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I have degrees in mathematics, science, and education from the University of Toronto. I produce a uniquely independent analysis of the markets, focusing on investor sentiment and the application of MMT. To invest, is to bet on the future and our service informs our members of which future is the ...more

Hedging and Senitment.

Date: Saturday, November 21, 2020 10:51 PM EDT

Last week, the nominal put:call ratio spiked down to a level equal to the low level of hedging that occurred in early June just before that month's pullback (black rectangles).

The 8-day MA started turning up earlier this week, and the SPX started to pull back, but by the end of the week, it started moving lower again and the SPX strengthened. This means that the market could go either way this coming week.  However, other studies imply a higher market first, before there is a pullback in early December.

 

 

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