James Picerno Blog | Talkmarkets | Page 1
Editor at The ETF Asset Class Performance Review
Contributor's Links: The Capital Spectator

James Picerno is a veteran financial journalist and has been writing about portfolio strategies, investment products, and macroeconomics since the early 1990s at Bloomberg, Dow Jones and other media groups before becoming an independent writer/analyst/consultant in 2008. He’s currently ... more

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US Real Estate Investment Trusts Surged Last Week - Monday, Feb. 17
Real estate is hot – sizzling, in fact, based on last week’s trading activity.
Treasury Market Flashes New Warning As Real Yields Go Negative
The Treasury market appears to be pricing the risk. Notably, real yields for key maturities in inflation-indexed government bonds (TIPS) have slipped into negative terrain lately.
EC US Equities Dominate Global Market Returns So Far In 2020
It’s not even close. As early starts for calendar years go on a global basis, the US stock market’s roaring debut in 2020 so far has left the rest of the world in the dust, based on a set of exchange-traded funds.
Will Coronavirus Derail The Latest Bounce In US Economic Output?
Last November, the US stock market was making a seemingly risky bet that the economy would muddle through the soft patch that was weighing on output.
US Stocks Were Resilient Last Week As Coronavirus Roils China
China, the world’s second-largest economy, continues to suffer in human and economic terms from the coronavirus, but there were minimal signs of concern in last week’s performance of the US equity market,.
US Companies Ramped Up Hiring In January
Payrolls increased 1.47% last month vs. the year-earlier level, fractionally below December’s 1.51% gain. Rounding to one decimal point, however, suggests that the moderate trend in employment growth is effectively stable.
Expecting Higher Interest Rates? 700 Years Of History Beg To Differ
The spread of negative interest rates around the world in recent years is worrisome, in part because it raises the specter of strengthening deflationary headwinds for the global economy.
Record High For S&P 500 Spawns New Round Of Bubble Talk
The US stock market (S&P 500) rallied to a record high on Wednesday (Feb. 5), which unleashed fresh warnings from some corners of elevated bubble risk.
Tech Soars, Energy Sinks So Far In 2020 Equity Sector Horse Race
US equity sector performance in 2020 is a study in contrasts. At the high end of year-to-date results: technology shares.
Risk Premia Forecasts: Major Asset Classes - Tuesday, February 4
The expected risk premium for the Global Market Index was steady in January after edging higher in recent months. Today’s revised estimate leaves GMI’s long-term ex ante return at an annualized 5.0%.
What Are You Expecting For Risk Premia?
A key part of informed decision-making on asset allocation is estimating future risk premia and using those projections to influence weights in the portfolio.
US Bonds Roar Out Of The Gate In 2020
The new year is not quite a month old but that hasn’t stopped US bonds from piling up impressive returns. For the strongest corners of fixed income, it’s fair to say that 2020 has been spectacular so far, based on a set of exchange-traded funds.
Will Coronavirus Risk Influence Today’s Fed Meeting?
The Fed is expected to leave interest rates unchanged in today’s policy announcement, but the market is repricing yields lower as the crowd embraces safe-haven Treasuries anew as concerns mount that the worst is yet to come.
Moderate US Growth Expected In This Week’s Q4 GDP Report
The coronavirus that’s roiling China and beyond is creating uncertainty about global economic activity in early 2020.
Virus Worries Weighed On Stocks As REITs, Bonds Rose Last Week
China’s spreading coronavirus took a bite out of risk assets late last week, inducing a run into safe havens.
US Continues To Lead Global Equity Markets So Far In 2020
Shares in American companies dominated last year’s bull run in stock markets around the world and 2020 is a repeat performance, at least through yesterday’s close.
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