Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of November 20 & 27
| Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data | |||
| Forecast | Prior Observation | Consensus | |
| Week of November 20 | |||
| November 20 | |||
| Leading Indicators | -0.6% | -0.7 | -0.7 |
| November 21 | |||
| Chicago Fed National Activity Index - October | 0.0 | 0.02 | |
| Existing Home Sales - October | 3.850M | 3.960M | 3.900 |
| November 22 | |||
| Initial Unemployment Claims | 230K | 231 | 226 |
| Durable Goods Sales - October | -2.5% | 4.6 | -3.2 |
| Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index - November (r) | 60.4 | 60.4 | 60.6 |
| November 23 | |||
| November 24 | |||
| PMI Manufacturing Flash Index | 50.2 | 50.0 | 49.8 |
| PMI Services Flash Index | 51.6 | 50.6 | 50.3 |
| Week of November 27 | |||
| November 27 | |||
| New Home Sales - October | 720K | 759 | |
| Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index | -17.0 | -19.2 | |
| November 28 | |||
| S&P Case/Shiller Index - September | |||
| Twenty City M/M | 0.6% | 0.4 | |
| Twenty City M/M - SA | 0.9 | 1.0 | |
| Twenty City Y/Y | 4.2 | 2.2 | |
| FHFA Housing Price Index - Sept | 0.4% | 0.6 | |
| Consumer Confidence - November | 100.0 | 102.6 | |
| Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index | 1 | 3 | |
| November 29 | |||
| International Trade in Goods - October | -$84.1B | -85.8 | |
| Wholesale Inventories - October | 0.2 | 0.2 | |
| GDP - Q3 (r) | 4.9% | 4.9 | |
| November 30 | |||
| Personal Income - October | 0.2% | 0.3 | |
| Personal Spending | 0.2 | 0.7 | |
| Chicago PMI | 46.0 | 44.0 | |
| Pending Home Sale Index - October | 70.8 | 72.6 | |
| December 1 | |||
| PMI Manufacturing Index - November | |||
| ISM (Mfg) - November | 47.7 | 46.7 | |
| Construction Spending - October | 0.4% | 0.4 | |
| Auto Sales* - November | 15.6M | 15.5 | |
| Car Sales | 3.1 | 3.1 | |
| Truck Sales | 12.5 | 12.4 |
More By This Author:
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Nov. 6 & 13
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Oct. 30 & Nov. 6
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of October 23 And 30
Peter Morici is an economist and professor at the Smith School of Business, University of Maryland, and widely published columnist. He is the five time winner of the MarketWatch best forecaster ...
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