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Weekly Market Pulse: Peak Pessimism?
Article By: Joseph Calhoun
Monday, October 3, 2022 1:01 PM EDT
YTD, the S&P 500 is now down 24% while bonds have their own double-digit losses.
In this article: IEF, XLE, XLK, XLU, NDX, SPX, UUP
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Primer: Basics Of A Swap Meltdown
Article By: Brian Romanchuk
Saturday, October 1, 2022 5:27 PM EDT
The need to post margin created a cash drain on some entities, that was worrying enough for the Bank of England to step in.
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Week Ahead: More CB Intervention? Plus, RBA, RBNZ, OPEC+, And NFP
Article By: Joe Perry
Friday, September 30, 2022 7:35 PM EDT
Markets will be waiting on pin and needles this week to see which central bank may be the next to intervene.
In this article: FXB, UUP, FXA, FXY, OIL
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Previewing Q3 Earnings Season After Rough Reports From Nike And Micron
Article By: Sheraz Mian
Friday, September 30, 2022 4:13 PM EDT
2022 Q3 earnings are expected to be up +0.9% on +9.1% higher revenues. It is the strong contribution from the Energy sector that is keeping the aggregate Q3 earnings growth in positive territory.
In this article: CAG, FDX, NKE, STZ, MU
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Fed QT2 Imperils Stocks
Article By: Adam Hamilton
Friday, September 30, 2022 1:31 PM EDT
The Fed’s second quantitative-tightening campaign already ramped up to full speed in September, with dire market implications.
In this article: SPX
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Are Earnings Estimates Out Of Sync With The Economy?
Article By: Sheraz Mian
Thursday, September 29, 2022 4:38 PM EDT
Earnings next year are expected to be up +6.2% as a whole and +8% excluding the Energy sector. This magnitude of growth can hardly be called out-of-sync with a flat or even modestly down economic growth outlook.
In this article: ACN, FDX, GIS, LEN, ADBE, COST, ORCL
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Time To Pay The Piper?
Article By: Scott Sumner
Wednesday, September 28, 2022 9:27 AM EDT
It’s hard to see how banks could be induced to maintain their large holdings of excess reserves if the reserves did not earn interest while other risk-free assets such as T-bills earned a positive rate of interest.
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Surging Real Yields Are A Critical Risk Factor… Again
Article By: James Picerno
Tuesday, September 27, 2022 12:09 PM EDT
s real yields rise further, the allure of locking in higher inflation-adjusted payouts strengthens.
In this article: IEF, SPX, FVX
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The Big Short Squeeze Is Coming
Article By: Lance Roberts
Tuesday, September 27, 2022 10:12 AM EDT
The latest rate hike announcement by the Fed sent stocks tumbling to the year’s lows. While last week’s market action was brutal, the good news is the markets are set up for a rather significant short squeeze higher.
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It’s Not Complicated, We’re Headed For A Recession…
Article By: Macro-Ops
Monday, September 26, 2022 1:09 PM EDT
Conference Board’s LEI is down six months in a row and flipped negative on a YoY basis last week.
In this article: FXB, GLD, UUP, SPX
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Macro: Tell Us Something We Don't Already Know
Article By: Marc Chandler
Saturday, September 24, 2022 1:19 PM EDT
Given the extreme valuation of the dollar, one would expect US exports to have fallen. The fact that they rose to a record level in July does not seem to have received the attention due.
In this article: FXE, FXB, FXY, UUP
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Recession Fears And The Earnings Outlook
Article By: Sheraz Mian
Friday, September 23, 2022 3:53 PM EDT
It’s too early to tell how the Q3 earnings season will unfold, but we are undoubtedly off to a rough start.
In this article: FDX, NKE, ADBE, COST, MU
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Tail Risk And Persistent Inflation
Article By: Michael Lebowitz
Wednesday, September 21, 2022 6:26 PM EDT
Given the lasting financial toll often caused by severe and unexpected adverse price movements, investors must appreciate potential causes of tail risk.
In this article: SPX
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Ramping Up Renewables Can't Provide Enough Heat Energy In Winter
Article By: Gail Tverberg
Tuesday, September 20, 2022 4:13 PM EDT
We cannot expect wind and solar to ever be ramped up to meet our energy needs, even in combination with hydro.
In this article: OIL, UNG
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Oil And Corn Drive Inflation Expectations
Article By: Brad Zigler
Tuesday, September 20, 2022 1:33 PM EDT
A return to a normal energy market could prove to be a double whammy for unwary inflation hedgers.
In this article: BNO, CORN, DBC, OIL, UNG, RINF, PDBC, BCD
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The Greenback Firms To Start The New Week, Stocks Slide
Article By: Marc Chandler
Monday, September 19, 2022 11:46 AM EDT
The sell-off in equities continues and the US dollar is firm.
In this article: FXE, FXA, FXB, FXC, FXY, UUP, JJC, GLD
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