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Upfina

Pursuit of Truth in Finance & Economics
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The purpose of UPFINA.com is to seek the truth as it relates to economics, finance and money. We do not have all the answers, but our ethos dictates that we objectively analyze all information. Please familiarize yourself with our full more
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What To Do In A Sell-Off?
Tuesday, April 10, 2018 8:36 PM EDT
The most important factor that determines if you successfully deal with a selloff is how you are positioned before one.
In this article: SPX
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Long-Term Unemployment Rate Is 20%
Tuesday, April 10, 2018 11:50 AM EDT
The March BLS monthly jobs report was a disappointment in terms of total job creation as only 103,000 were added instead of the 175,000 expected.
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Government Won’t Save You
Friday, April 6, 2018 3:30 AM EDT
In normal circumstances you don’t want to depend on the government because no one who relies exclusively on transfer payments (excluding people collecting public pensions) is living a comfortable successful financial life.
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Student Loans Delay Retirement
Thursday, April 5, 2018 3:43 PM EDT
Student loans represent 19.58% of total income per month, leaving little room for monthly bills. Trump’s plan won’t do anything to affect the current distressed borrowers. The best solution is to stop the madness.
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Earnings Season Will Determine Bull Or Bear Market
Wednesday, April 4, 2018 2:17 AM EDT
We aren’t saying stocks won’t move up. They can move up if the economic growth improves, if the Fed becomes more dovish, or if there is positive news in the negotiations for trade deals.
In this article: SPX
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Does The Fed Cause Inequality?
Tuesday, April 3, 2018 5:14 AM EDT
Many bearish investors discuss the possibility of debt causing damage to the economy. While there’s no question government debt is out of line, the private economy is a little more complicated.
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Yield Curve Targeting
Monday, April 2, 2018 3:27 PM EDT
One of the biggest stories in finance and economics in 2018 is the flattening yield curve.
In this article: TYX
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Global Growth Is Slowing
Friday, March 30, 2018 12:44 PM EDT
Although U.S. tech stocks are getting headlines for their weakness, they’re not the only asset moving in the ‘risk off’ direction. The long bond is rallying as the 10-year treasury yield fell from its peak at 2.95% to 2.76%.
In this article: SPX
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Stock Buybacks Outperform CAPEX Spending
Thursday, March 29, 2018 4:30 AM EDT
In the past few years stock buybacks have been increasingly criticized by investors who believe the stock market and economy are in a bubble.
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Do Millennials Switch Jobs More Often?
Wednesday, March 28, 2018 4:14 AM EDT
The more often a worker switches jobs, the more likely a person will need to move to get closer to work.
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Slowest Hike Cycle Since 1977
Monday, March 26, 2018 3:10 PM EDT
While weak economic reports, a hawkish Fed, and rumors of a trade war caused stocks to correct in March it is expected that the economy will improve later in the year and earnings growth is still supposed to be 18%.
In this article: SPX
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The Future Of The Labor Market
Saturday, March 24, 2018 11:15 AM EDT
The problem with the labor market for the millennial generation is young adults need to get a college degree for jobs that previously didn’t require them.
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Is More Fed Transparency Worse For Markets?
Friday, March 23, 2018 1:48 PM EDT
Obviously, Powell taking the helm at the Federal Reserve means potential policy changes, but that’s not the only thing that could change.
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Is Record Business Optimism A Contrarian Indicator?
Wednesday, March 21, 2018 4:08 PM EDT
Trump’s effort to eliminate regulations hasn’t been a complete success, but he did slow the growth of them. Combined with the tax cuts, small business optimism is near a record high.
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Is The S&P 500 The Best Investment For The Future?
Wednesday, March 21, 2018 5:26 AM EDT
If the average S&P 500 company follows the projected path, then a company on average will only last about 10 years in the index. This makes it more difficult to invest because cash cow companies won’t be able to milk profits for as long.
In this article: SPX
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The Most Important Chart In Macroeconomics
Monday, March 19, 2018 10:37 PM EDT
When real GDP growth is low, real rates should be low. If real rates are low, but the treasury yield is high, it means there’s inflation. Low growth and high inflation is stagflation, which is terrible.
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