Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Sept. 11 And 18

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Forecast
Prior Observation
Consensus
Week of September 11
 
 
 
September 12
 
 
 
NFIB Small Business Optimisim Index - August
91
92
 
 
 
 
 
September 13
 
 
 
Consumer Price Index - August
0.5%
0.2
0.6
Core CPI
0.3
0.2
0.2
 
 
 
 
Treasury Budget - August
-$210.0B
-220.8
-207.0
 
 
 
 
September 14
 
 
 
Retail Sales - August
0.3%
0.7
0.2
Retail Sales, ex Autos
0.5
1.0
0.5
Retail Sales, Less Autos and Gas
0.1
1.0
 
 
 
 
 
Producer Price Index - August
0.4%
0.3
0.4
PPI Core (less food, energy and trade services)
0.2
0.3
0.2
 
 
 
 
Initial Unemployment Claims
225K
216
226
Business Inventories - July
0.0%
0.0
0.1
 
 
 
 
September 15
 
 
 
New York Fed Manufacturing Index
-10.0
-19.0
-10.0
 
 
 
 
Export Prices -  August
0.3%
0.7
0.3
Import Prices
0.3
0.4
0.3
 
 
 
 
Industrial Production - August
0.1%
1.0
0.1
Capacity Utilization
79.2
79.3
79.3
Manufacturing
0.1
0.5
0.1
 
 
 
 
Michigan Consumer Sentiment - Sept (p)
69.1
69.5
69.2
 
 
 
 
Week of September 18
 
 
 
September 18
 
 
 
NAHB Index
52
50
 
 
 
 
 
September 19
 
 
 
Housing Starts - August
1.440M
1.452
 
Building Permits
1.450
1.442
 
 
 
 
 
September 20
 
 
 
FMOC
5.375%
5.375
 
 
 
 
 
September 21
 
 
 
Current Account - Q2
-$228.3B
-219.3
 
Leading Indicators 
-0.3%
-0.4
 
Existing Home Sales - August
4.100M
4.070
 
 
 
 
 
September 22
 
 
 
PMI Manufacturing - Flash
47.6
47.6
 
PMI Services Flash
50
50.5

 


More By This Author:

Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Sept. 4 And 11
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Aug. 28 And Sep. 4
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Aug. 7 And 14

Peter Morici is an economist and professor at the Smith School of Business, University of Maryland, and widely published columnist. He is the five time winner of the MarketWatch best forecaster ...

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