Lance Roberts Blog | Talkmarkets | Page 1
Chief Investment Strategist / Chief Economist of STA Wealth Mgmt
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Lance Roberts is the Chief Investment Strategist, Chief Economist and member of the investment committee for STA Wealth Mgmt. His primary focuses are macro trends, financial, fundamental and technical analysis of the markets and equities, credit markets, ... more

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The Bullish Test Comes As Earnings Season Begins
Over the last few week’s we have noted the continuing consolidation of the market since the June peak. When markets are overbought short-term, that condition is resolved through a correction or consolidation process.
15-Investing Rules To Win The Long-Game
The current market advance against a backdrop of deteriorating economics and fundamentals is certainly worth worrying about.
The Theory Of MMT Falls Flat When Faced With Reality (Part I)
With economic growth sluggish, unemployment high, and the wealth gap widening, politicians will be increasing pressure to delve deeper into MMT to cure our economic woes.
Market Corrects As COVID Cases Surge
Currently, the risk/reward dynamics have become slightly less favorable. The good news is that the 50-dma and 200-dma are so close there is strong support short-term. Such should give the bulls a bit of optimism.
EC The Fed Has Inflated Another Asset Bubble
While much of the media points to the pandemic as the “cause” of the economic problems, it isn’t. COVID-19 was merely the “pin that pricked the bubble.”
EC Unicorns, Rainbows, & Fully Invested Bears
One of the consistent drivers behind the bull market over the last few years has been the idea of the “Fed Put.” As long as the Federal Reserve was there to “bailout” the markets if something went wrong, there was no reason not to invest in equities.
Is It 1999 Or 2007? Retail Investors Flood The Market
Is it 1999 or 2007? Retail investors flood the market as speculation grows rampant with a palpable exuberance and belief of no downside risk. What could go wrong?
MacroView: Retail Sales Bounce, But Consumers Are Tapped Out.
We are just entering into what will likely to be a more protracted, deeper, and more damaging recession than what we saw in 2008.
EC Bulls & Bears Square Off At The Line
The bulls and bears are squaring off at the 200-dma line to see who will gain control.
The “Holy Grail” Of Investing Fails Its Benchmark
In the “real world” where people invest their “hard-earned savings,” overall returns are constantly under siege from taxes, previously commissions, fees, and, most importantly – taxes.
Market Corrects As COVID-19 Cases Surge
The surge in COVID-19 cases in the U.S. undermined the “V-Shaped” economic recovery meme.The issue remains that the markets have priced in a “V-shaped” recovery, which is well ahead of what the economic data suggests.
MacroView: The Great Divide Between Stocks & The Economy
Historically when stocks have deviated from the underlying economy, the resolution has always been lower stock prices.
Technically Speaking: It’s Time To Take On Defensive Positioning
While the Fed is flooding the system with liquidity, the economic and fundamental backdrop remains a disaster. Fundamental, economic, and earnings growth are substantially weaker, which are dependent on an unemployed consumer.
EC 20/20 Economic Projections Will Leave Everyone Disappointed
Often it is stated viewing something in hindsight is like having 20/20 vision. In this case, I am talking about the expectations of a “V-shaped” economic recovery. While such could be the case, it will likely leave everyone disappointed.
The Bull Is Back- Markets Charge As Economy Lags
While the market rallied sharply on Friday investors may be getting ahead of themselves in the short-term. The jobs data will be revised over the months ahead but markets don’t care much about revisions. What the market does care about, is earnings.
Rationalizing High Valuations Won’t Improve Outcomes
Rationalizing high valuations won’t improve future return outcomes. While valuations can seem passive over short periods of time, and they are indeed horrible market timing measures, they have everything to do with future outcomes.
1 to 16 of 1505 Posts
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