.info/.../#duration
I'm A Coronavirus Heretic. Here's Why...
Oh, and I'm not in favor of such terminating the old. Yes we have old people who aren't economically productive. But I think that is one of the beautiful things about the wealth of our society - we can care about things beyond survival and economic strength. Of course, we need economic strength and survival to do that - but we can invest in something greater.
I'm A Coronavirus Heretic. Here's Why...
Israel is not failing reproductively.
I'm A Coronavirus Heretic. Here's Why...
I am in favor of a short lockdown to get better prepared. That said, the South Koreans are clearly learning how to treat cases. 1.1 to 2.2 million Americans? I think doing nothing would cost about 30 million life years (I'm adjusting death vs. life expectancy). Longer term mass isolation would cost north of 65 million life years. Selective isolation might cost only 15 million life years. No good choices, but there are worse ones.
https://youtu.be/mVCYPZhYFqs
Coronavirus: The Insanity Is Ending
It will recede. South America and much of Africa are going into winter.
Coronavirus: The Insanity Is Ending
It typically takes weeks to kill. This was only a small study, but a promising one.
I'm A Coronavirus Heretic. Here's Why...
Source? It might be that they will triage based on normal triage criteria - if you are unlikely to survive due to other issues then in emergencies you won't receive care.
I'm A Coronavirus Heretic. Here's Why...
That would be Italy, not China. Chinese medical care is poor for everybody. Italy has over 22,000 deaths a year from the flu.
If the US had the same fatality rate 135,000 Americans a year would die from the flu. About 40,000 do. Italy is uniquely unable to deal with these illnesses.
Maybe it is smoking and age...
www.ijidonline.com/.../fulltext
https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/index.html
What Our Leaders Should Be Saying...
I basically agree, we should open up society - maybe in a few weeks - and we should spend heavily to combat the disease. We are a long way from universal testing. I believe, once we have it, we'll discover the disease isn't quite as dangerous as we've been calculating. We just aren't seeing many of the mild cases.