Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Nov. 6 & 13

Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.

 
 
 
Forecast
Prior Observation
Consensus
Week of November 6
 
 
 
November 7
 
 
 
International Trade - September
-$61.0B
-58.3
-60.0
Consumer Credit - September
$10.0B
-15.6
10.0
 
 
 
 
November 8
 
 
 
Wholesale Inventories - September
0.0
0.0
0.0
 
 
 
 
November 9
 
 
 
Initial Unemployment Claims
215K
217
215
 
 
 
 
November 10
 
 
 
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (p)
65.0
63.8
64.0
Treasury Budget - October
$35B
-171.0
17.0
 
 
 
 
Week of November 13
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
November 14
 
 
 
NFIB Small Business Optimisim Index - October
90.8
90.8
 
 
 
 
 
Consumer Price Index - October
0.1%
0.4
0.1
Core CPI
0.3
0.3
0.3
 
 
 
 
November 15
 
 
 
Retail Sales - October
0.3%
0.7
0.2
Retail Sales, ex Autos
0.2
0.6
0.2
 
 
 
 
Producer Price Index - October
0.1%
0.5
0.1
PPI less food, energy and trade services
0.2
0.2
0.2
 
 
 
 
NY Fed Manufacturing Index
-2.0
-4.6
 
Business Inventories - September
0.4%
0.4
 
 
 
 
 
November 16
 
 
 
Philadelphia Fed Survey
-7
-9
 
 
 
 
 
Export Prices -  October
-0.4%
0.7
 
Import Prices
-0.4
0.1
 
Import Prices, ex-Energy
-0.3
-0.3
 
 
 
 
 
Industrial Production - October
-0.3%
0.3
-0.4
Capacity Utilization
79.4
79.7
79.4
Manufacturing
-0.4
0.4
 
NAHB Index
41
40
 
 
 
 
 
November 17
 
 
 
Housing Starts - October
1.330M
1.358
1.345

More By This Author:

Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Oct. 30 & Nov. 6
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of October 23 And 30
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Oct. 16 And 23

Peter Morici is an economist and professor at the Smith School of Business, University of Maryland, and widely published columnist. He is the five time winner of the MarketWatch best forecaster ...

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