| Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data | |||
| Forecast | Prior Observation | ||
| Week of May 12 | |||
| May 12 | |||
| Treasury Budget - April | $256.0B | -160.5 | |
| May 13 | |||
| NFIB Small Business Optimism - April | 95.0 | 97.4 | |
| Consumer Price Index - April | 0.2% | -0.1 | |
| Core CPI | 0.3 | 0.1 | |
| Energy | 2.5 | 2.4 | |
| May 14 | |||
| May 15 | |||
| Retail Sales - April | 0.3% | 1.4 | |
| Retail Sales, ex Autos | 0.4 | 0.5 | |
| Retail Sales,ex autos and gas | 0.5 | 0.8 | |
| Producer Price Index - April | 0.3% | -0.4 | |
| PPI less food, energy and trade services | 0.3 | -0.1 | |
| Energy | |||
| Philadelphia Fed Survey | -11.0 | -26.4 | |
| NY Fed Manufacturing Index | -8.0 | -8.1 | |
| Initial Unemployment Claims | 225K | 228 | |
| Industrial Production - April | -0.1% | -0.3 | |
| Capacity Utilization | 77.6 | 77.8 | |
| Manufacturing | -0.2 | 0.3 | |
| Business Inventories - March | 0.1% | 0.2 | |
| NAHB Index - May | 40 | 40 | |
| May 16 | |||
| Housing Starts - April | 1.350M | 1.324 | |
| Building Permits | 1.470 | 1.482 | |
| Export Prices - April | -0.4% | 0.0 | |
| Import Prices | -0.4 | -0.1 | |
| Import Prices, Ex-Petroleum | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Michigan Consumer Sentiment - May (p) | 52.2 | 52.2 | |
| Year Ahead Inflation | 6.5% | 6.5 | |
| Week of May 19 | |||
| May 19 | |||
| Leading Indicators | -0.8 | -0.7 | |
| May 22 | |||
| Initial Unemployment Claims | |||
| PMI Manufacturing Flash Index - May | 49.8 | 50.2 | |
| PMI Services Flash | 50.6 | 50.8 | |
| Existing Home Sales - April | 4.036M | 4.020 | |
| Chicago Fed National Activity Index - April | -0.3 | -0.3 | |
| May 23 | |||
| New Home Sales - April | 724K | 724 | |
| Week of May 26 | |||
| May 27 | |||
| Durable Goods Sales - April | -7.5% | 9.2 | |
| S&P Case/Shiller Index - March | |||
| Twenty City M/M | 1.6% | 0.7 | |
| Twenty City M/M - SA | 0.2 | 0.4 | |
| Twenty City Y/Y | 4.5 | 4.5 | |
| Third Quarter Twenty City Q/Q - SA | |||
| FHFA Housing Price Index - March | 0.1% | 0.1 | |
| Consumer Confidence | 88.0 | 86.0 | |
| Dallas Fed Manufacturing Survey | -26.1 | -35.8 | |
| May 28 | |||
| Richmond Fed Index | -9.0 | -13.0 | |
| May 29 | |||
| GDP - Q1(p) | -0.3 | -0.3 | |
| Pending Home Sale Index - April | 75.0 | 76.5 | |
| May 30 | |||
| International Trade in Goods - April | -$143.0B | 162.0 | |
| Wholesale Inventories - April (a) | 0.4% | 0.4 | |
| Personal Income - April | 0.3% | 0.5 | |
| Personal Spending | 0.2 | 0.7 | |
| Chicago PMI - May | 43.0 | 44.6 |
More By This Author:
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of May 5 And 12
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of April 28 And May 5
Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of April 14 And 21
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