Lance Roberts Blog | Talkmarkets | Page 1
Chief Investment Strategist / Chief Economist of STA Wealth Mgmt
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Lance Roberts is the Chief Investment Strategist, Chief Economist and member of the investment committee for STA Wealth Mgmt. His primary focuses are macro trends, financial, fundamental and technical analysis of the markets and equities, credit markets, ... more

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F.I.R.E. – Ignited By The Bull, Extinguished By The Bear
The “F.I.R.E.” movement is the result of a decade-long bull market cycle.
Why The Fed Could Cut By 50bps & Why It Won’t Matter
While the market is still hanging above the May highs, further corrective actions are likely next week as the short-term oversold conditions have not been resolved as of yet. The deviation above the long-term mean is only starting to reverse.
Debt & The Failure Of Monetary Policy To Stimulate Growth
Keynes’ was correct in his theory. In order for deficit spending to be effective, the “payback” from investments being made must yield a higher rate of return than the debt used to fund it.
The Economy Left Millions Of Americans Behind
In 2013, the Federal Reserve began conducting a yearly “Survey of Household Economics and Decisionmaking,” under the catchy acronym “SHED.” It measures the economic well-being of US families and identifies possible risks.
Technically Speaking: Fed "Hopes" Spark Return Of Bullish Complacency
The current levels of complacency will end. It is only a function of when not if.
The One Lesson Investors Should Have Learned From Pension Funds
The average U.S. plan has only 72.5% of its future obligations in 2018, compared to more than 100% in 2001.
S&P 3300 – The Bull Vs. Bear Case
Almost 18 months after I originally discussed it, the market finally cleared the psychological level of 3000. That is the good news.The “not-so-good” news is the market continues to rally into a more extreme overbought condition.
Questions About The “Stellar” June Jobs Report (Which Also Confirm The Fed’s Concerns)
On Wednesday, Jerome Powell testified before Congress the U.S. economy is “suffering” from a bout of uncertainty caused by trade tensions and slow global growth.
Recession Probability Charts: Current Odds Now About 33%
The New York Fed has the odds of a recession within the next year at 33%. Some of the other models are humorous.
Technically Speaking: Monthly S&P 500 Chart Update & Review
While it is fundamental analysis derives “what” we buy, it is the long-term “price” analysis which determines the “when” we buy and sell in our portfolio management process.
Shelton, The Fed, & The Realization Of A Liquidity Trap
When the Fed, or any central bank/government, lowers or raises interest rates it directly affects the currency exchange rates between countries and, ultimately, trade.
Quick Takes: Some Things I Am Thinking About
With a majority of short-term technical indicators extremely overbought, look for a correction next week. What will be important is that any correction does not fall below the early May highs.
The Manufacturing Sector Is Rolling Over But Inventories Keep Piling Up
Factory new orders are down year-over-year and barely afloat excluding transportation. Inventories are a concern.
Technically Speaking: The Bull Is Back, Bonds Say "No"
For the fifth time, since the end of 2017, the market hit an all-time high. Each previous all-time high has led an almost immediate sell-off.
Everything You Are Being Told About Saving & Investing Is Wrong – Part 3
Investing for retirement, no matter what age you are should be done conservatively and cautiously with the goal of outpacing inflation over time.
Everything You Are Being Told About Saving & Investing Is Wrong – Part 2
There is a disconnect between the cost of living today and 30-years into the future, as well as the amount of money needed to be financially independent for the entire lifespan after retirement.
1 to 16 of 1303 Posts
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