Economic Data Forecast For The Week Of July 28

Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.    
       
    Prior  
  Forecast Observation  
       
Week of July 28      
July 28      
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index -10.0 -12.7  
       
July 29      
International Trade in Goods - June -$98.0B -96.6  
Wholesale Inventories - June (a) -0.1 -0.3  
       
S&P Case/Shiller Index - May      
Twenty City M/M 0.5% 0.7  
Twenty City M/M - SA -0.2 -0.3  
Twenty City Y/Y 2.9 3.4  
       
Consumer Confidence - July 93.0 93.0  
JOLTS - June 7.500m 7.769  
       
July 30      
ADP Employment Report - July 82K -33  
       
GDP - Q2 (a) 2.3% -0.5%  
       
Pending Home Sale Index - June 73.9 72.6  
FOMC 4.38% 4.375  
       
July 31      
Employment Cost Index - Q2 0.8% 0.9  
Employment Cost Index - Y/Y 3.5 3.6  
       
Personal Income - June 0.2% -0.4  
Personal Spending 0.2 -0.1  
       
Initial Unemployment Claims 222K 217  
Chicago PMI - July 40.5 40.4  
       
August 1      
Nonfarm Payrolls - July 102K 147  
Private 82 74  
Manufacturing 0 -7  
Unemployment 4.2% 4.1  
Average Workweek 34.2HR 34.2  
Average Hourly Earnings 0.2% 0.2  
       
PMI Manufacturing Index - July 49.5 49.5  
       
ISM (Mfg) - July 50.0 49.0  
       
Construction Spending - June 0.1 -0.3  
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (r) 62.3 61.8  
     

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Peter Morici is an economist and professor at the Smith School of Business, University of Maryland, and widely published columnist. He is the five time winner of the MarketWatch best forecaster ...

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