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Blogger at Political Calculations
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Ironman is the alias of the blogger at Political Calculations, a site that develops, applies and presents both established and cutting edge theory to the topics of investing, business and economics. We should acknowledge that Ironman is either formerly or currently, and quite possibly, ...more

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Dividends By The Numbers Through January 2018
After the last two weeks, we suspect that a lot of investors are looking for a silver lining in the stock market. If that's you, we may have something for you, because the new year got off to a strong start for dividend-paying stocks in January 2018.
Money On The Sidewalk?
Keep in mind that the CME Group's dividend futures represent a prediction of how much cash dividends per share will have been paid out by the time the indicated quarter's dividend futures contract expires.
Is The Market Carnage Over Yet?
The S&P 500 lost over $15.9 trillion of its market capitalization.
Chaotic Carnage In The S&P 500
Whenever the market leaves order behind, it is taken over by the more chaotic elements of its nature.
A New Lévy Flight For The S&P 500 In Week 5 Of January 2018
For the second time in 2018, I find the S&P 500 in Lévy flight.
December 2017 Median Household Income
Median household income in the U.S. rose to an estimated $58,829 in December 2017, an increase of 0.15% from our November 2017 estimate of $58,741.
U.S. Recession Risk Minimal
The risk of a national recession beginning in the United States anytime in the next year, or specifically between 30 January 2018 and 30 January 2019, is slightly over 0.5%.
Philadelphia Soda Tax Falls 15% Short Of Target
Based on final figures for January through October 2017 and preliminary estimates for November through December 2017 the city of Philadelphia is set to fall nearly 15% short of its $92.4 million revenue target for the first full year of its soda tax.
The S&P 500 Powers To New Record Highs In Week 4 Of January 2018
It was a week that started with 40% of the employees of U.S. government, the nonessential ones, enjoying a long three-day weekend off work, and ended with a bang.
California's Lackluster 2017
California's economy took a pretty big hit in 2017. Specifically, it appears to have taken a pretty big hit in the first quarter of the year, after which it appears to have slowly recovered at real growth rates.
GE's Further Fall
GE's new CEO, John Flannery, has raised the possibility that the industrial conglomerate will split itself into several different, independent companies as part of its overall restructuring.
The S&P 500 Shrugs Off Government Shutdown In Week 3 Of January 2018
Wall Street certainly didn't have much in the way of negative thoughts with respect to the prospects for a federal government shut down last week.
Order Ends And A New Era Begins For The S&P 500
The breakdown of order in the S&P 500 became clearly evident on 11 January 2017, when the level of the S&P 500 surged to be more than three standard deviations above the mean trend curve.
S&P 500 Continues In Lévy Flight In Week 2 Of January 2018
The S&P 500 continued its rapid rise in the second week of January 2018, having now risen some 112.63 points, or 4.2%, since the last day of trading in 2017, to close at a new record high value of 2,786.24 on Friday, 12 January 2018.
Brazil's Back And U.S. Soybeans To China Are Getting Hammered, Good News On U.S.-China Trade
For the peak export month of October, the estimated volume of soybeans being shipped from U.S. ports to China has fallen by 91.5 million bushels from 2016's record 384.3 million bushels (a 24% drop).
S&P 500 In Lévy Flight In Week 1 Of January 2018
In the first week of 2018, investors would appear to be shifting their forward-looking horizons to the more distant future, from the current quarter of 2018-Q1 toward, we believe, the more distant future quarter of 2018-Q3.
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