Jared Dillian | TalkMarkets | Page 7
Investment Strategist
Before joining Mauldin Economics, Jared was one of Wall Streets preeminent risk-takers. After receiving his MBA from the University of San Francisco, he got hired by Wall Street giant Lehman Brothers where he worked from 2001 to 2008first as an index arbitrage trader and then as head of the ETF ...more

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A Balanced Budget
Regardless of how much money the Fed prints, what they do with their balance sheet, or how many railroads across the Pacific we build, you are faced with the harsh reality of having to spend less money than you make.
Next To Normal
The last time most people remember having an opportunity to buy “cheap” stocks was in 2009. But we were in the middle of a financial crisis/depression, and the environment was very distressed.
The Liquidity Problem
Individual investors generally don’t think about liquidity. You send a market order for 200 shares of something, it gets filled instantaneously, no problem. Institutional investors have to think about liquidity a lot.
Hedge Fund Guys
Hedge fund guys aren’t well-liked, which I find interesting. Most people don’t even know what a hedge fund is. And if they knew, they probably wouldn’t care.
You Can’t Unring The Bell
Let’s talk about the crash, or the mini-crash, or the dislocation, or whatever you want to call it. Six percent intraday is getting close to crash territory, especially when you’ve seen no volatility over the last two years.
There Won’t Be Three Rate Hikes This Year
People are getting bulled up on the idea that the Fed might hike more than three times this year. That’s not unreasonable, given that stocks have gone straight up and financial conditions are the easiest they’ve been… ever.
Memories From The Last Bubble
To be a good trader, you need to have a good memory. I have very specific, experiential memories about the last big stock market bubble.
2018’s Number One Risk
To find the market’s biggest weakness, a good place to look is at the most crowded movie theater with the smallest exit. European bonds.
Was It Worth It?
On the grand scene of financial innovations, the exchange-traded fund was fairly innocuous at first. It took a good 15 years of slow realization for people to figure out how disruptive ETFs would ultimately be.
Nothing Costs Nothing
There is a massive price war going on in ETF-land. Issuers are falling over themselves in the race to the bottom in fees.
The Everything Bubble
A bubble is not simply a matter of overvaluation. It has to be accompanied by an obsession or preoccupation with an asset class.
Occupy Airlines
Airlines have been such horrible stocks for so many years that people have completely forgotten that they can be… not horrible.
My Name Is Fester. It Means "To Rot."
There has been a bit of a buzz the last couple of days about covenant-lite bonds. This isn’t really new news - cov-lite issuance has been high for a few years now.
Bull Market, Dude
Stocks and bonds are securities. They give off cash flows.
How To Identify Bubbles
Bubbles aren’t new—they’ve been around since Dutch tulips—but it’s only recently that they’ve worked their way into the average investor’s lexicon.
The Long-Term Effects Of Negative Real Interest Rates
If interest rates were at 6%, Amazon and Tesla would not be where they are today. The cost of capital would be higher, and there would be more compelling opportunities elsewhere, with lower risk.
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