Liquidity Breakout And The Resart Of QE

The Fed has suddenly ended tightening and restarted easing. The increasing liquidity in the private sector and positive net-transfers from the Treasury will support the stock market. The market is not about to collapse.

$300B addition to the Fed's balance sheet (SOMA). The biggest and most sudden QE since the pandemic. This increase in liquidity is bullish.

Our liquidity model agrees. Higher liquidity will lead to a higher stock market.

Wednesday's small corporate tax-take (30% smaller than last year's), and the big SS payment combined to produce a net-transfer of +$24B and a 20-day average of +$15.42B/day. As fund-flows continue to add money to the private-sector, the stock market will be supported.

QQQ has made a breakout. There are a couple of resistance levels overhead that could cause it to take a break around the tax-take in April. However, with the growth of liquidity we are seeing, the market might not pullback as much as we were expecting.


More By This Author:

Private Debt And Recession In 2023
Buy The Bad Profit News
A Checkup On The Screws Holding The Economy Together

STOCKS IN THIS ARTICLE

Also Mentions:

Comments