I never thought he pissed gold. The basic deregulatory approach was impressive, but he was never an inspiring leader to me. Almost none of them are. He *still* might win a second term. Biden seems to be suffering from increasing mental issues. Trump, for me, is really a symptom of US political illness not the cause of it. It is a South American style battle between entrenched interests and a caudillo. He's the caudillo. They never work, but people can come to almost worship them.
These tools are still really limited. They are so much better than they were, but the energy of in-person work is not there. The accountability is also lacking - especially for people who are not self-starting.
The war was reshaping society already. It had a far far greater effect. And, yes, we are still impacted by WW I. It is our classic warning of snowball effects, of unsettled issues, of the risk of reparations etc...
Critically, the 1918 flu burned out. For whatever reason, it came and went. Part of that might have been how ineffective we were in combating it. Like a recession that keeps hanging around, a dampened virus might be worse that a sharp one.
Ayelet, in terms of politeness, yes. But the government got extensive new powers, surveillance increased, police presence was stepped way up, large events were protected like never before, hundreds of thousands went to war and thousands of Americans (and hundreds of thousands of others) died. We are still living in the aftermath of 9/11.
First, the virus will be here for a long while. The bouncing along game of "it could come back if we relax" will remain for a long while. It will mutate etc... etc... So we won't pop back out. SARS barely killed anybody in comparison, but I still changed how I cough and watch my hands then and never went back.
Second, given the change in priorities, people will shift how they live. Online management tools will get better. Home teaching will be more effective or provide other benefits. We'll do things differently.
Third, we will have tasted the power of social panic. Those who are good at it won't get set back in their boxes so easily.
Fourth, if life becomes the only criteria then what we do for life could be fundamentally shifted. Imagine if the news counted off the people who died in your city in car accidents each day. It would have a very negative effect on driving.
Because almost every ailment is called by its first place of reported origin. It has been this way for a long time. I happen to think the CCP is deeply evil - I believed it prior to Corona and believe it still - they don't get some special exemption on naming. I'm with Bill Maher on this one... https://biggeekdad.com/2020/04/virus-shaming/
I'm curious whether there could be an hereditary element. There seems to be a font of coronaviruses in Central/Eastern Asia. Do Asians and Steppe people have more inbuilt resistance to them? This would be akin to Africans and malaria. Malaria kills more Africans than anybody else, but they also have the most resistance to it. This might be skewing the data - leading to areas with higher Asian or Steppe representation (think Russia) having a lower death rate due to a sort of in-built herd immunity. It might be one of many factors separating New York and Los Angeles or Taipei and Milan.
I am not expert enough to actually opine on this - I can just look at surface level data and wonder.
Latest Comments
Does The Future Scare You?
I never thought he pissed gold. The basic deregulatory approach was impressive, but he was never an inspiring leader to me. Almost none of them are. He *still* might win a second term. Biden seems to be suffering from increasing mental issues. Trump, for me, is really a symptom of US political illness not the cause of it. It is a South American style battle between entrenched interests and a caudillo. He's the caudillo. They never work, but people can come to almost worship them.
Does The Future Scare You?
These tools are still really limited. They are so much better than they were, but the energy of in-person work is not there. The accountability is also lacking - especially for people who are not self-starting.
Does The Future Scare You?
The war was reshaping society already. It had a far far greater effect. And, yes, we are still impacted by WW I. It is our classic warning of snowball effects, of unsettled issues, of the risk of reparations etc...
Critically, the 1918 flu burned out. For whatever reason, it came and went. Part of that might have been how ineffective we were in combating it. Like a recession that keeps hanging around, a dampened virus might be worse that a sharp one.
Does The Future Scare You?
Ayelet, in terms of politeness, yes. But the government got extensive new powers, surveillance increased, police presence was stepped way up, large events were protected like never before, hundreds of thousands went to war and thousands of Americans (and hundreds of thousands of others) died. We are still living in the aftermath of 9/11.
Does The Future Scare You?
First, the virus will be here for a long while. The bouncing along game of "it could come back if we relax" will remain for a long while. It will mutate etc... etc... So we won't pop back out. SARS barely killed anybody in comparison, but I still changed how I cough and watch my hands then and never went back.
Second, given the change in priorities, people will shift how they live. Online management tools will get better. Home teaching will be more effective or provide other benefits. We'll do things differently.
Third, we will have tasted the power of social panic. Those who are good at it won't get set back in their boxes so easily.
Fourth, if life becomes the only criteria then what we do for life could be fundamentally shifted. Imagine if the news counted off the people who died in your city in car accidents each day. It would have a very negative effect on driving.
Does The Future Scare You?
Because almost every ailment is called by its first place of reported origin. It has been this way for a long time. I happen to think the CCP is deeply evil - I believed it prior to Corona and believe it still - they don't get some special exemption on naming. I'm with Bill Maher on this one... https://biggeekdad.com/2020/04/virus-shaming/
What Will It Look Like In 15 Years?
It wasn't financial so I didn't think it fit :)
Coronavirus: The Insanity Is Ending
I'm curious whether there could be an hereditary element. There seems to be a font of coronaviruses in Central/Eastern Asia. Do Asians and Steppe people have more inbuilt resistance to them? This would be akin to Africans and malaria. Malaria kills more Africans than anybody else, but they also have the most resistance to it. This might be skewing the data - leading to areas with higher Asian or Steppe representation (think Russia) having a lower death rate due to a sort of in-built herd immunity. It might be one of many factors separating New York and Los Angeles or Taipei and Milan. I am not expert enough to actually opine on this - I can just look at surface level data and wonder.
Coronavirus: The Insanity Is Ending
For now. The other Nordic countries will need to relax their controls. They won't be able to avoid it. Then what?
Coronavirus: The Insanity Is Ending
Here, I use fiction to look at what the future might bring...
talkmarkets.com/.../what-will-it-look-like-in-15-years