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Blogger at Political Calculations
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Ironman is the alias of the blogger at Political Calculations, a site that develops, applies and presents both established and cutting edge theory to the topics of investing, business and economics. We should acknowledge that Ironman is either formerly or currently, and quite possibly, ...more

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The S&P 500 In Week 3 Of April 2017
The third week of April 2017 had bigger negatives than positives for the U.S. economy and markets, with stock prices behaving accordingly during the week.
America's Imports From China Tumble By A Record Amount?
In January 2017, the U.S. imported nearly $41.4 billion worth of stuff, things and items from China, which dropped to nearly $32.8 billion in February 2017.
The S&P 500 In Week 1 Of April 2017
This week, thanks to the heavier weight of positive economic news, it appears that those relative probabilities have reversed to where investors are giving a 55% chance that the Fed will hike U.S. interest rates before the end of the quarter.
Order, Chaos And Bubbles In The S&P 500
A bubble may be said to exist when the price of stocks changes at a rate that is not coupled with the growth rate of dividends, the payments investors might receive from holding stocks.
Visualizing The Current Period Of Order In The S&P 500
The current period of order in the S&P 500 has nearly fallen apart on three separate occasions thanks to nearly globe-rocking events in the year from 31 March 2016 through 4 April 2017, but it has managed to endure through its one-year anniversary.
Dividends By The Numbers In 2017-Q1
Dividend cuts in the U.S. are sending a mixed picture of the relative health of the U.S. economy.
The S&P 500 In Week 5 Of March 2017
The fifth and final week of March 2017 ended on an up-note for the S&P 500, at least compared to where it closed out the fourth week of March 2017, which we attribute to the week's positive news events for the U.S.' markets and economy.
Philadelphia's Soda Tax Collections Are Falling Short
How much money is the City of Philadelphia collecting from its controversial soda tax?
Seasonal Patterns
The not seasonally-adjusted data follows a remarkable similar pattern from year to year, which has strongly persisted over time even as the rolling 12-month average of these shipments has more than doubled from 1992 through 2016.
Winning And Losing Streaks In The DJIA In The Age Of Trump
Going back to 2 May 1885, there have been a total of 4 winning streaks where the DJIA closed higher than its previous day's close over 12 consecutive trading days, with the fourth just having ended on 27 February 2017.
The S&P 500 In Week 4 Of March 2017
The significant difference in the future expectations for 2017-Q2 and for 2017-Q3 is what will lead the S&P 500 to experience higher-than-recent levels of volatility during the next several months.
Dividend Futures Then And Now
We thought it might be interesting to compare what the future for dividends in each quarter looked like on the first day that the dividend futures contract for a given future quarter went into effect.
Dividend Forecasts And Individual Stock Price Predictions
Bucking the best-laid plans of professional dividend forecasters, Comcast pulled a fast one and split its stock on a 2:1 ratio, halving its dividend and very nearly also its stock price.
The S&P 500 In Week 3 Of March 2017
The third week of March 2017 was an up week for the S&P 500, where the index closed at 2,378.25 on Friday, 17 March 2017, just 5.65 points (0.24%) above where it closed at the end of the prior week of trading.
Atmospheric CO2 And The Global Economy
China's economy is, by a wide margin, the world's largest producer of emissions of carbon dioxide. If China's economy is truly growing, it shows up in the Earth's atmosphere in a big way.
Trade Growth Confirms Stronger Economies In U.S. And China
The U.S. Census Bureau's data for goods and services exported to the U.S. from China and from the U.S. to China in January 2017 suggests that both economies are growing much more strongly than they were a year earlier.
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