Moon Kil Woong - Comments
Executive Officer at SME
Moon Kil Woong is currently a VP at a SME. Previously he was a tech stock consultant, VP of Research at ING, and sell side Director at Crédit Agricole Indosuez. Moon Kil Woong has a Masters in Public Administration from SJSU. He contributes to both TalkMarkets and Seeking Alpha. You ...more
Latest Comments
Trump Is Playing With Fire; Coronavirus Update
5 years ago

#1 Anyone who knows about this knows that a magical cure is far off if not impossible. The companies working on a cure for SARS have been working on it for years and it is just as unlikely to work on this as it did for SARS. For one thing, this disease is not like other things we have a vaccine for. Those infected get it and can often recognize it and start fighting it. The issue is it takes time to fight it like the flu and fighting it can wear out your immune system leaving you open to other diseases that can make your life more perilous just like the flu can in people with weakened immune systems. You can help a body recognize it faster, but it is far from a cure, Flu shots don't get rid of the flu.

#2 Without comprehensive medical care and low cost screening, it is hard to combat this. Especially if the cost is high. Even if tests were free, people will not want to get tested given they will be quarantined if they are found having the Corona virus. Last. with the slow response in the US each state has a few hundred tests at most as of Friday last week. This is not enough to deal with any major outbreak. The fact that Hawaii was denied kits and denied ordering kits that worked from Japan when the US kits weren't ready is proof enough that we got caught with our pants down.

#3 They have cases of unidentified carriers. Apparently this disease has 2 good things going for it. It takes a while before it makes patients symptomatic allowing it to spread silently undetected for weeks. And second, it appears to be able to in fact people who can still transmit the disease without any visible signs to the the carrier. There is rumors that it can and has spread to dogs and other animals but so far that is not proven. If it spreads to birds it will become as uncontained and unpredictable as the flu.

#4 It is rumored that a cure will take 2 years or more to make. Given the mutation of this is rapid, any "cure" will likely be ineffective even if it did work before by the time it got out. Some virologists say that a cure is ridiculous in the first place for the same reason we can't cure the common flu. Rapid mutation is a common feature of such a disease.

#5 We are fortunate this will likely slow down like the flu as the warm weather gets underway because it is heat sensitive. It also doesn't appear to survive well exposed to the air so it will not last a long term sitting on surfaces outside the body. And given we don't know the full infection rate since we are only catching those getting symptoms, it is not as deadly as it is portrayed.

Taking this all into account, the Federal Reserve can not stimulate growth and purchasing with a rate cut, nor can government stimulus. What we really need is a trusting and competent person presumably in government to present the case and allay fears, coordinate a competent response, and help prevent the worsening of this rapidly. The fact our President can't be that person and has been saying things contrary to the facts doesn't calm anyone. I think this is what people are talking about the most.

We will see if he finally approves spending a fraction of the money allocated to fight this to give free testing to those who need to be tested and allow broader testing even if it shows how many more people are affected in the US. Closing the border is not an effective way to combat this now. It is already spreading in the US with inadequate testing and an inadequate response to the global pandemic it is. That said, it is not as bad as it could be if things are dealt with correctly from here on out.

Bitcoin: Secrets Of Profitable Trading
5 years ago

North Korea's government is the biggest single player in cryptos besides mining although it's hard to get accurate figures on it. Sadly it's still knee deep in dirty money and laundering.

In this article: BITCOMP
Largest Shipping Decline Since 2009 And That's Before Coronavirus
5 years ago

Transportation is a better indicator of future events than consumer confidence.

Stimulus Hopes Temper Virus Fears For Nasdaq 100 After Apple’s Revenue Warning
5 years ago

The analysts should have lowered Apple's expectations a long time ago with the virus. Apple has been dependent on Asia for growth. That obviously isn't going to happen with the corona virus.

Bitcoin: Secrets Of Profitable Trading
5 years ago

If you are going to buy Crypto Bitcoin is the way to go. That said, eventually something has to be done about these as it is well known north Korea is one of the biggest players in these along with drug money etc. The run up so far is not likely to be repeated and the risks are huge including losing your keys or having them stolen. It is not a simple investment but is worth it if you are very active and very cautious.

In this article: BITCOMP
A Tale Of Two Parabolic Markets
5 years ago

#Tesla's move has largely been shorts having to cover. $TSLA

In this article: TSLA, BITCOMP
Soybean Prices Plunge To Six Week Low On Lack Of China Buys
5 years ago

It takes time to move logistics, build up demand, and purchase product. In the meantime the US has way overproduced and still builds up excess. So no, even if China suddenly increases demand, it will not take the pressure off US producers this year.

In this article: SOYB
Stocks Rise As Zombie Companies Proliferate
5 years ago

Stocks aren't overvalued if rates and inflation remain very low, especially if the Federal Reserve eases more. That said, what is bad is the fact we have artificially low rates and rates are going lower not higher. When we do hit a recession, it will get nasty fast.

Russian Industry: Hoping For A Better 2020
5 years ago

Russia will be dependent on if the price of oil holds and if China and others will keep buying their oil. For now things look better, however, we will see if oil will go up or down from here.

US Leading Economic Indicators Plunge At Worst Rate Since 2009
5 years ago

YoY earnings growth will look much worse because of the artificial rise in debt last year, unless perhaps the trade wars end. This is probably the chief reason why the indicators are not too good right now. That said, we will see if the economy will do ok this year. There still seems to be no major catalyst to create a recession/depression yet.

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