Lance Roberts Blog | Talkmarkets | Page 1
Chief Investment Strategist / Chief Economist of RIA Advisors

Lance Roberts is the Chief Investment Strategist, Chief Economist and member of the investment committee for RIA Advisors. His primary focuses are macro trends, financial, fundamental and technical analysis of the markets and equities, credit ... more


Latest Posts
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The Big Short Squeeze Is Coming
The latest rate hike announcement by the Fed sent stocks tumbling to the year’s lows. While last week’s market action was brutal, the good news is the markets are set up for a rather significant short squeeze higher.
Debt & Why The Fed Is Trapped
The massive debt levels provide the single most significant risk and challenge to the Federal Reserve. It is also why the Fed is desperate to return inflation to low levels, even if it means weaker economic growth.
Buffett Indicator Says Markets Are Going To Crash?
The Buffett Indicator doesn’t mean markets will definitely crash. However, there is a more than reasonable expectation of disappointment in future market returns.
Asset Bubbles And Forward Returns
Valuations are a terrible market timing metric. However, they tell us much about asset bubbles, investor psychology, and future returns.
Deficit Reduction: Is It Reality Or A Mirage?
The deficit will rise as additional increases in debt continue. The outcome will negatively impact Americans through slower economic growth and declining prosperity.
Recession Signals Abound As Fed Hikes Rates
With the Federal Reserve focused on combatting inflation by tightening monetary policy, thereby slowing economic demand, logic suggests that economic data trends will continue to decline.
Earnings Decline, Likely More To Go Before We Are Done
As the Fed focuses on lagging economic data to drive monetary policy decisions, the lag effect of those changes almost guarantees a policy mistake in the future.
Small Business Sales And The Running Of The Bull
Small businesses drive the economy, employment, and wages. Therefore, what the NFIB says is highly relevant to what is happening in the actual economy versus the headline economic data from Government sources.
The Rule Of 20 And Why The Bear Market Remains
The “Rule of 20” helps us think about valuations and bull and bear markets. To calculate the “Rule Of 20″ we combine the P/E ratio and inflation rate.
The Bear Market Is Over? Or Is It Just Hibernating?
Over the next 12 months, the “bear market is over” thesis will depend much on the Federal Reserve, Government policies, and inflation.
Buy Stocks Now? When It’s Time, You Won’t Want To
Buy stocks in a bear market. It sounds a whole lot easier than it is. Truth be told, when it comes time to buy stocks, you won’t want to.
Paul Volcker And 1982: Why Now Isn’t Then
Although that market behavior is similar, there are vast differences between today and 1982. While Jerome Powell is emulating Paul Volker currently, there is a significant probability the outcome could be vastly different.
S&P 3500 By Year End If QT Continues
The S&P 500 could be close to 3500 by year-end if Fed follows through with its QT plans and the correlation holds up.
Economic Slowdown Now, Recession Coming In 2023
Economic slowdown but no recession. That message comes from the latest employment report, service sector data, and Federal Reserve.
Long-Term Returns Are Unsustainable
Unless the Federal Reverse is committed to a never-ending program of zero interest rates and quantitative easing, the eventual reversion of returns to their long-term means is inevitable.
Pulling Forward Growth No Longer An Option
Pulling forward growth over the last decade remains the Federal Reserve’s primary tool for keeping financial markets stable while economic growth rates and inflation remained weak.
1 to 16 of 1885 Posts
1 2 3 ... 118