James Picerno Blog | Talkmarkets | Page 1
Editor at The ETF Asset Class Performance Review
Contributor's Links: The Capital Spectator

James Picerno is a veteran financial journalist and has been writing about portfolio strategies, investment products, and macroeconomics since the early 1990s at Bloomberg, Dow Jones and other media groups before becoming an independent writer/analyst/consultant in 2008. He’s currently ... more

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US Economic Growth Estimates For Q1 Rise Sharply
New US GDP estimates for the first quarter-point to a strong acceleration in growth over last year’s Q4 increase, based on a set of recent nowcasts.
Everyone’s Talking Bubbles. Is It Time To Act?
A leading Chinese financial official is doing it. Market columnists in the US are doing it too. Perhaps the only question left: Who’s not chattering, worrying and otherwise obsessing over market bubbles these days?
Risk Premia Forecasts: Major Asset Classes - March 2021
The expected risk premium for the Global Market Index (GMI) ticked higher last month, although it remains well below the trailing realized performance for the benchmark.
Major Asset Classes Performance Review - February 2021
Commodities led a rally in global risk assets in March. Bond markets, by contrast, suffered as interest rates rose. Overall, February was a mixed month for the major asset classes, echoing January’s return profile.
New Books: Immelt's 'Hot Seat,' And Five Kinds Of Crazy
New books examining all sorts of conflict - from cults and market frenzies to swashbuckling traders, arms and cartels, negotiators, and 'thought police.' Plus Jeff Immelt's candid reveals of his time helming GE.
The ETF Portfolio Strategist: Sunday, Feb. 28
The cautious stance of Global Managed Drawdown (G.B16.MDD) has been excessive in recent months, but the tide finally turned and a defensive posture paid off last week. Whether it continues to pay off is the question.
Interest Rates Are Rising. Will It Last? Four Key Metrics To Watch
The reflation trade remains in high gear. For the moment, it’s reasonable to view this trend as a return to the pre-pandemic period, before the coronavirus crisis roiled bonds markets and slashed yields.
Reflation Trade’s Winners And Losers In The Bond Market In 2021
The bond market is reeling from firmer reflation expectations, or at least some corners of the market are taking a hit.
Reflation Today, Inflation Tomorrow?
Evidence is mounting that the disinflationary dive following the onset of the coronavirus crisis in the spring of 2020 is fading, giving way to a run of reflation.
Commodities Were A Rare Bright Spot Last Week
Commodities and foreign junk bonds were the only winners last week for the major asset classes, based on a set of exchange traded funds.
3 New Books And One For The Library
Bill Gates' new tome on climate change; a look at Silicon Valley elites in US politics; Vikas Shah interviews "minds that matter;" and the finest book written about technical analysis.
The ETF Portfolio Strategist: Saturday, Feb. 20
With interest rates rising and displaying an increasingly robust upside trend, the burning question is: How much tolerance can equities muster if the reflation trade for yields rolls on?
Energy Shares Continues To Lead US Equity Sector Returns In 2021
Using a set of ETFs to track the major US equity sectors shows that energy remains the clear leader year to date.
Modeling The ETF Opportunity Set: Part I
When the first exchange-traded fund (ETF) was launched in 1993, expectations were modest. The competition, after all, was the elephant in the room and had roughly a century to establish itself and dominate the industry.
EC Rising Interest Rates Create Headwinds For Bonds In 2021
Only when the tide goes out do you discover who’s been swimming naked, Warren Buffett famously quipped. A real-time financial example is unfolding in the bond this year, especially after yesterday’s jump in Treasury yields.
US GDP Estimates Point To Ongoing Economic Expansion In Q1
Early projections for US economic output in the first quarter point to extension of the rebound that started in last year’s Q3.
1 to 16 of 2058 Posts
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