James Picerno Blog | Talkmarkets | Page 1
Editor at The ETF Asset Class Performance Review
Contributor's Links: The Capital Spectator

James Picerno is a veteran financial journalist and has been writing about portfolio strategies, investment products, and macroeconomics since the early 1990s at Bloomberg, Dow Jones and other media groups before becoming an independent writer/analyst/consultant in 2008. He’s currently ... more

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US Continues To Lead Global Equity Markets So Far In 2020
Shares in American companies dominated last year’s bull run in stock markets around the world and 2020 is a repeat performance, at least through yesterday’s close.
Correlations Profile; Major Asset Classes - Thursday, Jan. 23
Return correlations for the major asset classes have edged down in recent years, which implies that diversification opportunities have increased, if only marginally.
Momentum Stocks Roar Higher In 2020 Start For Equity Factors
The year is still young but so far there’s a clear winner in the horse race among US equity factors: momentum.
US Business Cycle Risk Report - Tuesday, Jan. 21
The US economy continues to show signs of stabilizing after last year’s second-half slowdown. In addition, revised projections for the business cycle trend hint at the possibility that growth is rebounding in early 2020.
US REITs Rebound, Closing At Record High
Real estate investment trusts (REITs) in the US topped last week’s returns for the major asset classes and ended the week at a record high, based on a set of exchange traded funds, as of Friday, Jan. 17.
Book Bits: Book Reviews
The latest reads that no investor should miss.
Are Current Risk Levels For The US Stock Market Extraordinary?
Risk analysis is critical, but ultimately it’s a mix of art and science and so one investor’s idea of a “low” risk reading may look like an accident waiting to happen to another set of eyes.
It’s Been A Good Year So Far For (Most) Equity Markets
The broad upside momentum for most slices of the world’s equity markets has spilled over into 2020, at least so far. But the distribution of performance, as usual, is uneven.
Will This Week’s Data Derail Moderate US Economic Optimism?
Economic pessimism for the US has had a rough ride in recent years. The macro trend has wobbled several times since the last official recession ended in 2009, but each time the economy righted itself and the expansion rolled on.
Emerging Markets Stocks’ Months-Long Rally Rolled On Last Week
Another week, another gain for shares in emerging markets, which posted the strongest increase for the major asset classes over the trading week through January 10, based on a set of exchange traded funds.
US Employment Growth’s 1-Year Pace Slows To 9-Year Low
A softer gain in hiring was expected for December, but today’s report from the US Labor Department was weaker than economists forecast.
Deep-Value ETF Report: Commodities/Energy Remain Out Of Favor
Sentiment has been tepid at best when it comes to raw materials and the companies engaged in processing oil, gas and other basic commodities.
Will The 10-Year Treasury Yield’s Recent Rebound Continue?
The benchmark rate on the 10-year Treasury has been trending higher since October, suggesting that the sharp slide that unfolded earlier in 2019 has run its course.
Moderate Growth Expected In Upcoming US GDP Report For Q4
The US economy remains on track to expand at a moderate pace in the final three months of 2019.
Are Current US Stock Market Returns Extraordinary?
The bull run in US equities in recent years strikes many investors as something other than a run-of-the-mill rally.
EC Will US-Iran Geopolitical Risk Upend Global Markets?
The trading week begins with a spike in uncertainty following last week’s US airstrike that killed Qassem Soleimani, Iran’s top military official.
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