William K. - Comments

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Goldman's Clients Are Asking What Happens If Trump Loses And Dems Take The Senate
4 years ago

This election, like the last presidential election, shows more than ever that one more choice is needed, which would be "NONE of the ABOVE." Certainly the humiliation would be severe, but perhaps the benefit of showing that alternative policies are needed would be worth it. Presently, while controls tend to favor the rich getting richer, the rest see an erosion of freedoms and a lack of concern about their well being in general.

In this article: GS, SPX
Walmart - Overpriced For Growth?
4 years ago

The tone of constant complaint about the stock prices not rising borders on offensive. Amazingly enough there is actually more to a business than just making profit for the shareholders. I am aware that it sounds like a gross heresy, but some businesses actually exist primarily to serve their customers. It appears that Walmart is one of them.

In this article: WMT
Total U.S. Petroleum Consumption Still Down 25%, Inventories At Record High
4 years ago

Of course the pronouncements exceed reality. That is a major duty of top management.

In this article: USO, SPX
Why Tesla Stock Cannot Be Valued The ‘Purist’ Way
4 years ago

Certainly Tesla is not a traditional company at all, except for the profit motive. And so it will not quite fit the standard model very well. That should be obvious. How that relates to the future is a bit less clear, since not every prediction is based on reality. Computer driven cars are not inevitable, no matter what the various pronouncements are. The requirements for safe and smart driving require both perception and insight that are far from currently possible, and the cost of the required infrastructure additions are totally daunting, but seldom mentioned.

In this article: TSLA
"Optimism Has Become Excessive" - Speculators Are The Most Levered Long In A Decade
4 years ago

"Levered" usually means on borrowed money, with a lot less rick involved. At least that is how it looks from where I stand. So how much of this speculation is rational versus emotional? Are conditions ripening for a sudden reversal? Then What??

In this article: SPX, VIX
What Does History Say About Waiting For A Stock Market Pullback?
4 years ago

I would much rather have been presented with this information in a text format, which allows for much easier understanding. With text, one is able to easily slow down and understand, and just as easily to back-up and re-read some portion. In addition, text consumes far less communications bandwidth and is far less demanding on resources.

In this video: TLT, SPX, JNK, SPY, XLI, IYT, IEF, KBE
Is The Stock Market’s Optimism For Economic Recovery Valid?
4 years ago

We should all know that any CEO who did not spout sunshine and share price increases would be out on the street before lunchtime. Boards and shareholders are a fickle lot and good news is what they want to hear. And the Stock Market runs on emotion as well as information and so fear plays a huge part in what happens, far more than what part reality plays.

Thanks for the write-up, pointing out what rally is happening, and offering an explanation of how and why.

In this article: SPX
Crypto Trading Strategy In A Volatile Market
4 years ago

One more question is about how this currency acquires actual value. "Bitcoin Miners" use banks of computers to solve equations that somehow provide "value". But how does that actually provide any benefit to any, that equates to actual WEALTH?? The fundamental basis of currency is that it is useful for exchanging wealth in a convenient manner. So where is the actual value (wealth) attached to the various currencies? The whole concept looks a lot like monitizing the wind, but perhaps not as solid.

In this article: BITCOMP
Crypto Trading Strategy In A Volatile Market
4 years ago

A perfect example of why bitcoin and such are needed comes from a recent hacker incident. I was threatened with extortion based on false accusations, and the instigator demanded payment in Bitcoin, which is untraceable. So it is the perfect currency for illegal activities.

In this article: BITCOMP
The Road To A Post-Corona Boom (Foreign Policy) - Part 3
4 years ago

Some apologists for the unfortunate reality that STUPID low level government fools chose to obstruct the warnings that were given. The report that China had created an effective warning network that the local governments chose to avoid using suggests that perhaps a harsher means is needed to convince future government officials to avoid hiding the truth. A firing squad comes to mind, televised and mandatory viewing for those in government. Considering the lives lost already certainly they have committed a capital crime. And if a recurrence is prevented then certainly it would be appropriate. It appears that the desire to avoid upsetting people instead has lead to the death of thousands.

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