Joseph Cox - Comments
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Joseph Cox holds a degree in Intellectual History from Univ. of Pennsylvania and a Masters in Financial Analysis.

He is the author of a number of books on related to policy. The City on the ... more

Latest Comments
Vaccines And Their Impact
22 days ago

I think India might have some ideas on that. A large number of studies outside the US are suggesting Ivermectin might be a very effective prophylactic and COVID limiter.

trialsitenews.com/an-unlikely-nation-is-kicking-this-pandemic-guess-which-then-why/

Vaccines And Their Impact
1 month ago

Lockdown or not, we currently have the 3rd highest known infection rate in the world over the last 7 days. And #2 is Andorra. At our current rate, >700/million are getting infected daily. It was 1,000/million a week or so ago.

This isn't quite apples to apples, of course. That is a daily rate of 0.001%. So, over 10 days the general population would see a 0.01% infection rate and I don't know how long the data set is for.

It is notable that of those who were infected none had a fever or were hospitalized. They had no symptoms. They were tested due to known exposure to others.

As per your recommendation, I'm signed up for my first shot Feb 10th.

www.ynetnews.com/health_science/article/Hk2URcnku

Vaccines And Their Impact
1 month ago

Here is some data from Israel that is very promising: Fewer than 0.01% of people who received Pfizer's COVID-19 vaccine have contracted the virus more than a week after receiving the second dose, the Maccabi health fund said on Monday.

Vaccines And Their Impact
1 month ago

The data from the trials certainly supports it. But Israel is having a tough time despite leading the world in vaccinations. There are too many factors (from new strains to a lack of isolation) to figure out what effect the vaccines are having.

Roots Of Riots
1 month ago

Oh, his sanity was always in question. He was still effective in some critical ways.

Whatever was left of that has been erased since the election. My mother always said, you contest the rules of elections (and how disputes are adjudicated) between the elections, never after them. Elections have always been crooked, but you follow procedure for rectifying that and then you stop. If you continue to fight the outcome after that rectification process is done, as has been done in various degrees especially since 2000, then you crack the whole foundation.

Trump lost. Yes, in lost in actual votes, but he also lost in the pre-established processes. He didn't even lose like losing candidates have in Chicago - there were some edge issues, but it was a fundamentally square election.

Just like Gore and Abrams (and Hillary to a lessor degree), the refusal to admit loss (especially post-procedure) really damages things. Trump has taken that far further, with the excuse that "the other side did it first." He is also an incumbent and since 2000, none of them have lost in this way.

His logic of escalation leads to destruction and must be countered.

If the election were held again today, Trump would be crushed.

Vaccines And Their Impact
1 month ago

And the lead is growing.

Vaccines And Their Impact
1 month ago

One person here with a penicillin allergy had a severe shock. Don't know how common it is. My wife is going in tomorrow. She has allergies to various tapes and one med. Hopefully, all will be fine.

Vaccines And Their Impact
2 months ago

Alexis Renault, you make an excellent point on unknown effects. My wife is getting scheduled for a vaccination (she is an audiologist) and I'll follow when the opportunity arises.

Vaccines And Their Impact
2 months ago

Biology - and ecology and economics and all the complex systems sciences - are full of unintended consequences. It is just extremely hard to know what will happen in biology without actually running the trials. We ran trials, but the timeline was very short. Yes, there are potential long-term risks of corona which we also don't know. But we know the risks weigh heavily towards the old and unhealthy (overweight, high BP, diabetic etc...). The higher risk you are, the clearer the equation. The lower risk, the more value in waiting to see what happens to the higher risk. It looks like lower risk people won't have any choice but to wait.

As a micro-example. there were no pregnant women in the trials. But they will get the vaccine. Do we expect any problems? No. In fact, we're pretty sure about it. But the unexpected happens in biology all the time.

The Australian Cane Toad is a great ecological example.

I do believe it will be fine. I'll just be more confident with more time.

Vaccines And Their Impact
2 months ago

They expect >60s in Israel will have their second dose by the end of January. They also expect that by the time the >70s are done, potential fatalities will have been cut by 75%.

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