Lance Roberts Blog | Talkmarkets | Page 1
Chief Investment Strategist / Chief Economist of STA Wealth Mgmt
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Lance Roberts is the Chief Investment Strategist, Chief Economist and member of the investment committee for STA Wealth Mgmt. His primary focuses are macro trends, financial, fundamental and technical analysis of the markets and equities, credit markets, ... more

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Bear Markets: Understand Them, Don’t Fear Them
There is little doubt we are currently in a bull market. But as with all things, despite hopes from the mainstream media to the contrary, they do come to an end.
One Trick Pony: The Fed Is Pushing On A String
After a decade of zero interest rates and floods of liquidity by the Fed into the financial markets, it is not surprising the initial “Pavlovian” response to those comments was to push asset prices higher.
Technically Speaking: The "Sellable Rally" Chart Review
Given that monthly data is very slow moving, longer-term signals can uncover changes to the trend which short-term market rallies tend to obfuscate.
Socialism Rises Due To The Great American Economic Growth Myth
There is little denying the rise of “socialistic” ideas in the U.S. today. You can try and cover the stench by calling it “social democracy” but in the end, it’s still socialism.
Is The “Sellable Rally” Done?
The market did indeed rally last week. While the initial sell-off in the market was attributed to potential tariffs on Mexico, which were indefinitely suspended on Friday, the real reason was the dismal employment report of just 75,000 jobs.
The Fed, QE, & Why Rates Are Going To Zero
QE worked well in lifting asset prices, but not so much for the economy.
Technically Speaking: Tops Are Processes, Bottoms Are Events
Although the Fed leaped into action in December to reverse course on their direction of monetary policy which provided the boost stocks needed, there is a substantial list of headwinds that exist currently.
Hope For The Best, Plan For The Worst
During very late stage bull markets, the financial press is lulled into a sense of complacency that markets will only rise.
Selloff Overdone, Looking For A Sellable Rally
The market has continued working a corrective process which is likely not complete as of yet. As we head into the summer months, it is likely the markets will experience a retracement of the rally during the first quarter of this year.
Powell Channels Bernanke:"Subprime Debt Is Contained"
Every bubble has its own characteristics.
The Bulls Continue To Bet On The Fed
We have discussed the potential for a market correction simply due to divergences in the technical indicators which suggested near-term market risk outweighed rewards. Bonds have warned the bullish bias of equity investors was likely misplaced.
Watch This Pennant Pattern Forming In Bitcoin
Bitcoin has exploded to over $8,000, where it has been struggling recently. Bitcoin may be forming a pennant pattern, which may lead to an more powerful surge if the cryptocurrency can break out of this pattern in a decisive manner with high volume.
10 Illustrated Truths About Investing And The Markets
Over the last eighteen months, stocks have whipsawed within a massive trading range as “trade wars,” “tariffs,” and monetary policy actions from the Fed have lit up headlines.
Fundamentally Speaking: 7-Measures Suggest A Decade Of Low Returns
In the short-term, a period of one year or less, political, fundamental, and economic data has very little impact on the market. This is especially the case in a late-stage bull market advance, such as we are currently experiencing.
The Bulls Are Betting On A “Long Shot”
For now, the market is working a corrective process which is likely not complete as of yet. As we head into the summer months, it is likely the markets will experience a retracement of the rally during the first quarter of this year.
The Run For The Roses
This horse racing season serves as a reminder that the race to fund pension plans is on but promises to be a much uglier affair. It also serves as a reminder for investors to carefully align the risks of their assets with their investment horizons.
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