I don't get it. The charts above show for states that had major peaks those peaks are *done*. Sweden has the same thing. Closed society or not, they had a major epidemic. It is now *not* a major epidemic there. They haven't locked down society. The bug spread fine before, but now they have population immunity.
Interestingly, while their economy contracted, it did far less contraction than the US economy.
In my opinion, given what we know about infection doses, children might be *ideal* spreaders. They might spread, but because they aren't coughing up powerful doses of the virus their spread might result in more mild cases around them. This might explain studies that indicate low rates of child-to-adult transmission where hospitalized patients are used as the starting point.
Either way, my article doesn't take a position on children. Although if children can spread mild cases that would be a boon.
I'm uncertain about this. We haven't see any of the places with little humps seriously drop off yet. Could be that there hasn't been enough continual exposure or not that there hasn't been enough exposure total but we just haven't seen it.
I'm not going to argue about his cluelessness. He has a political clue, but that's about it.
BUT... his administration did lots of things (aside from crappy messaging).
Maybe not when people wanted but they include:
* Fast-tracking the FDA on test and treatment approval
* Using the Defense Authorization Act to manufacture ventilators
* Apportioning said ventilators so nobody has had a shortage (despite many dire predictions)
* Working with Congress to provide massive subsidies to the economy
* Restricting international travel
* Supported the infrastructure to provide 65 million tests
Is it him? Of course not. It is his administration. But defining all things Trump as either good or bad is a mistake. Trump (or Biden or Obama or...) can't be your benchmark.
Your benchmark has to be: "I want to achieve X and Y, does Z do it?"
Did the Federal government react well? As I said months ago, the Federal Government *never* reacts well. It is a slow, calcified, *broken* bureaucratic monster. It doesn't do near anything well - increasingly not even war. Byzantium would be proud.
It's all okay though. I'm sure the next guy is so capable he'll fix the it all.
I have no idea. It has little meaning outside of a broader context. If the idea is that you're isolating people who've been in direct contact but not testing them because contact tracing is meaningless at this point and those who have no symptoms aren't in danger then... fine. That's what happened to me. My kid was in Kindergarten with four diagnosed cases. No symptoms, no test. No reason to test. But we were still in isolation.
My wife was tested, after isolation but that's because she works with old people.
If, however, there is no isolation then that decision would need to be made in context of overall threat to society. I don't think the Ultra Orthodox community would face much danger at this point from exposure - most people have it and re-exposure within a shorter time frame is less dangerous than re-exposure after a three-month delay.
A *poll* of how people felt about how they handled it. Yes, Belgians, Spanish, Italians and New Yorkers are all impressed by their governments' performance - despite higher death rates. I'm not suggesting the US has done well, of course.
The first precautions (restricting travel from China) were lambasted as Trump idiocy. Then he didn't restrict travel fast enough. And so on. When policy is decided entirely by *who* your camp likes, it becomes real hard to make sensible decision.
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US Coronavirus Outlook
I don't get it. The charts above show for states that had major peaks those peaks are *done*. Sweden has the same thing. Closed society or not, they had a major epidemic. It is now *not* a major epidemic there. They haven't locked down society. The bug spread fine before, but now they have population immunity.
Interestingly, while their economy contracted, it did far less contraction than the US economy.
Hitler, Coronavirus And Getting Back On Our Feet
A specialty audience :)
US Coronavirus Outlook
sorry, 5 days
US Coronavirus Outlook
Sweden has now had 0 deaths for 14 days straight.
Death, Economics And Coronavirus
Here is a better article on the same subject. Rather than lots of scary suppositions it actually logically breaks down what we do and do not know.
https://www.bbc.com/news/health-53946420
In my opinion, given what we know about infection doses, children might be *ideal* spreaders. They might spread, but because they aren't coughing up powerful doses of the virus their spread might result in more mild cases around them. This might explain studies that indicate low rates of child-to-adult transmission where hospitalized patients are used as the starting point.
Either way, my article doesn't take a position on children. Although if children can spread mild cases that would be a boon.
Death, Economics And Coronavirus
I'm uncertain about this. We haven't see any of the places with little humps seriously drop off yet. Could be that there hasn't been enough continual exposure or not that there hasn't been enough exposure total but we just haven't seen it.
US Coronavirus Outlook
I'm not going to argue about his cluelessness. He has a political clue, but that's about it.
BUT... his administration did lots of things (aside from crappy messaging).
Maybe not when people wanted but they include:
* Fast-tracking the FDA on test and treatment approval
* Using the Defense Authorization Act to manufacture ventilators
* Apportioning said ventilators so nobody has had a shortage (despite many dire predictions)
* Working with Congress to provide massive subsidies to the economy
* Restricting international travel
* Supported the infrastructure to provide 65 million tests
Is it him? Of course not. It is his administration. But defining all things Trump as either good or bad is a mistake. Trump (or Biden or Obama or...) can't be your benchmark.
Your benchmark has to be: "I want to achieve X and Y, does Z do it?"
Did the Federal government react well? As I said months ago, the Federal Government *never* reacts well. It is a slow, calcified, *broken* bureaucratic monster. It doesn't do near anything well - increasingly not even war. Byzantium would be proud.
It's all okay though. I'm sure the next guy is so capable he'll fix the it all.
That's one reason I don't live in the US anymore.
US Coronavirus Outlook
I have no idea. It has little meaning outside of a broader context. If the idea is that you're isolating people who've been in direct contact but not testing them because contact tracing is meaningless at this point and those who have no symptoms aren't in danger then... fine. That's what happened to me. My kid was in Kindergarten with four diagnosed cases. No symptoms, no test. No reason to test. But we were still in isolation.
My wife was tested, after isolation but that's because she works with old people.
If, however, there is no isolation then that decision would need to be made in context of overall threat to society. I don't think the Ultra Orthodox community would face much danger at this point from exposure - most people have it and re-exposure within a shorter time frame is less dangerous than re-exposure after a three-month delay.
US Coronavirus Outlook
A *poll* of how people felt about how they handled it. Yes, Belgians, Spanish, Italians and New Yorkers are all impressed by their governments' performance - despite higher death rates. I'm not suggesting the US has done well, of course.
US Coronavirus Outlook
The first precautions (restricting travel from China) were lambasted as Trump idiocy. Then he didn't restrict travel fast enough. And so on. When policy is decided entirely by *who* your camp likes, it becomes real hard to make sensible decision.
I have the advantage of disliking everybody :)