Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Sept. 25 And Oct. 1

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Here are my forecasts for the upcoming economic data.

	Forecast	Prior Observation	Consensus
Week of September 25
September 25
Chicago Fed National Activity Index - August	0.0	0.12
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index	-12	-17.2

September 26
S&P Case/Shiller Index - July
Twenty City M/M	1.1%	0.9
Twenty City M/M - SA	0.6	0.9	0.6
Twenty City Y/Y	0.3	-1.2

FHFA Home Price Index - July	0.3%	0.3
Consumer Confidence - September	107.0	106.1	105.6
New Home Sales - August	700K	714	700
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index	-6	-7

September 27
Durable Goods Orders - August	0.0%	-5.2	-2.0

September 28
GDP - Q2 (f)	2.2%	2.1	2.3
Initial Unemployment Claims	220K	201	217
Pending Home Sale Index - Aug	77.2	77.6	77.4

September 29
International Trade in Goods - August	-92.2	-91.2
Wholesale Inventories - August (a)	-0.2%	-0.2

Personal Income - August	0.5%	0.2	0.4
Personal Spending	0.5	0.8	0.5
PCE Price Index	0.5	0.2	0.5
Core PCE Price Index	0.2	0.2	0.2
Real Personal Spending

Chicago PMI - September	47.0	48.7	47.4
Michigan Consumer Sentiment - Sept (r)	67.7	67.7	67.7

Week of October 2
October 2
PMI Manufacturing Index	48.9	48.9
ISM (Mfg) - Sept	47.6	47.6
Construction Spending - August	0.6%	0.7

October 3
Auto Sales - September	15.4	15
Car Sales	3.2	3.1
Truck Sales	12.2	11.9

JOLTS - August	8.900M	8.827

October 4
Factory Orders - August	0.3%	-2.1
Durable Goods Orders	-0.3	-5.2
Nondurable Goods Orders	0.8	1.1

ADP Employment Report - September	130K	177

PMI Services Index	50.2	50.2
ISM Services - September	53.2	54.5

October 5
International Trade - August	-66.2	-65.0

October 6
Nonfarm Payrolls - September	150K	187
Private	130	179
Manufacturing	5	16
Unemployment	3.7%	3.8
Average Workweek	34.4HR	34.4
Average Hourly Earnings	0.4%	0.2

Consumer Credit - August	10.4M	10.4

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