James Picerno | TalkMarkets | Page 85
Editor at The ETF Asset Class Performance Review
Contributor's Links: The Capital Spectator
James Picerno is a veteran financial journalist and has been writing about portfolio strategies, investment products, and macroeconomics since the early 1990s at Bloomberg, Dow Jones and other media groups before becoming an independent writer/analyst/consultant in 2008. He’s currently ...more

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US REITs Led Gains For Major Asset Classes Last Week
Securitized real estate shares in the US led a partial rally in global markets last week. Real estate investment trusts (REITs) posted a fractionally higher return over the second-best performer: bonds in emerging markets.
Simulating Survey-Based Consensus Forecasts With Econometrics
Surveying economists for their projections on a variety of economic and financial indicators and aggregating the results has wide appeal, and for good reason. But there are challenges with standard consensus forecasts...
Treasury Market’s Inflation Outlook Tumbles
The Treasury market continues to downgrade US inflation expectations, which suggests that the case is strengthening for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve.
Global Equities Hold On To 2019 Gains As Headwinds Build
Economic and political risks appear to be rising, but the global stock market remains resilient in terms of maintaining a strong year-to-date performance, based on an exchange-traded fund.
US Growth Nowcast For Q2 Stabilizes At Modest Pace
Recent volatility in US economic indicators has trimmed the outlook for the upcoming second-quarter GDP report (due at the end of July), but the current estimates show a degree of stability after a period of downgrades.
Across-The-Board Gains For The Major Asset Classes Last Week - Monday, June 10
Global markets rebounded last week, posting gains in all corners of the major asset classes, based on a set of exchange-traded funds.
US Labor Market Growth Was Surprisingly Weak In May
US companies added just 90,000 workers in May, according to today’s payrolls report from the Labor Department.
Profiling Monetary Policy’s Influence On The Stock Market
Most investors recognize that the central banks are a key driver in the ebb and flow of equity prices through time.
Real Estate Leads US Equity Sector Performance In 2019
The US stock market has been on a roller coaster this year, but the volatility hasn’t dented the relatively smooth bull market in securitized real estate shares.
Two Yield Spreads Are Better Than One For Business Cycle Analysis
The US recession warnings are flying every which way lately in the wake of an inverted yield curve. The spread on the 10-year less 3-month yields, in particular, has unleashed a wave of predictions that a new downturn is near.
Risk Premia Forecasts: Major Asset Classes - Tuesday, June 4
The outlook for the Global Market Index’s (GMI) risk premium fell in May, edging down to an annualized 4.5%. The projection marks a relatively sizable decline from the 4.8% estimate in last month’s update.
Major Asset Classes Performance Review - Monday, June 3
Stocks around the world took a hit in May as trade-related fears weighed on the outlook for the global economy.
Economic Risk And The Trump Factor
No model can capture it. No analyst can fully comprehend it. But it’s there and it’s not going away, at least not until the 2020 election.
Long-Term Bonds Surge As Investors Pile Into Safe Havens
The revival of a risk-off bias in global markets this month has been a boon to long-term bonds.
US Q2 GDP Growth Outlook Continues To Slide
US economic growth remains on track for substantially slower growth in the second quarter vs. Q1, based on a set of nowcasts.
Has The 2019 Rally In Everything Peaked?
The rear-view mirror continues to be kind to the major asset classes for year-to-date results.
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