Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Sept. 15, 22 And 29
| Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data | |||
| Forecast | Prior Observation | ||
| Week of September 15 | |||
| September 15 | |||
| New York Fed Manufacturing Index | 6.0 | 11.9 | |
| September 16 | |||
| Retail Sales - August | 0.4% | 0.5 | |
| Retail Sales, ex Autos | 0.3 | 0.3 | |
| Export Prices - August | -0.2% | 0.1 | |
| Import Prices | -0.2 | 0.4 | |
| Import Prices, ex-Petroleum | 0.2 | 0.3 | |
| Industrial Production - August | 0.1% | -0.1 | |
| Capacity Utilization | 77.4 | 77.5 | |
| Manufacturing | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Business Inventories - July | 0.2% | 0.2 | |
| NAHB Index | 32 | 32 | |
| September 17 | |||
| Housing Starts - August | 1.360M | 1.428 | |
| Building Permits | 1.390 | 1.354 | |
| FOMC | 4.375% | 4.375 | |
| September 18 | |||
| Philadelphia Fed Survey | 4.0 | -0.3 | |
| Leading Indicators | -0.4 | -0.1 | |
|
Week of September 22 |
|||
| September 23* | |||
| Current Account - Q2 | -$257.0B | 450.2 | |
| Chicago Fed National Activity Index - August | -0.25 | -0.19 | |
| PMI Manufacturing - Flash | 53.0 | 53.0 | |
| PMI Services Flash | 54.5 | 54.5 | |
| Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index | -4 | -7 | |
| Existing Home Sales - August | 3.930M | 4.010 | |
| September 24 | |||
| New Home Sales - August | 655K | 652 | |
| September 25 | |||
| Durable Goods Orders - August | -0.3% | -2.8 | |
| International Trade in Goods - August | -$93.6B | -103.6 | |
| GDP - Q2 (f) | 3.3% | 3.3 | |
| September 26 | |||
| Personal Income - August | 0.3% | 0.4 | |
| Personal Spending | 0.5 | 0.5 | |
| Week of September 29 | |||
| September 29 | |||
| Pending Home Sale Index - Aug | 72.7 | 71.7 | |
| Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index | -0.3 | -1.8 | |
| September 30 | |||
| S&P Case/Shiller Index - July | |||
| Twenty City M/M | -0.4% | -0.3 | |
| Twenty City M/M - SA | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Twenty City Y/Y | 1.7 | -2.1 | |
| FHFA Home Price Index - July | -0.2% | -0.2 | |
| Chicago PMI - September | 43.5 | 41.5 | |
| Consumer Confidence - September | 97.4 | 97.4 | |
| JOLTS - August | 7.100M | 7.181 | |
| October 1 | |||
| ADP Employment Report - September | 35K | 54 | |
| ISM (Mfg) - Sept | 49.3 | 48.7 | |
| Construction Spending - August | -0.1 | ||
| Auto Sales* - September | 16.4M | 16.1 | |
| Car Sales | 2.9 | 2.7 | |
| Truck Sales | 13.5 | 13.4 | |
| October 2 | |||
| Factory Orders - August | -0.3% | -1.3 | |
| Durable Goods Orders | -0.8 | -2.8 | |
| Nondurable Goods Orders | 0.3 | 0.3 | |
More By This Author:
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Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of July 14 And 21
Peter Morici is an economist and professor at the Smith School of Business, University of Maryland, and widely published columnist. He is the five time winner of the MarketWatch best forecaster ...
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