Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of May 12 And 19
| Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data | |||
| Forecast | Prior Observation | ||
| Week of May 12 | |||
| May 12 | |||
| Treasury Budget - April | $256.0B | -160.5 | |
| May 13 | |||
| NFIB Small Business Optimism - April | 95.0 | 97.4 | |
| Consumer Price Index - April | 0.2% | -0.1 | |
| Core CPI | 0.3 | 0.1 | |
| Energy | 2.5 | 2.4 | |
| May 14 | |||
| May 15 | |||
| Retail Sales - April | 0.3% | 1.4 | |
| Retail Sales, ex Autos | 0.4 | 0.5 | |
| Retail Sales,ex autos and gas | 0.5 | 0.8 | |
| Producer Price Index - April | 0.3% | -0.4 | |
| PPI less food, energy and trade services | 0.3 | -0.1 | |
| Energy | |||
| Philadelphia Fed Survey | -11.0 | -26.4 | |
| NY Fed Manufacturing Index | -8.0 | -8.1 | |
| Initial Unemployment Claims | 225K | 228 | |
| Industrial Production - April | -0.1% | -0.3 | |
| Capacity Utilization | 77.6 | 77.8 | |
| Manufacturing | -0.2 | 0.3 | |
| Business Inventories - March | 0.1% | 0.2 | |
| NAHB Index - May | 40 | 40 | |
| May 16 | |||
| Housing Starts - April | 1.350M | 1.324 | |
| Building Permits | 1.470 | 1.482 | |
| Export Prices - April | -0.4% | 0.0 | |
| Import Prices | -0.4 | -0.1 | |
| Import Prices, Ex-Petroleum | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Michigan Consumer Sentiment - May (p) | 52.2 | 52.2 | |
| Year Ahead Inflation | 6.5% | 6.5 | |
| Week of May 19 | |||
| May 19 | |||
| Leading Indicators | -0.8 | -0.7 | |
| May 22 | |||
| Initial Unemployment Claims | |||
| PMI Manufacturing Flash Index - May | 49.8 | 50.2 | |
| PMI Services Flash | 50.6 | 50.8 | |
| Existing Home Sales - April | 4.036M | 4.020 | |
| Chicago Fed National Activity Index - April | -0.3 | -0.3 | |
| May 23 | |||
| New Home Sales - April | 724K | 724 | |
| Week of May 26 | |||
| May 27 | |||
| Durable Goods Sales - April | -7.5% | 9.2 | |
| S&P Case/Shiller Index - March | |||
| Twenty City M/M | 1.6% | 0.7 | |
| Twenty City M/M - SA | 0.2 | 0.4 | |
| Twenty City Y/Y | 4.5 | 4.5 | |
| Third Quarter Twenty City Q/Q - SA | |||
| FHFA Housing Price Index - March | 0.1% | 0.1 | |
| Consumer Confidence | 88.0 | 86.0 | |
| Dallas Fed Manufacturing Survey | -26.1 | -35.8 | |
| May 28 | |||
| Richmond Fed Index | -9.0 | -13.0 | |
| May 29 | |||
| GDP - Q1(p) | -0.3 | -0.3 | |
| Pending Home Sale Index - April | 75.0 | 76.5 | |
| May 30 | |||
| International Trade in Goods - April | -$143.0B | 162.0 | |
| Wholesale Inventories - April (a) | 0.4% | 0.4 | |
| Personal Income - April | 0.3% | 0.5 | |
| Personal Spending | 0.2 | 0.7 | |
| Chicago PMI - May | 43.0 | 44.6 | |
More By This Author:
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of May 5 And 12
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of April 28 And May 5
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of April 14 And 21
Peter Morici is an economist and professor at the Smith School of Business, University of Maryland, and widely published columnist. He is the five time winner of the MarketWatch best forecaster ...
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