Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Sept. 22 And 29
| Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data. | |||
| Forecast | Prior Observation | Consensus | |
| Week of September 22 | |||
| September 23 | |||
| Current Account - Q2 | -$257.0B | -450.2 | |
| Chicago Fed National Activity Index - August | -0.25 | -0.19 | |
| PMI Manufacturing - Flash | 53.0 | 53.0 | |
| PMI Services Flash | 54.5 | 54.5 | |
| Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index | -4 | -7 | |
| Existing Home Sales - August | 3.930M | 4.010 | |
| September 24 | |||
| New Home Sales - August | 655K | 652 | |
| September 25 | |||
| Durable Goods Orders - August | -0.3% | -2.8 | |
| International Trade in Goods - August | -$93.6B | -103.6 | |
| Wholesale Inventories - August (a) | 0.1% | 0.1 | |
| GDP - Q2 (f) | 3.3% | 3.3 | |
| September 26 | |||
| Personal Income - August | 0.3% | 0.4 | |
| Personal Spending | 0.5 | 0.5 | |
| Real Personal Spending | |||
| Michigan Consumer Sentiment - Sept (r) | 55.4 | 55.4 | |
| Week of September 29 | |||
| September 29 | |||
| Pending Home Sale Index - Aug | 72.7 | 71.7 | |
| Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index | -0.3 | -1.8 | |
| September 30 | |||
| S&P Case/Shiller Index - July | |||
| Twenty City M/M | -0.4% | -0.3 | |
| Twenty City M/M - SA | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Twenty City Y/Y | 1.7 | -2.1 | |
| FHFA Home Price Index - July | -0.2 | -0.2 | |
| Chicago PMI - September | 43.5 | 41.5 | |
| Consumer Confidence - September | 97.4 | 97.4 | |
| JOLTS - August | 7.100M | 7.181 | |
| October 1 | |||
| ADP Employment Report - September | 35K | 54 | |
| ISM (Mfg) - Sept | 49.3 | 48.7 | |
| Construction Spending - August | -0.2% | -0.1 | |
| Auto Sales - September | 16.4M | 16.1 | |
| Car Sales | 2.9 | 2.7 | |
| Truck Sales | 13.5 | 13.4 | |
| October 2 | |||
| Factory Orders - August | -0.3% | -1.3 | |
| Durable Goods Orders | -0.8 | -2.8 | |
| Nondurable Goods Orders | 0.3 | 0.3 | |
| PMI Manufacturing Index | |||
| October 3 | |||
| Nonfarm Payrolls - September | 43K | 22 | |
| Private | 38K | 38 | |
| Manufacturing | -5 | -12 | |
| Unemployment | 4.3% | 4.3 | |
| Average Workweek | 34.2 | 34.2 | |
| Average Hourly Earnings | 0.3 | 0.3 | |
| ISM Services - September | 52.0 | 52.0 | |
More By This Author:
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Sept. 15, 22 And 29
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Aug. 4 And 11
Economic Data Forecast For The Week Of July 28
Peter Morici is an economist and professor at the Smith School of Business, University of Maryland, and widely published columnist. He is the five time winner of the MarketWatch best forecaster ...
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