Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of December 11 And 18
| Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data. | |||
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Forecast |
Prior Observation |
Consensus |
Week of December 11 |
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December 12 |
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NFIB Small Business Optimism Index -November |
90.7 |
90.7 |
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Consumer Price Index - November |
0.0% |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Core CPI |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
Energy |
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Treasury Budget - November |
-$217.0B |
-66.6 |
300.0 |
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December 13 |
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Producer Price Index - November |
0.1% |
-0.5 |
0.1 |
FOMC |
5.375% |
5.375 |
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December 14 |
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Retail Sales - November |
0.0% |
-0.1 |
-0.1 |
Retail Sales, ex Autos |
-0.1 |
0.1 |
-0.1 |
Retail Sales, ex Autos and Gas |
0.0 |
0.1 |
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Export Prices - November |
-1.0% |
-1.1 |
-1.0 |
Import Prices |
-1.0 |
-0.8 |
-0.8 |
Import Prices, ex-Energy |
-1.0 |
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Initial Unemployment Claims |
220K |
220 |
221 |
Business Inventories - October |
0.0% |
0.4 |
0.0 |
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December 15 |
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NY Fed Manufacturing Index |
5.0 |
9.1 |
2.0 |
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Industrial Production - November |
0.3% |
-0.3 |
0.3 |
Capacity Utilization |
79.1 |
79.4 |
79.2 |
Manufacturing |
0.4 |
-0.3 |
0.5 |
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PMI Manufacturing Flash Index |
49.5 |
49.4 |
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PMI Services Flash Index |
50.8 |
50.8 |
50.5 |
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Week of December 18 |
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December 18 |
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NAHB Index |
36 |
34 |
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December 19 |
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Housing Starts - November |
1.360 |
1.372 |
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Building Permits |
1.475 |
1.487 |
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December 20 |
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Current Account - Q3 |
-$199.4B |
212.1 |
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Consumer Confidence |
101.0 |
102.0 |
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Existing Home Sales - November |
3.780M |
3.790 |
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December 21 |
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Philadelphia Fed Survey |
-3.0 |
-5.9 |
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GDP - Q3 (f) |
5.2 |
5.2 |
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Leading Indicators - Nobember |
-0.6 |
-0.8 |
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December 22 |
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Durable Goods Orders - November |
4.5 |
-5.4 |
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Personal Income - November |
0.4% |
0.2 |
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Personal Spending |
0.1 |
0.2 |
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New Home Sales - November |
699K |
679 |
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Michigan Consumer Sentiment - December (r) |
69.4 |
69.4 |
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More By This Author:
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of December 5 And 12
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of November 20 & 27
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Nov. 6 & 13
Peter Morici is an economist and professor at the Smith School of Business, University of Maryland, and widely published columnist. He is the five time winner of the MarketWatch best forecaster ...
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