Cullen Roche | TalkMarkets | Page 4
Founder at Orcam Financial Group, LLC
Mr. Roche is the founder of Orcam Financial Group, LLC, a low fee financial services firm based in San Diego, CA as well as the founder of the popular financial website Pragmatic Capitalism. Orcam Financial Group, LLC is a low fee financial services firm ...more

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The Labor Market Is Not Tight
A consistent debate in economic circles in recent years has waged around the “tightness” in the labor market.
Jackson Hole – The Future Of Inflation And Interest Rates
This remains an incredibly confusing period in economic history and describing it as “cloudy” might be an understatement.
Chart Of The Week – Total U.S. Real Estate Prices
Activity in residential real estate has stagnated, but prices are holding up better than expected due to low inventories and a lack of forced sellers.
Have Bonds Finally Reached Escape Velocity?
Higher bond yields create a sort of escape velocity at some point where the interest payments offset the interest rate risk.
2023 – The Year That Gives Everyone A Narrative
This has been one of the more fascinating years in economic and market history.
This Also Isn’t The 1940s
The Federal Reserve has expressed concerns about a double bump in inflation. That is a scenario where inflation surges and then jumps higher again for various reasons.
What Should You Do When The Stock Market Booms?
This seems like as good a time as any to sit back and remind ourselves of some important facts and how to properly navigate a short-term market boom.
Is Cash The Best Insurance Asset?
Insurance is a sensible part of any financial plan. Good insurance should be designed as a temporal tool.
What Does An Inverted Yield Curve Tell Us?
An inverted yield curve is not really predicting recession. It’s predicting that the Fed will reduce rates in the future because inflation is likely to be lower than it presently is.
The Immaculate Disinflation
Inflation is slowing fast, but is that a good thing or a bad thing? Let’s dig into it.
The Credit Boom Is Over
When inflation runs too hot during a credit boom the Federal Reserve tries to temper it by making credit more expensive.
Chart Of The Week: Fed Funds Futures
The more recent economic data points to the Fed remaining “higher for longer”.
Will A “Trampoline Landing” Increase Economic Risks?
The economic data in 2023 has come in better than expected and a smooth landing scenario appears increasingly probable, but the longer the Fed remains restrictive the higher the short-term economic risks are.
Has Housing Bottomed?
Housing is a big slow-moving beast and the basic math on affordability still looks very dreary.
Three Things I Think I Think – No Landing
We’ve all been hoping for inflation to decelerate, but it remains stubbornly high. Meanwhile, the economy is decelerating across the board but remains…surprisingly strong.
Bankrupt Ideologies, Interest Rates And Retirement
There’s a battle of bad ideologies going on around the debt ceiling debate.
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