Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of November 20 & 27


Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data
	Forecast	Prior Observation	Consensus
Week of November 20
November 20
Leading Indicators	-0.6%	-0.7	-0.7

November 21
Chicago Fed National Activity Index - October	0.0	0.02
Existing Home Sales - October	3.850M	3.960M	3.900

November 22
Initial Unemployment Claims	230K	231	226
Durable Goods Sales - October	-2.5%	4.6	-3.2
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index - November (r)	60.4	60.4	60.6

November 23

November 24
PMI Manufacturing Flash Index	50.2	50.0	49.8
PMI Services Flash Index	51.6	50.6	50.3

Week of November 27
November 27
New Home Sales - October	720K	759
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index	-17.0	-19.2

November 28
S&P Case/Shiller Index - September
Twenty City M/M	0.6%	0.4
Twenty City M/M - SA	0.9	1.0
Twenty City Y/Y	4.2	2.2

FHFA Housing Price Index - Sept	0.4%	0.6
Consumer Confidence - November	100.0	102.6
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index	1	3

November 29
International Trade in Goods - October	-$84.1B	-85.8
Wholesale Inventories - October	0.2	0.2
GDP - Q3 (r)	4.9%	4.9

November 30
Personal Income - October	0.2%	0.3
Personal Spending	0.2	0.7

Chicago PMI	46.0	44.0
Pending Home Sale Index - October	70.8	72.6

December 1
PMI Manufacturing Index - November
ISM (Mfg) - November	47.7	46.7

Construction Spending - October	0.4%	0.4

Auto Sales* - November	15.6M	15.5
Car Sales	3.1	3.1
Truck Sales	12.5	12.4

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