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Traders' Insight
Interactive Brokers Traders' Insight is a free online blog drawing together financial market commentary from an array of industry contributors. Exchanges, mutual funds, investment companies ...more

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Welcome To “Head Fake Thursday”
It was fascinating to see this morning’s attempt at a record despite a piece of negative economic news.
If: Contradictory Data; Then: Pick Which Fits The Preferred Narrative
With all eyes on one of the most consequential economic reports on the calendar, markets chose instead to focus on a piece of the less-anticipated ISM data.
Bad Santa And Bad Apples
In the short year that has transpired so far, there have been two key themes in the equity market.
A Breather Or A Hangover?
When markets rally, the underlying assumption is that they’re doing what they’re supposed to do. When markets sink, the questions typically have a “what’s wrong” tone. 
“Weaponized FOMO” Takes A Breather
When the calendar turned, a key catalyst that had been driving asset prices vanished.
Valuation Is Dangerous Into The New Year
​​​​​​​Markets are uneventful today on light holiday volume. Economic data detailing unemployment claims, pending home sales, retail inventories, and international goods trade failed to influence investor sentiment.
Real Estate Prices Will Keep Climbing Unless The Fed Stops Them
In October, mortgage yields exceeded 8%, incrementally preventing existing homeowners with near record-low rates from selling their residences and relocating as higher financing costs have made such a change more expensive.
The Last Trade Before Christmas
​​​​​​​On the last trading day before Christmas, market bulls are fighting to keep the rally alive.
Geopolitical Conditions Intensify Amidst Firmer Econ Data
Amidst a Santa Claus rally in stocks, an important consideration is whether hotter economic data and challenging geopolitics threaten the Fed’s accommodation next quarter.
Forget Inflation, Santa Is Here
Markets are continuing their remarkable run with all major U.S. indices higher while yields and the dollar are lower.
Merger Monday: One Big Deal In, One Big Deal Out
In this environment M&A is good news when it happens and also can be good news when it doesn’t.
Powell Spikes The Punch
Rather than taking the punch bowl away on Wednesday, Jerome Powell not only refilled it but threw in some extra intoxicants for good measure.
What To Expect When You’re Expecting The Fed – December 2023 Edition
It’s here – the last FOMC meeting of 2023. While the consensus is clearly that no rate change is expected, today’s rate announcement and subsequent press conference has the potential to be quite consequential. 
Inflation Comes In Hotter, As Core Categories Accelerate
Investor sentiment is uncertain following this morning’s stronger-than-expected CPI data as market participants wait to see if Fed Chair Powell’s comments
Chair Powell: Grinch Or Goldilocks?
It’s that time again, one of the eight weeks a year that we prepare ourselves for the next scheduled FOMC meeting.
Have Stock Traders Front-Run Santa Claus?
Fed Funds futures were pricing in a high likelihood for a 25-basis point cut by June and three 25bp cuts by December, but we are now pricing in a high likelihood for a rate cut as early as March and five cuts by the end of 2024.
49 to 64 of 1218 Posts
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