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Where To From Here?
Tuesday price action has been all about consolidation in the aftermath of Monday’s bout of risk liquidation flow.
Investor Risk Appetite Continues To Wane
The drag of surging coronavirus cases and the diminished prospect for a US stimulus deal ahead of next week’s election continue to weigh heavily on investor sentiment, with setbacks in US equities intensifying in Monday trade.
Risk Markets Under Pressure On Monday
There isn’t much good news as the week gets going and the result has been downside pressure on risk assets, with US equities softer and the US Dollar bid.
Sentiment Turns Down Into New Week
There has been a lot of stress around the economic impact of a coronavirus that just doesn’t want to go away, with the latest surge in cases around the globe intensifying the anxiety.
Caught Up In A Holding Pattern
As we look at the price action since the weekly open, it’s hard to ignore the weird dynamic that we’ve seen of risk off, Dollar off.
Thursday Price Action Making More Sense
The risk-off backdrop has invited US Dollar demand, something that is to be expected, and yet, not how things played out in the head-scratcher that was Risk off, Dollar off Wednesday trade.


Latest Comments
Week Kicks Off With Another Oil Dump
6 months ago

Yes....not a simple thing. Optimistic everything will work out and the right decisions will be made.

Services PMI Data Shrugged Off
7 months ago

Presumably....a little bit of both. Thank you for tuning in to the updates Kurt.

Still Plenty Of Unknowns Around The Virus
7 months ago

Indeed. Hopefully this will prove to be untrue. But it was most unsettling. Thanks for reaching out.

Still Plenty Of Unknowns Around The Virus
7 months ago

Yes. Was scary to read that. Hopefully it proves to be untrue. Thanks for reaching out.

Still Plenty Of Unknowns Around The Virus
7 months ago

Thank you for the share.

Still Plenty Of Unknowns Around The Virus
7 months ago

This was a story I saw. I can't substantiate it, but if you search, you should find. I just thought it was unsettling. Hopefully we'll get ahead of this thing real soon. Thanks for reaching out.

FOMC Decision Preview
9 months ago

Hi Bruce - It's not that we don't think the coronavirus is having a negative impact. It's more that we don't believe the negative impact will be to the extent that it demands a reaction from monetary policy. Hope that makes sense. Thank you for reaching out.

Still Waiting On The Fed Chair
1 year ago

Those won't be here, but if you are subscribed to this feed, you will be getting two calls a day, along with special reports (usually one per week around a major event) and some technical overviews of major FX markets (these are updated based on the need to do if markets are just consolidating, no change to the commentary, so no need for new technical updates). Thanks for taking the research in. Glad you're making use of it.

Still Waiting On The Fed Chair
1 year ago

Thank you. Please refer to our daily pdf report offering a little more in the way of country specific color.

Powell Offers His Reassurances To Investors
1 year ago

We believe we're in a very dangerous place right now, where the Fed needs to be more worried about financial stability risk associated with a strategy that continues to direct investors into a stock market that has flown way to high on borrowed wings. A capitulation in stocks has been overdue and should be a healthy, yet painful step, in finally moving on from a crisis that started over a decade ago.

As far as the US administration goes, it's interesting. The US administration has been committed to a trade policy that should pressure the US Dollar lower, not higher. This strategy is therefore aligned with a loose form of monetary policy, which means the more the administration pushes to disrupt on the trade front, in an effort to rebalance the US economy, the more it pressures the Fed to do exactly what it wants - which is to continue to see a Fed that errs on the side of rate cuts and accommodation (ie equals soft Dollar).

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