Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of December 11 And 18

Forecast

Prior Observation

Consensus

Week of December 11

December 12

NFIB Small Business Optimism Index -November

90.7

90.7

Consumer Price Index - November

0.0%

0.0

0.0

Core CPI

0.3

0.2

0.3

Energy

Treasury Budget - November

-$217.0B

-66.6

300.0

December 13

Producer Price Index - November

0.1%

-0.5

0.1

FOMC

5.375%

5.375

December 14

Retail Sales - November

0.0%

-0.1

-0.1

Retail Sales, ex Autos

-0.1

0.1

-0.1

Retail Sales, ex Autos and Gas

0.0

0.1

Export Prices -  November

-1.0%

-1.1

-1.0

Import Prices

-1.0

-0.8

-0.8

Import Prices, ex-Energy

-1.0

Initial Unemployment Claims

220K

220

221

Business Inventories - October

0.0%

0.4

0.0

December 15

NY Fed Manufacturing Index

5.0

9.1

2.0

Industrial Production - November

0.3%

-0.3

0.3

Capacity Utilization

79.1

79.4

79.2

Manufacturing

0.4

-0.3

0.5

PMI Manufacturing Flash Index

49.5

49.4

PMI Services Flash Index

50.8

50.8

50.5

Week of December 18

December 18

NAHB Index

36

34

December 19

Housing Starts - November

1.360

1.372

Building Permits

1.475

1.487

December 20

Current Account - Q3

-$199.4B

212.1

Consumer Confidence

101.0

102.0

Existing Home Sales - November

3.780M

3.790

December 21

Philadelphia Fed Survey

-3.0

-5.9

GDP - Q3 (f)

5.2

5.2

Leading Indicators - Nobember

-0.6

-0.8

December 22

Durable Goods Orders - November

4.5

-5.4

Personal Income - November

0.4%

0.2

Personal Spending

0.1

0.2

New Home Sales - November 

699K

679

Michigan Consumer Sentiment - December (r)

69.4

69.4