David Trainer Blog | Talkmarkets | Page 1
CEO of New Constructs, LLC.

New Constructs leverages reliable fundamental data to provide unconflicted insights into the fundamentals and valuation of private and public businesses. Combining human expertise with cutting-edge machine learning (ML) technologies (more

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Robinhood IPO: Still A Bad Bet For Investors With Alarming Risk
Robinhood Markets Inc. (HOOD) is expected to debut as a public company on July 29, 2021. At an expected IPO valuation of roughly $35 billion, Robinhood earns our Unattractive rating.
Dough-Not Buy This Overpriced IPO
Krispy Kreme Inc. is expected to go public for the second time on July 1, 2021. At the midpoint of its IPO price range ($22.50 per share), Krispy Kreme is valued at roughly $3.6 billion and earns our Unattractive rating.
Didi Global’s Lower Valuation Is Still A Bad Ride For Investors
As disclosed in its amended F-1 on June 24, Didi Global is now expected to IPO on June 30 between $13 and $14/share. At the midpoint ($65 billion or $13.50/share), the stock earns our Unattractive rating.
EC Marqeta’s IPO Is Priced Beyond Perfection
Marqeta’s expected valuation of $12 billion implies that the company’s total processing volume will be 114% of PayPal’s, a highly unlikely outcome..
Squarespace Valuation Is Out Of This World
Squarespace (SQSP) is expected to go public via direct listing on May 19, 2021.
Netflix, A Meme-Stock Original
It’s clear that Netflix cannot generate anywhere close to the profits implied by the current stock price. Netflix is back in the Danger Zone.
More Long Ideas That Look Good Post Earnings
For years, bears believed Target’s brick-and-mortar presence would hinder its ability to gain market share. However, Target leverages its physical stores as the centerpiece of its omni-channel distribution strategy, and it is working.
The Real Earnings Season Starts Now: Time To Read Filings & Footnotes
Quarterly earnings season may be winding down, but the real earnings season – annual 10-K filing season – is ramping up.
Regulation Will Evict This Firm’s Micro-Bubble Expectations
Given the spike in disregard for fundamental risk exemplified by the GameStop frenzy, we continue our micro-bubble winners and losers theme to help investors assess fundamental risks.
Sector Ratings For ETFs & Mutual Funds: 1Q21
For the first quarter of 2021, only the Consumer Non-cyclicals, Financials, and Basic Materials sectors earn an Attractive-or-better rating. Investors looking for sector funds that hold quality stocks should look no further than these sectors.
3 Long Ideas Poised To Outperform
Allison Transmission Holdings Inc, Korn Ferry, and Johnson & Johnson are the Long Idea lowlights for 2020.
Only Two S&P 500 Sectors Have A Rising ROIC Through 3Q20
Only the Consumer Non-cyclicals sector and the Technology sector have seen an improvement in return on invested capital (ROIC) since the end of 2019.
All Cap Analysis: Net Income Understates Core Earnings In 2020
The COVID-19 pandemic and ensuing economic damage dropped Core Earnings for the NC 2000, our proxy for an All-Cap index, to the lowest level since September 2017.
Boxed Out
While Box has grown revenue by 42% compounded annually since 2013, the firm’s year-over-year (YoY) revenue growth rate has fallen from 40% in fiscal 2016 to 14% in fiscal 2020.
A Long Road Of Growth For This Retailer
AutoZone’s ability to provide specialized customer service that its big box retailer and e-commerce competitors cannot match gives it a major competitive advantage.
5 Stocks To Own Regardless Of The Election
These five stocks offer excellent risk/reward across nearly any election outcome: The Hershey Company, D.R. Horton, Simon Property Group, JPMorgan Chase & Company, and Allstate Corp.
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