The Fed knew about the housing bubble before it burst but lied and said they didn't: Bill HR 1424 to buy bad paper (eventually called TARP) was introduced in March 9, 2007, before there began to be bad commercial paper from private subprime RE loans, in August. I have published on two other ...
more The Fed knew about the housing bubble before it burst but lied and said they didn't: Bill HR 1424 to buy bad paper (eventually called TARP) was introduced in March 9, 2007, before there began to be bad commercial paper from private subprime RE loans, in August. I have published on two other prominent financial websites, Seekingalpha.com (as Gary A) and at Businessinsider.com. I muckrake the banking system and found premeditated causes for the housing bubble and subsequent meltdown. I am married with 4 grown children.
Specialties: Impacts of politics on the economy, interpreting economists, writing about the negative impact of some aspects of globalization and pros and cons of the new normal. I don't like tariff wars. Email bgamall at gmail
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Yes There WAS A Housing Bubble
Yes William. The government did not follow the law. The law of 1989 to resolve the S&L crisis clearly was for companies to be punished if they loaned money to people who could not reasonably pay it back. The FIRREA bill was added to the CRA law and while most explanations of the law leave it out, one of the reasons it was passed was to give the government power to investigate bad loans made by unscrupulous lenders. It was eventially used in the Great Recession, but not at first. https://www.thebalance.com/what-is-firrea-3305839 Needless to say, banks and politicians owned by banks do not like this law.
In the Great Recession, the loans were bundled and risk applied to those loans was mispriced from the beginning, and I believe the Fed and the BIS were up to their eyeballs in permitting this mispricing of risk. When I first came to Talkmarkets I wrote a few articles about this subject.
The Achilles Heel Of Trump's Tariffs
Thank you, Bill. History is against Trump and you add the supply chain and ratings issues and many things complicate the Trump plans.
The Achilles Heel Of Trump's Tariffs
That is a good question. Trump believes other nations will fold. I believe that he has underestimated their resolve, but we will see.
An Idea Whose Time Has Come
Not sure about this. We have a Fed that does not play by the rules of Keynes and Freidman. It misprices risk. It liquidates credit to all but its favorites in times of trouble. I can't believe Keynes supported this procyclical behavior. Remember when small businesses were left with credit cards to survive in the Great Recession? The Fed could have helped that situation but did nothing. That doesn't sound like Friedman's helicopter monet to me. The problem is the Fed ignores the monetarists when they don't fit its agenda. I think the Fed agenda is a conspiracy but others say it is just incompetence. I think the Fed hides behind incompetence. I wish I could convince George Selgin!
The Fed Needs To "Walk Back" Its Policy Error Now… Or Stocks Drop 20%
The BIS has said no turning back. Does the Fed ever buck the policy of the BIS?
Will Small Auto Part Stores Survive Amazon?
Amazon has not slowed down other supermarkets. They are just better at what they do than Whole Foods. The same will happen with auto parts stores. They will continue to be better. Maybe Amazon will buy out a chain. Otherwise no serious threat. With groceries, Amazon bought out a chain that is not able to compete with the other major stores. Maybe they could find a better auto parts chain with which to compete.
Keynesian Economics Is An Artifact Of Cheap Energy
Keynes spoke about holes, maybe a form of helicopter money when the economy on mainstreet was crumbling. Energy was cheap because nobody could afford it. My parents had to park the car and walk in the Great Depression. I think that was a cheap shot at Keynes.
The Weekly Track – Dog Days
Let's be fair. Globalization eroded faith in itself, but populism almost always is a poor choice as an alternative. Nice details in this article.
Another Amazon Panic – This Time Is Different For Pharmacies
Yes, I have read that. So Amazon will be a job killer.
Trump's $54 Billion Tax Hike On Autos: EU Threatens $300 Billion Retaliation
I am sure that the EU offered to reduce tariffs and it was ignored by Trump.