Lance Roberts Blog | Talkmarkets | Page 1
Chief Investment Strategist / Chief Economist of STA Wealth Mgmt
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Lance Roberts is the Chief Investment Strategist, Chief Economist and member of the investment committee for STA Wealth Mgmt. His primary focuses are macro trends, financial, fundamental and technical analysis of the markets and equities, credit markets, ... more

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Previous Employment Concerns Becoming An Ugly Reality
Unemployment rates in the U.S. are about to spike to levels not seen since the “Great Depression.” Based on the number of claims being filed, we can estimate that unemployment will jump to 15-20% over the next quarter.
EC 5-Questions Bulls Need To Answer Now
So, is the bear market over? Are the bulls now back in charge? Honestly, no one knows for certain. However, there are 5-questions that “Market Bulls” need to answer if the current rally is to be sustained.
Where “I Bought It For The Dividend” Went Wrong
Every investor has a point, when prices fall far enough, regardless of the dividend being paid, they will capitulate, and sell the position. This point generally comes when dividends have been cut, and capital destruction has been maximized.
Seth Levine: COVID-19 Is Not The Last War
These are truly remarkable times in the investment markets. The speed, intensity, and ubiquity of this selloff brings just one word to mind: violence. It would be remarkable if it wasn’t so destructive.
Bull Market? No, The Bear Still Rules For Now
The problem with the current economic backdrop and mounting job losses is the vast majority of Americans were woefully unprepared for any disruption to their income going into a recession. As job losses mount, a virtual spiral in the economy begins.
MacroView: The Fed Can’t Fix What’s Broken
The Fed continues to try and stave off an event that is a necessary part of the economic cycle, a debt revulsion.
Robertson: When “Stuff” Gets Real
While the coronavirus will eventually dissipate, the increasing premium on merit is likely to hang around.
Fed Trying To Inflate A 4th Bubble To Fix The Third
After years of zero interest rates, never-ending support of accommodative monetary policy, and a lack of regulatory oversight, the consequences of excess have come home to roost.
Technically Speaking: Fed Goes All In. When’s The “Bear Market” Rally?
Over the past couple of week’s, we have been talking about a potential reflexive bounce. From a purely technical basis, the extreme downside extension, and potential selling exhaustion, has set the markets up for a fairly strong reflexive bounce.
“No One Saw It Coming” – Should You Worry About The 10-Best Days
For an investor trying to catch the markets best 10-days, they wound up losing almost 30% of their portfolio, an astounding -9,254 points over the span of 3 weeks.
Everyone Wanting To Buy Suggests The Bear Still Prowls (Full Report)
With the markets' failure to hold lows this week, our long-term weekly “sell signals” are now triggered. A rally back to the “bullish trend line” from 2009 will likely be the best opportunity to “sell” before the “bear market” finds its final low.
MacroView: Mnuchin & Kudlow Say No Recession?
Even before COVID-19 had infected the planet, economic data, and inflationary pressures were already weakening. This already suggested the decade long economic expansion was “running lean”.
Margin Call: You Were Warned Of The Risk
You can’t “buy low,” if you don’t have anything to “buy with.”
Technically Speaking: Risk Limits Hit, When Too Little Is Too Much
The Fed may be fighting a battle it can’t win as markets not only failed to respond to the Fed’s monetary interventions but also broke the “bullish trend line” from the 2009 lows.
Profits & Earnings Suggest The Bear Market Isn’t Over
Is the bear market over yet? This is the question that everyone wants to know. Why? So they can “buy the bottom.”
Market Crash. Is It Over, Or Is It The “Revenant”
While asset prices have declined, they haven't fully accounted for the impact to earnings, lost revenues and the recessionary impact from falling consumer confidence. Historically, the gap between asset prices and corporate profits gets filled.
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