James Picerno Blog | Talkmarkets | Page 1
Editor at The ETF Asset Class Performance Review
Contributor's Links: The Capital Spectator

James Picerno is a veteran financial journalist and has been writing about portfolio strategies, investment products, and macroeconomics since the early 1990s at Bloomberg, Dow Jones and other media groups before becoming an independent writer/analyst/consultant in 2008. He’s currently ... more

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Treasury Inflation Expectations Dive As US Yield Curve Inverts
The Treasury market’s outlook has turned grim. Another dimension of the cautious outlook is yesterday’s sharp drop in the implied inflation outlook, based on yield spreads for nominal less inflation-indexed Treasury rates.
Alternatives To Correlation For Quantifying Diversification
Diversification is famously described as the only free lunch in investing and so it’s no surprise that modeling, analyzing and otherwise dissecting the concept is a core part of portfolio design and management.
China’s Stock Market No Longer Leading 2019 Global Equity Rally
Chinese equities have, for much of this year, led this year’s broad-based rise in global stocks.
US Business Cycle Risk Report - Tuesday, May 21
Recent economic data is clouding the outlook for the US macro trend.
Emerging Market Stocks Were Clobbered Last Week… Again
For a second week in a row, equities in emerging markets took a beating, posting the deepest setback for the major asset classes, based on a set of exchange-traded funds for the trading week through Friday, May 17.
Is The Fed Losing Control Of Inflation?
Judging by several key economic indicators, it’s reasonable to assume that inflation will remain steady a moderate pace.
Quality, Liquidity And Large-Cap Growth Lead 2019 Factor Returns
The escalating trade battle between the US and China shows no sign of easing, which raises questions about the outlook for US equities.
Risk-Off Sentiment Strengthens Slide In Treasury Yields
Yields on key Treasury maturities are trending down and the slide looks set to continue for the foreseeable future.
US GDP Growth Is Expected To Slow In The Second Quarter
The escalating US-China trade conflict is a wild card with unknown economic consequences. But even before factoring in this risk, the US economy is expected to post slower growth in the second quarter, based on a set of recent nowcasts.
Investment-Grade Bonds Were The Only Gainers Last Week
Risk-off sentiment triggered by rising US-China trade tensions unleashed red ink in financial markets far and wide last week.
Treasury Market’s Inflation Outlook Eases Ahead Of CPI Report
The widely followed 5-year Treasury market’s implied inflation forecast fell to a six-week low ahead of tomorrow’s April update on the Consumer Price Index (CPI).
Trade Fears Strengthen US Bond Market’s 2019 Rally
US fixed income was already on a roll this year, but this week’s renewed concerns about the US-China trade battle have strengthened the bull market in bonds as a fresh run of risk-off sentiment weighs on equities around the world.
Will Friday’s Inflation Report Support The Fed’s Outlook?
Public statements by Federal Reserve officials in recent days remains unified in forecasting that the recent deceleration in a key measure of core inflation is “transitory.”
US Real Estate Shares Topped Last Week’s Market Gains… Again
For a second week in a row, securitized real estate stocks in the US posted the biggest gain for the major asset classes, based on a set of exchange-traded funds.
US Hiring Accelerated In April
US companies expanded payrolls at a sharply stronger pace in April, the Labor Department reports.
Tech Stocks Continue To Lead US Sectors In 2019
Technology shares remain the top-performing sector in this year’s broad-based stock market rally, based on a set of exchange-traded funds.
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