Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Oct. 16 And 23


Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.
	Forecast	Prior Observation
Week of October 16
October 16
New York Fed Manufacturing Index	0.0	1.9

October 17
Retail Sales - September	0.3%	0.6
Retail Sales, ex Autos	0.3	0.6
Retail Sales, ex Autos and Gas	0.3	0.2

Industrial Production - September	-0.1%	0.4
Capacity Utilization	79.5	79.7
Manufacturing	-0.2	0.1

Business Inventories - August	0.2%	0.1
NAHB Index	45	45

October 18
Housing Starts - September	1.320M	1.283
Building Permits	1.450	1.543

October 19
Philadelphia Fed Survey	-6.8	-13.5
Leading Indicators	-0.4%	-0.4
Existing Home Sales - September	3.880M	4.040

October 20
Treasury Budget - September	88.3	89.3

Week of October 23
October 23
Chicago Fed National Activity Index	-0.25	-0.16

October 24
PMI Manufacturing Flash Index	49.0	49.8
PMI Services Flash Index	49.0	50.1

Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index	2	5

October 25
New Home Sales - September	675K	675

October 26
GDP - Q3 (a)	3.6%	2.1

Durable Goods Sales - September	0.2%	0.1
International Trade in Goods - September (a)	-$85.3B	-84.3
Wholesale Inventories - September (a)	-0.1%	-0.1
Pending Home Sale Index - September	70.8	71.8

October 27
Personal Income - September	0.5%	0.4
Personal Spending	0.4	0.4

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