Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Oct. 16 And 23
| Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data. | |||
| Forecast | Prior Observation | ||
| Week of October 16 | |||
| October 16 | |||
| New York Fed Manufacturing Index | 0.0 | 1.9 | |
| October 17 | |||
| Retail Sales - September | 0.3% | 0.6 | |
| Retail Sales, ex Autos | 0.3 | 0.6 | |
| Retail Sales, ex Autos and Gas | 0.3 | 0.2 | |
| Industrial Production - September | -0.1% | 0.4 | |
| Capacity Utilization | 79.5 | 79.7 | |
| Manufacturing | -0.2 | 0.1 | |
| Business Inventories - August | 0.2% | 0.1 | |
| NAHB Index | 45 | 45 | |
| October 18 | |||
| Housing Starts - September | 1.320M | 1.283 | |
| Building Permits | 1.450 | 1.543 | |
| October 19 | |||
| Philadelphia Fed Survey | -6.8 | -13.5 | |
| Leading Indicators | -0.4% | -0.4 | |
| Existing Home Sales - September | 3.880M | 4.040 | |
| October 20 | |||
| Treasury Budget - September | 88.3 | 89.3 | |
| Week of October 23 | |||
| October 23 | |||
| Chicago Fed National Activity Index | -0.25 | -0.16 | |
| October 24 | |||
| PMI Manufacturing Flash Index | 49.0 | 49.8 | |
| PMI Services Flash Index | 49.0 | 50.1 | |
| Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index | 2 | 5 | |
| October 25 | |||
| New Home Sales - September | 675K | 675 | |
| October 26 | |||
| GDP - Q3 (a) | 3.6% | 2.1 | |
| Durable Goods Sales - September | 0.2% | 0.1 | |
| International Trade in Goods - September (a) | -$85.3B | -84.3 | |
| Wholesale Inventories - September (a) | -0.1% | -0.1 | |
| Pending Home Sale Index - September | 70.8 | 71.8 | |
| October 27 | |||
| Personal Income - September | 0.5% | 0.4 | |
| Personal Spending | 0.4 | 0.4 | |
More By This Author:
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of October 9 And 16
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Oct. 2 And 9
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Sept. 25 And Oct. 1
Peter Morici is an economist and professor at the Smith School of Business, University of Maryland, and widely published columnist. He is the five time winner of the MarketWatch best forecaster ...
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