Terence Grennon | TalkMarkets | Page 3
Strategist
Location: New York, NY, United States
Contributor's Links: Wave-Trend Strategy
30+ yrs in finance with a concentration in asset allocation

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With Fed QE Comes Consequences
The question is whether this QE return will persist or not.
Wave-Trend Update: Gold
As represented by SPDR Gold Shares (GLD​​​​​​​), price and volume turned the wave-trend bullish this week.
Wave-Trend Update - Commodities
Commodities turn more bearish on more pronounced price wave-trend and a pick up in volume wave-trend.
Wave-Trend Update - Fixed Income
Fixed Income turns bullish on weaker consumer and producer expectations.
Wave-Trend - Equities Update
Another bearish week on the heels of a miny deflationary banking crisis.
The Capture Ratio Of Absolute Return Strategies
By having a capture ratio objective, absolute return strategies focus on beating the market by mitigating loss.
An Effective Method To Compare Risk Aversion To Speculation
There were times when market internals were consistently unfavorable, similar to last year, and we preferred T-bills or hedged equity to unhedged market risk.
Wave-Trend Update: Equities
We saw a definitive move this week in both price and volume.
Investing In Desalination
Salinized water cannot be consumed by humans, but it can be converted into freshwater … a process with already great use.
Watch Out For The Volatility Gremlins
The volatility gremlins can eat away at compound returns. Low volatility strategies that mitigate loss/volatility capture greater wealth long-term.
Momentum/Trend Following Does Well In Inflationary Periods
The effectiveness of this trend strategy in inflationary times is abundantly obvious. In addition to being profitable throughout all historical times of inflation.
The Built-In Return Advantage Of Avoiding Loss
As a result, one major advantage of avoiding losses is that market returns can be obtained with just 30% of the market's gain.
The One Asset Class That Holds Up With Inflation
Per Credit Suisse, Commodities/Gold holds its value during rising inflation.
How Long Will It Take For Inflation To Revert To 3%?
In a recenty report, Research Affliates expects it to take around 10 years. The further above 3% it gets, the longer it takes to revert.
When Should Fundamentals Be Ignored?
Generally 10x sales can signal whether a stock is possibly overvalued.
Bear Market Returns Are Probably In Our Future
The question is, given how high percentile valuations are, what should we expect will be the average equity returns over the next 10 years?
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