The French intellectual Emmanuel Todd, who predicted the fall of the USSR, turns his crystal ball toward the United States.

How Elon Musk's acquisition of Twitter might prevent further escalation of the Ukraine War. Plus, revisiting our macro call on tech after an eventful week in the sector.

Why some don't think the Russian invasion of Ukraine was unprovoked aggression. Plus, an update on a hedged portfolio created in light of the risks of the Ukraine War, inflation, and recession.

Since our leaders are repeating their AIDS tack of not trying to rein in the irresponsible individuals spreading this disease, we’re left with America’s preferred response: pharmaceuticals.

A veteran Australian diplomat warns of plans to make Taiwan, or possibly Australia, a Ukraine for China. Considering the investment implications.

A sobering assessment of the current Ukraine situation, followed by a look at hedging your investment risks in light of it.

How our October hedges softened the blow for Bitcoin longs.

Trying to beat the market by buying stocks like Tesla. It's probably impossible to time these things perfectly, but as we continue to collect data, we may be able to spend more time in winning streaks.

How everything from snack foods to video games to social media is engineered to make us addicts. 

Expect the government to use the threat of renewed lockdowns to drive more vaccinations. That should be good news for BioNTech.

How to construct a hedged portfolio of a few crypto stocks. The goal is to make money while the bubble inflates but be protected when it pops.

China's New Year's Eve Flex. America's State of Fear. Investing in the new year.

We added a new source of alpha to our security selection process at the end of May, and we're seeing strong results for it now. What it is and how you can find it.

The senator from Missouri says it's time to break up Facebook. Here's what to do if you're long the stock.

Former Trump Administration official Michael Anton warns of a possible coup attempt in November; our current market posture.

In case Taleb is right.